印度食用油价格暴涨8%！食用油进口税下调后进口激增60%，涨价潮何时见顶？点击了解。 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

Core Insights - Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited has announced a partnership with SMART MARKETING CO. LTD for the sales, marketing, and distribution of its GEO brand in Vietnam, targeting the growing demand for healthy food products in the region [1][2][3]. Company Overview - Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited specializes in the sustainable production and global distribution of high-quality oilseeds, focusing on non-GMO and organic food-grade oils [5]. - The company operates the largest cold-pressing facility in Australia, producing only GMO-free conventional and certified organic oils, and is recognized as a trusted supplier of healthier food ingredients globally [5]. Market Opportunity - Vietnam's population exceeds 100 million, with increasing health consciousness driving demand for natural and chemical-free oils, presenting significant opportunities for premium international brands [3]. - The partnership with SMART MARKETING CO. LTD is expected to enhance brand development and retail distribution across Vietnam, leveraging their extensive network [2][4]. Financial Projections - The launch of GEO's extra virgin olive oil is anticipated to contribute an additional USD 5–8 million to the company's top line revenue within the next 12 months [4].

Group 1 - Report title: Weekly Oil Report: Malaysian Palm Oil Inventory Build-up Slightly Exceeds Expectations, Focus on Australian Prime Minister's Visit to China [1] - Core events and market review: MPOB data shows that Malaysia's palm oil inventory at the end of June reached 2.03 million tons, a 2.4% increase month-on-month; Canada's rapeseed exports decreased by 72.1% to 48,400 tons in the week ending July 6; influenced by positive macro sentiment, oils rose significantly this week, but the momentum for further increase weakened after the rapid rise [4] Group 2 - International market - Malaysian palm oil: In June, Malaysia's palm oil inventory build-up slightly exceeded expectations, with production down 4.48% to 1.69 million tons and exports dropping to 1.26 million tons; SPPOMA data indicates that the production of Malaysian palm oil may increase month-on-month in July, and ITS predicts a 5.31% month-on-month increase in exports in the first 10 days of July [8] - International market - Canadian rapeseed: The international cost - performance of Canadian rapeseed declined, with exports decreasing by 72.1% week-on-week; the new planting area was adjusted down by 80,000 hectares; there is still a risk of drought, and Oil World predicts a potential production cut of about 1.86 billion tons [10] Group 3 - Domestic palm oil: As of July 4, 2025, the commercial inventory of palm oil in key regions across the country was 538,100 tons, a 0.13% week-on-week increase; the basis fluctuated weakly; the spot market trading was light; it's expected to have limited upward space and may experience a slight correction, maintaining a sideways movement overall [13] - Domestic soybean oil: In June, the soybean crushing volume of 111 plants was about 8.95 million tons, and the soybean oil output was about 1.7 million tons; as of July 4, 2025, the commercial inventory of soybean oil in key regions across the country was 1.0197 million tons, a 6.75% week-on-week increase; the basis was stable to slightly weak; the trading volume of soybean oil spot increased week-on-week but remained at a historically low level; it's expected to maintain a sideways movement [18] - Domestic rapeseed oil: Last week, the rapeseed crushing volume of major coastal oil mills was 47,000 tons; as of July 4, 2025, the coastal rapeseed oil inventory was 719,000 tons, a 28,000 - ton week-on-week decrease; the import profit of European rapeseed oil was significantly narrowed; the spot market was light; the market is watching the Australian Prime Minister's visit to China on Saturday [21] Group 4 - Strategy recommendation: Unilateral strategy - In the short term, the upward movement of oils is losing steam, may experience a slight correction, and maintain a sideways trend overall. Consider buying on dips. Arbitrage strategy - Hold. Option strategy - Hold [25] Group 5 - Weekly data tracking: The report also tracks data on Malaysian and Indonesian palm oil production, exports, and inventory, international soybean oil market, Indian oil supply and demand, domestic rapeseed oil and palm oil import profits, domestic oils' supply and demand, basis, and inventory [27]

Group 1 - Shandong Luhua Group has completed its shareholding reform and changed its name to Shandong Luhua Group Co., Ltd, with registered capital increasing from approximately 1.091 billion to 2 billion yuan, an increase of 83% [1] - The company is speculated to be preparing for a capital market entry following the restructuring and capital increase [1][8] - The new shareholder structure shows Shandong Luhua Holding Group Co., Ltd as the largest shareholder with a 64.19% stake, controlled by the founder's family [2] Group 2 - Luhua Holding has integrated several family-controlled asset platforms and established a wholly-owned subsidiary for investment and private equity management, enhancing its capital layout [4] - In late 2024, strategic investors including Jinlongyu and Hong Kong Jiayin invested 5.5 billion yuan for a 26.64% stake, raising Luhua's valuation to 20.9 billion yuan [4] - The management team has undergone significant changes, with key personnel leaving and new members joining, possibly linked to legal issues faced by a former executive [4] Group 3 - Founded in 1983, Luhua has grown from a local factory to a leading brand in high-end edible oils, particularly in the peanut oil sector [5] - The company has an annual production capacity of 1.5 million tons for edible oils, 300,000 tons for condiments, and 500,000 tons for rice and flour, supported by a nationwide marketing network [7] - Luhua holds a 6.7% market share in the packaged edible oil industry, ranking third behind Yihai Kerry and COFCO, and leads the high oleic peanut oil segment with a 34% market share [7] Group 4 - The recent restructuring and capital increase indicate Luhua's intent to prepare for an IPO amidst intense competition in the edible oil industry [6] - The competitive landscape includes established players like Jinlongyu and COFCO, with Luhua's potential listing expected to enhance industry concentration [6] - Challenges remain for Luhua, including raw material price fluctuations and the need for effective strategies to maintain growth and competitiveness post-IPO [8]

2025 年 6 月 24 日 商 品 研 究 棕榈油：产地近端基本面改善有限，反套表达 豆油：国际油价回落，油脂单边回调 | | | 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | 棕榈油主力 | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘） | 涨跌幅 -0.19% | 收盘价 （夜盘） | 涨跌幅 -0.94% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 8,520 8,126 | -0.37% | 8,440 8,068 | -0.71% | | | 菜油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,721 | -0.05% | 9,680 | -0.42% | | 期 货 | 马棕主力 | 林吉特/吨 | 4,125 | -0.24% | 4,072 | -1.31% | | | CBOT豆油主力 | 美分/磅 | 53.64 | -2.65% | | | | | | 单 位 | 昨日成交 | 成交变动 | 昨日持仓 | 持仓变动 | | | 棕榈油主力 | 手 | 660,926 | 59433 | 489,038 | -14,902 | | | 豆油 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Short - term, it is expected that the inventory of Malaysian palm oil in April will increase significantly and continue to increase production and accumulate inventory later. However, the buying enthusiasm of China and India has increased recently. As Brazilian soybeans gradually arrive at ports and customs clearance issues are resolved, the domestic soybean crushing volume of oil mills will increase significantly, and the soybean oil inventory will start to accumulate seasonally, with the soybean oil basis likely to weaken. The fundamentals of domestic rapeseed oil change little, and the pattern of oversupply persists, but the rapeseed oil futures price fluctuates due to international relations [4][27]. - It is expected that the short - term oil market will maintain a volatile trend. Among them, soybean oil and rapeseed oil have positive support, while the fundamentals of palm oil are gradually weakening and may run weakly. From the perspective of the futures price, the downward space of palm oil may be limited. [29] Summary by Directory Part 1: Weekly Core Points Analysis and Strategy Recommendation Recent Core Events & Market Review - Three major forecasting agencies predict that the ending inventory of Malaysian palm oil in April may reach 1.79 million tons, and the production may increase by 17% to 1.62 million tons. The Gapki data shows that the production of Indonesian palm oil in February changed little month - on - month, exports reached 2.8 million tons, and the inventory dropped to a historically low level of 2.25 million tons [4]. International Market - **Malaysian Palm Oil**: Three major forecasting agencies estimate the production, import, export, domestic consumption, and inventory of Malaysian palm oil in April. The MPOB report will be released on Tuesday noon. The production in April is expected to increase significantly, but exports are still at a relatively low level in the same period of history [5][7]. - **Indonesian Palm Oil**: The inventory of Indonesian palm oil in February was at a low level, and biodiesel consumption may be better than expected. The market is still skeptical about the implementation of B40 in Indonesia, but the biodiesel consumption data shows good implementation. The origin quotation is weakening, and palm oil is regaining market share [11]. - **India**: The import of edible oil in India in April may drop to around 870,000 tons, and the port inventory may drop to about 810,000 tons. The import and refining profits of the three major oils have improved, and the recent purchasing enthusiasm for palm oil has increased [16]. Domestic Market - **Palm Oil**: As of May 2, 2025, the commercial inventory of palm oil decreased by 3.23% week - on - week to 356,100 tons, still at a relatively low level. The import profit inversion has narrowed, and there were many purchases this week. The spot trading volume increased, and the basis was stable. The downward space of palm oil futures price may be limited [19]. - **Soybean Oil**: As of May 2, 2025, the commercial inventory of soybean oil increased by 0.23% week - on - week to 619,900 tons, at a neutral - to - slightly - low level. The soybean crushing volume increased, and the basis decreased. With the arrival of Brazilian soybeans, soybean oil will enter a stage of inventory accumulation, and the basis will be weak. The market is concerned about the implementation of US biodiesel [22]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The rapeseed crushing volume decreased last week. As of May 2, 2025, the coastal rapeseed oil inventory increased to 835,500 tons, at a historically high level. The import profit inversion of European rapeseed oil expanded. The spot trading volume increased slightly, and the basis decreased slightly. The futures price is affected by policies and maintains a wide - range volatile trend [25]. Strategy Recommendation - **Unilateral Strategy**: It is expected that the short - term oil market will maintain a volatile trend. Palm oil can be considered for light - position long - entry for a rebound or short - entry after a rebound. - **Arbitrage Strategy**: Consider partial profit - taking and partial holding of YP09. - **Option Strategy**: Wait and see [29]. Part 2: Weekly Data Tracking This part mainly presents various data charts, including the monthly production, export, and inventory of Malaysian and Indonesian palm oil; the supply and demand data of Indian oils; the import profit of domestic oils; the supply and demand and inventory data of domestic soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil; and the basis data of domestic oils [31][32][33].

【市场资讯】 5月6日，郑商所菜油期货仓单录得1357张，较上一交易日持平；最近一周，菜油期货仓单整体持平；最 近一个月，菜油期货仓单累计减少454张，减少幅度为25.07%。 5月6日进口菜籽油C&F报价：加拿大菜油(5月船期)1010美元/吨，与上个交易日相比持平；加拿大菜油 (7月船期)990美元/吨，与上个交易日相比持平。 分析观点： 数据显示，5月7日全国进口四级菜油均价现货价格报价9407.50元/吨，相较于期货主力价格（9335.00 元/吨）升水72.50元/吨。 （5月7日）今日全国菜籽油价格一览表 | 规格 | 品牌/产地 | 报价 | 报价类型 | 交货地 | 交易商 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 等级:三级 ; | 福建厦门 | 9310元/吨 | 市场价 | 福建省/厦门市 | 福建厦门市场 | | 等级:三级 ; | 安徽六安 | 9480元/吨 | 市场价 | 安徽省/六安市 | 安徽六安市场 | | 等级:三级 ; | 广东东莞 | 9380元/吨 | 市场价 | 广东省/东莞市 | 广东东莞市场 | | 等级:三级 ; | ...

欢迎加入交易理想国知识星球 文 | 田亚雄 来源 | CFC商品策略研究 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 来源:路孚特，中信建投期货绘制（通常豆棕价差存在季节性转强的窗口期：4月中-6月初） 过往支持着棕榈油的多头叙事： 1、树龄结构老化；2、成熟面积边际收缩；3、病虫害持续扰动（疥虫）；4、洪水限制铲果效率。 目前新增的多头逻辑讨论： 1、印尼强势表态支持B40，并有望在5年内逐步逼近B50；2、印尼精炼产能大幅增加，以至于新建罐容 囤积的安全生产库存大幅削弱400万吨国内库存压力；3、印尼部分头部种植园股权变更或影响园区管理效率，并限制产出。 在远景观察中，在"展望印尼可持续棕榈油领导地位"商业圆桌会议上，印尼农业部副部长强调，棕榈油产业贡献全国GDP的3.5%， 直接创造420万个就业岗位，并通过供应链支撑1600万人生活。当前印尼棕榈油年产量4600万吨（内需2000万吨，出口2600万 吨），但面临小农认证困难、环境可持续性等挑战。为实现2045年1亿吨毛棕榈油（CPO）的宏伟目标，政府推出三大战略：一是强 化监管协同，包括与林业部优化土地治理，推行B50生物柴油强制政策；二是提升上游生产力 ...