HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ) reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.93, beating the estimated $0.91.Revenue for the quarter was $14.64 billion, a 4.2% increase year-over-year, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate.The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at approximately 9.02, indicating its market valuation relative to its earnings.HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ) is a prominent figure in the technology sector, competing with giants like Dell and Lenovo in the realms of personal computers, printers, and relate ...

RiverPark Advisors, an investment advisory firm and sponsor of the RiverPark family of mutual funds, released its “RiverPark Large Growth Fund” Q3 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. U.S. equity markets recorded strong gains in the third quarter, with the S&P 500 Total Return Index rising 8.12% and the Russell 1000 Growth Index returning 10.51%. The fund also surged in the quarter and returned 4.73%. Market leadership was narrow in the quarter, with a few mega-cap tech and con ...

Core Viewpoint - Investors are presented with a significant opportunity in Dell Technologies, an AI infrastructure stock that is currently undervalued and has the potential to deliver substantial returns in the long run [1][5]. Industry Overview - The AI infrastructure sector is experiencing heightened interest due to substantial investments in AI data centers, which are essential for managing the increasing workloads generated in the cloud [2]. - Companies across various segments, including chipmakers, foundries, and cloud infrastructure providers, are witnessing a surge in revenue and earnings driven by the demand for AI solutions [2]. Company Performance - Dell Technologies is a major player in the global server market, with a market share of approximately 19.3%, positioning it well to benefit from the growing AI infrastructure market [8]. - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) segment of Dell reported a remarkable 44% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 of fiscal 2026, reaching a record $16.8 billion [7]. - Dell anticipates its AI server revenue to more than double in the current fiscal year to $20 billion, indicating significant growth potential in the AI server market [9]. Market Potential - The global AI server market is projected to grow at an annual rate of nearly 34% through 2030, potentially generating $730 billion in annual revenue by the end of the forecast period [8]. - Dell's potential AI server revenue pipeline is described as "multiples of our backlog," with a reported backlog of $11.7 billion at the end of fiscal Q2, suggesting sustained growth in this segment [10]. Financial Metrics - Dell is currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio of just 1 and a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 21, with a forward earnings multiple of 13, indicating that analysts expect significant earnings growth [4][19]. - Despite the challenges faced by the Client Solutions Group (CSG) segment, which saw only a 1% year-over-year revenue increase, the overall PC market is beginning to recover, with global PC shipments rising by 9.4% in Q3 compared to the previous year [13][15]. Future Outlook - Analysts currently do not expect double-digit growth from Dell in the near term; however, the company's potential for growth, particularly in the AI and PC markets, suggests it could exceed these expectations [18]. - Assuming a conservative growth rate of 8% post-fiscal 2028, Dell's revenue could reach $160 billion by the end of the decade, indicating substantial upside potential from its current market cap of $107 billion [18][19].

Actually, on November 1st, the tariff for China goes to 157%, which is record setting territory. And we don't want that because it's not sustainable for them. They can't sustain that.We don't want them to have to go through that. So a meeting with President Xi and I would say the first we have some big issues with the farmers and various other things. But the first question I'm going to be asking him about is fentanyl.Ahead of his sit down with Xi Jinping. President Trump says he's confident of getting a de ...

Group 1 - Global PC shipments increased by 9.4% year over year in Q3, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of growth, compared to previous quarters of 6.5%, 4.9%, and 1.8% [1] - The end of support for Windows 10 has prompted consumers and businesses to upgrade to AI PCs running Windows 11, benefiting companies like Dell, HP, AMD, and Intel [2] - Analyst John Donovan noted that most upgrade activity has been from consumers, but corporate refreshes are beginning, with expectations for continued growth driven by AI PC solutions and the Windows 11 refresh [3] Group 2 - HSBC analyst Abhishek Shukla upgraded HP stock to buy from hold, raising the price target from 28.10 to 30, reflecting better-than-expected PC and printer sales [4] - Following the upgrade, HP stock rose over 3% to 28.35, while Dell stock saw a slight decline of over 1% to 150.66 [4]

Core Viewpoint - Dell's stock has seen significant gains following analysts raising their price targets and long-term guidance, indicating strong market confidence in the company's future performance [1][2][17]. Company Performance - Dell's shares are up 8.5% on the day and have gained over 15% for the week, with a remarkable increase of more than 40% in 2025 [1][2]. - The company has outperformed competitors in the personal computer market, showing a 34% increase over the past year, while HP struggles [4][5]. Analyst Activity - Major financial institutions including Mazuo, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, and Bernstein have raised their price targets and maintained a buy or overweight rating on Dell shares [1]. - Analysts attribute Dell's growth to its strong position in the storage space, which is benefiting from the AI and quantum computing boom [5][7]. Market Trends - The tech sector, including Dell, has rebounded significantly after lows caused by tariff news, with Dell being a standout performer compared to other PC makers [4][6]. - The demand for computing power driven by AI is a key factor in Dell's positive outlook, as highlighted by CEO Michael Dell [7][8]. Options Activity - Options trading volume for Dell has increased significantly, with about 98,000 contracts traded, 64% of which were calls, indicating bullish sentiment [13][14]. - The expected price movement for Dell over the next nine days is projected at a plus 11.5% dollar move, aligning with key support and resistance levels [15][16].

Core Insights - The PC market in the U.S. is experiencing a mixed outlook, with a 15% year-on-year increase in desktop and laptop shipments in Q1 2025, reaching 16.9 million units, but an expected slowdown in overall growth to just 2% for the year due to weakened consumer spending and inventory pressures [1][2][5] - Business demand for PCs is anticipated to remain strong, with commercial PC shipments projected to grow by 8%, contrasting with a 4% decline in consumer PC shipments [1][5] - The transition to Windows 11 is progressing well among U.S. enterprises, which is seen as a positive signal for the industry, particularly for small and medium-sized businesses [2][4] Market Forecasts - For 2024 to 2026, the U.S. PC market is expected to show varied growth rates across segments: consumer market shipments are projected to decline by 4.2% in 2025, while commercial market shipments are expected to grow by 7.9% [5] - The total PC shipments in the U.S. are forecasted to reach 70.4 million units in 2025, with a slight overall growth of 1.8% [5] Consumer Behavior - Despite the impending end of support for Windows 10, consumer demand for PCs has not significantly increased, indicating that many users are indifferent to the change unless it directly impacts their experience [4] - Key drivers for PC purchases remain issues like battery life, device performance, and hardware failures, rather than software updates [4] Industry Challenges - Inflationary pressures and a pause in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are affecting consumer spending on high-priced items like PCs [2] - Retail channels are experiencing high inventory levels, which may lead to pressure on manufacturers' sell-in volumes in the latter half of 2025 [2]

Core Insights - Dell Technologies (DELL) and HP (HPQ) are significant players in the personal computer market, with DELL focusing on a broader enterprise portfolio and HP concentrating on consumer PCs and printers [1] - The PC market is projected to grow from $222.64 billion in 2025 to $344.13 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 9.1% [2] - The global PC market is expected to see a shipment growth of 4.1% in 2025, reaching 274 million units [3] Dell Technologies - DELL's AI prospects are strong, with expansion into enterprise deployments and edge computing [4] - The company has introduced new high-performance notebooks and desktops, enhancing productivity for enterprise customers [5] - DELL is benefiting from a PC-refresh cycle, with first-quarter fiscal 2026 CSG revenues at $12.50 billion, up 5% year over year, and commercial client revenues increasing 9% to $11.04 billion [6] - DELL's partnerships with companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft are enhancing its AI capabilities and enterprise AI adoption [7] HP Inc. - HPQ is focusing on innovative product launches, with a growing interest in generative AI-enabled PCs expected to drive demand [8] - The company forecasts that 40-60% of all PCs will be AI PCs in the next three years, launching several AI PCs this year [9][10] - HPQ's reliance on China for manufacturing poses risks if U.S.-China tariffs escalate, potentially impacting margins [11][12] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, DELL shares have lost 2.9% and HPQ shares have lost 22.2%, attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment [13] - DELL shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 0.74X, while HPQ's is at 0.43X, indicating that both stocks are currently undervalued [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DELL's fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.25 per share, reflecting a 13.64% year-over-year increase, while HPQ's estimate for fiscal 2025 is $3.09 per share, indicating an 8.58% decline [19] Conclusion - Both DELL and HPQ are positioned to benefit from the PC market's growth, but DELL has stronger AI momentum and a diversified portfolio, making it a more attractive investment opportunity [20] - HPQ's dependence on China for manufacturing amid geopolitical tensions is a significant challenge [21]

Core Viewpoint - The global PC market experienced a significant growth in Q1 2025, with total shipments reaching 62.7 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, driven by preemptive shipping strategies by OEMs ahead of new tariff implementations [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - In Q1 2025, notebook shipments (including mobile workstations) reached 49.4 million units, up 10% year-on-year, while desktop shipments (including desktop workstations) totaled 13.3 million units, reflecting an 8% increase [1]. - Lenovo maintained its leading position in the global PC market with shipments of 15.2 million units, achieving an 11% growth. HP followed with 12.8 million units, growing 6% year-on-year. Dell's shipments rebounded to 9.5 million units, marking a 3% increase, while Apple saw a strong 22% growth, reaching 6.5 million units [3][4]. Group 2: Tariff Impact and OEM Strategies - The increase in shipments was largely attributed to OEMs accelerating their shipping schedules to the U.S. market in response to the first round of tariff policies announced by the Trump administration. This proactive approach allowed manufacturers to stock up before cost increases due to tariffs [1][3]. - As new tariffs are set to take effect, OEMs are expected to continue diversifying production away from China to mitigate cost pressures. By the end of 2025, it is anticipated that most PC manufacturers will have shifted their U.S. market shipments to production outside of China [3][4]. - HP's CEO Enrique Lores indicated that by the end of this year, 90% of HP's products sold in the U.S. will be produced outside of China, highlighting the ongoing shift in production strategies among major OEMs [3]. Group 3: Consumer Demand and SMB Challenges - The impact of tariffs on consumer demand is expected to become more pronounced, as rising prices for various goods will force consumers to weigh their spending on more expensive PCs against other daily expenses [1]. - Small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) may face pressure to delay their device upgrades before Windows 10 reaches its end of service in October 2025. A survey indicated that 14% of SMB partners were unaware of the impending end of service, while 21% knew but had no upgrade plans [1].