更新 2月2日，据灯塔专业版上映日历信息，目前已有7部影片官宣定档2026年春节档。 新增加的有《惊蛰无声》、《星河入梦》、《熊猫计划之部落奇遇记》，以及宣布于大年初三全国重映的《重返·狼群》。 另据网络平台数据，截至2月1日15时26分，2026年年度票房已超20亿元。 一、事件：春节档 1月19日，电影《镖人》官宣定档2026春节，电影由袁和平执导，吴京、谢霆锋、李连杰、于适等主演的古装武侠片。 除《镖人》之外，目前确定定档春节档的还有韩寒导演，沈腾主演的《飞驰人生3》和《熊出没·年年有熊》；此外，沈腾主演的《欢迎来到龙餐馆》、贾玲 执导的《转念花开》，以及易烊千玺主演的《惊蛰无声》、《澎湖海战》等影片也有望锁定2026年春节档。 2026年的9天春节假期被称为"史上最长春节假期"，一直以来，春节档都是全年流量最大的黄金档期，一直是头部影视公司推出年度重磅影片的必争档期。 票房预测来看，《飞驰人生3》、《镖人》预测票房居前，25亿-30亿；紧随其后的有《惊蛰无声》、《转念花开》、《熊出没·年年有熊》等，票房预测在 10-20亿之间。 | 影片 | 票房预测 | 电影类型 | 主创 | 制作方/出品方 | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of the 2025 film market, with a total box office of 502.83 billion yuan and a leading film, "Ne Zha," grossing 154.46 billion yuan [1] - The 2025 film market is characterized by a "one strong, many strong" pattern, with popular release periods being the main engine for box office revenue [1] - The 2025 New Year’s box office has already surpassed last year's total, indicating a potential record-breaking performance with the release of "Avatar: The Way of Water" [1] Group 2 - The top five films in the New Year’s box office include "Zootopia 2," "The Last Duel," "Avatar 3," "Insider," and "My World Without Me," reflecting a diverse range of genres [1] - The 2026 Spring Festival period is set to feature eight films, including "Fast and Furious 3" and "Boonie Bears: Year of the Bear," with a focus on reality and historical themes [2] - The 2026 Spring Festival films are expected to cater to audience preferences for more thought-provoking and emotionally resonant content, moving beyond mere entertainment [3] Group 3 - The participation of small and medium-sized film companies in the Spring Festival is breaking the dominance of major players, promoting a more diversified industry landscape [3] - The 2026 Spring Festival will see a more diverse range of film types and higher quality expectations, leading to intensified market competition [4] - The integration of online and offline marketing strategies is expected to mature, enhancing the overall film market dynamics [4]