玩心不止未来有望进一步赋能公司的游戏发行。 3，公司参投的AI陪伴情感产品《EVE》初步定档3月14日，这是上市公司层面第一个原生AI陪伴产品，卡位稀 缺。 昨日公司公告，拟回购不超过2亿元、不低于1亿元人民币的股份，回购股份将用于后续实施股权激励计划或员工 持股计划。 1，传奇盒子增长确定性强，我们预估截至25年底平台DAU~50w，随着品牌专区游戏逐步上线、拓展热江和红月 等新情怀类IP，预计26年DAU增速有望在30%以上，叠加广告单价提升，盒子未来3年的CAGR有望在30%左右的 水平，且平台利润率高，利润端增量更明显。 2，公司的优质合作方玩心不止，近年体现出较强的存量传奇之上融合探索新品类的能力，以及传奇游戏的发行能 力。 《烈焰觉醒》正逐步成为传奇+X的标杆案例。 恺英网络｜持续重点推荐 昨日公司公告，拟回购不超过2亿元、不低于1亿元人民币的股份，回购股份将用于后续实施股权激励计划或员工 持股计划。 1，传奇盒子增长确定性强，我们预估截至25年底平台DAU~50w，随着品牌专区游戏逐步上线、拓展热江和红月 等新情怀类IP，预计26年DAU增速有望在30%以上，叠加广告单价提升，盒子未来3年的CA ...

Market Overview - The market size of legendary games is projected to reach 33.3 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 18.93%. The estimated market size for 2026 is expected to exceed 40 billion yuan [1][3] - The core user base for legendary games is expected to rise to 55 million by 2025, driven by the compliance of copyright and the emergence of mini-games [2][13] - The number of legendary mini-games in operation is estimated to be around 480 in 2025, reflecting an increase of approximately 18.67% compared to 2024 [1][54] Industry Dynamics - The legendary game market has experienced fluctuations due to the compliance of legendary games, leading to a decline in private servers. The market size for 2024 is estimated at 28 billion yuan, with a modest growth of 3.32% [2] - The end of the private server era is marked by the resolution of copyright disputes, with the legitimate copyright holder, Shengqu Games, required to pay significant licensing fees, thus driving the market towards compliance and regulation [5][9] - The integration of mini-games into the legendary game ecosystem is expected to provide new growth momentum, with mini-games projected to account for about 8% of the overall market consumption [2][3] User Demographics - The user base for legendary games is predominantly male, accounting for over 71%, while female users represent less than 30% [23] - The age distribution shows a strong presence of users aged 31-40, making up 30.92% of the user base, while younger users under 30 account for nearly 40% [26] - The overall user ecosystem is characterized by a "mobile-first" approach, with mobile users expected to dominate at 62% of the total user base by 2025 [16] Revenue and Value - The cumulative revenue for legendary games is projected to reach 410.68 billion yuan by 2025, with legitimate games accounting for approximately 38.7% of this revenue [5] - The total value of the legendary IP is estimated to be around 3.6478 trillion yuan from 2001 to 2023, with an expected annual average value generation of 28.53 billion yuan starting in 2024 [35][41] - The gaming segment remains the primary revenue source, contributing approximately 93% of the total IP value, highlighting the strong market demand for gameplay-driven content [37] Marketing and Advertising - The marketing strategy for legendary games heavily relies on user acquisition through paid advertising, with a significant decline in the number of materials for mobile games, dropping by 56% in 2025 [42][46] - In contrast, the advertising material for legendary mini-games is expected to surge by approximately 116%, indicating a shift in focus towards this segment [46][49] - The average usage duration of advertising materials has improved, reflecting a transition towards quality-driven marketing strategies [72] Competitive Landscape - The legendary game market is characterized by a concentration of top-tier companies, with major players like Shengqu Games, Ke Ying Network, and Tanwan Games dominating the market [81][84] - The competitive dynamics are shifting towards a model where head companies leverage their strong relationships with IP holders and extensive operational experience to maintain market leadership [81][86] - The emergence of mini-games as a core battlefield for user acquisition is reshaping the competitive landscape, with traditional mobile games facing challenges in user retention and acquisition costs [68][69]

Core Insights - The incident involving influencer Lan Zhanfei, whose accounts on Douyin and Xiaohongshu were banned from following, raises questions about the impact on partnered gaming products and the implications for related companies [1][3] Group 1: Incident Background - As of September 25, Lan Zhanfei had 24.9 million followers on Douyin and 130,000 on Xiaohongshu [4] - The incident may stem from two factors: his "wealth flaunting" remarks and statements that contradict mainstream trends, such as promoting a lifestyle without marriage [4][6] - Lan Zhanfei's comments about his income led to significant media attention, with his income disclosure trending on Weibo [4][6] Group 2: Impact on Partnered Products - DataEye research indicates that Lan Zhanfei has collaborated with multiple gaming products, including "Flame Awakening," "Dream of the Westward Journey," and "Yuan Guang 84" [7] - Despite the ban, the advertising strategies for these products remained largely unaffected, with "Flame Awakening" continuing to use Lan Zhanfei's materials [11] - Following the ban, "Flame Awakening" and "Dream of the Westward Journey" saw an increase in their rankings on sales charts, indicating a potential boost in visibility and engagement [15][17] Group 3: Implications for Gaming Companies - The incident highlights the need for gaming companies to assess the risks associated with endorsers, suggesting a shift from a focus solely on follower count to a more comprehensive evaluation of public image and compliance [21] - Companies should avoid over-reliance on a single endorser, as demonstrated by the minimal impact on "Dream of the Westward Journey" and "Yuan Guang 84," which did not depend heavily on Lan Zhanfei's materials [22] - Emphasizing product quality and brand integrity is crucial, as the unique outcome of this incident may not be replicable; companies should focus on enhancing gameplay and user experience rather than relying solely on endorsements [23]

Group 1 - The core strategy of "Dragon Trace City" has shown significant growth in rankings, entering the TOP20 on May 4 and TOP10 on June 4, maintaining its position within the TOP10 since June 14 [3][6] - Key promotional periods include the May Day and Dragon Boat Festival holidays, which led to increased user spending and contributed to the game's ranking success [6] - The marketing strategy involved a substantial increase in advertising spend, with daily ad placements exceeding 10,000 in early July [7][17] Group 2 - The marketing materials for "Dragon Trace City" have evolved, with a notable increase in AI-generated content and a focus on popular characters, particularly featuring a significant presence of celebrity endorsements [8][10] - The marketing approach has shifted to include more female-oriented content and a diverse range of celebrity endorsements as of July [13][17] - The game has utilized traditional nostalgic elements in its marketing, emphasizing themes of nostalgia, cool effects, and low-cost gameplay [15][17] Group 3 - The game's social media presence began to gain traction in late August, with increased content on platforms like Weibo and short video sites, contributing to its sustained ranking [20][23] - "Dragon Trace City" has successfully leveraged its partnership with WeChat to enhance its visibility and revenue potential, marking a shift in how legendary products are marketed [27][28] - The industry is witnessing a trend where more legendary products are entering the mini-game market, indicating a growing opportunity for new entrants [30] Group 4 - The target demographic for legendary games is expanding, with a focus on attracting younger users, as evidenced by promotional efforts at events like CJ [31] - The potential for legendary games in the mini-game sector is significant, with new titles like "Flame Awakening" also achieving high rankings, suggesting a competitive landscape [30]