新浪科技讯 1月24日上午消息，在2026崇礼论坛上，新东方创始人俞敏洪表示，"这几年大家看到我其 实已经不仅仅在教育领域了，21年国家政策调整后，给了我尝试其他领域的机会。" 他谈到，"在互联网技术、人工智能技术研发方面，像新东方这样的机构不可能做出任何贡献，但在应 用方面比如把互联网、人工智能应用到教育领域，以及我现在进入的农产品、文旅等其他领域，还是大 有可为的。" 俞敏洪直言，"21年我刚好60岁，到了退休年龄，本该安逸生活，但突然发生了变化。世界上的改变有 两种，一种是主动求变，一种是被动不得不变，我个人性格通常是被动变化，但是一旦发现变化不可避 免，也有能力以最快速度转化为主动求变。所以21年教育政策调整后，大家看到了新东方的一系列变 化，我们原来只做教育业务的新东方在线，还成为独立上市公司在香港上市，但2021年后公司业务基本 清零，之后我们考虑要么彻底关掉公司，要么做一件跟教育完全不相干的事，最后大家都知道我们做了 东方甄选。" 他表示，"东方甄选不只是卖农产品，我一开始就给它设定了两个目标，也就是要解决两个痛点。第一 个痛点，是在消费者端解决食品安全问题，尽管东方甄选现在规模还小，销售额只有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article presents ten major predictions for the Chinese economy in 2025, emphasizing the emergence of a new cycle and era, the global interest rate reduction, the fourth technological revolution, and the importance of adapting to new trends and opportunities in various sectors [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. Group 1: New Economic Cycle and Global Trends - A new economic cycle and era are emerging, encouraging adaptation to new trends and opportunities [2][3]. - The global economy is entering a new interest rate reduction cycle, with significant implications for monetary policy and economic growth [3][40]. - The return of Trump to the White House (Trump 2.0) is expected to create uncertainties, including inflation and trade tensions, impacting global economic dynamics [3][42][44]. Group 2: Technological Revolution - The fourth technological revolution is underway, with breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, renewable energy, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and biomanufacturing [4][55][57]. - AI is expected to experience explosive growth, with applications in image recognition, humanoid robots, AI assistants, and consumer electronics [6][11]. - The low-altitude economy is gaining traction, with potential applications in logistics and urban management, creating a multi-trillion market [8][59]. Group 3: Economic Policies and Domestic Growth - China is initiating macroeconomic easing to boost confidence and economic growth, focusing on new infrastructure and productivity [5][73]. - The government is implementing policies to stabilize the real estate market and promote consumption, with a focus on enhancing the business environment for private enterprises [78][87]. - The emphasis on new infrastructure includes advancements in new energy systems, digital economy, and artificial intelligence, positioning China for future growth [81][84]. Group 4: Globalization and Market Expansion - Chinese enterprises are shifting from export to global expansion, tapping into larger international markets [6][92]. - The rise of successful Chinese companies in overseas markets, such as SHEIN and TikTok, illustrates the potential for growth beyond domestic borders [96][111]. - Southeast Asia is identified as a key target for Chinese companies due to its growing market and favorable conditions for investment [101]. Group 5: Aging Population and Consumer Trends - The aging population presents opportunities in the silver economy, emphasizing the need for policies to boost birth rates and early childhood development [11]. - Consumer behavior is shifting towards interest-based spending, with cultural consumption and local trends gaining popularity among younger demographics [9][30].