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国泰海通:《稀土开采和稀土冶炼分离总量调控管理暂行办法》发布 重点关注中重稀土冶炼分离企业
智通财经网· 2025-08-24 23:41
智通财经APP获悉,国泰海通证券发布研究报告称,8月22日,工信部、国家发改委、自然资源部发布 《稀土开采和稀土冶炼分离总量调控管理暂行办法》,管理办法落地后,稀土冶炼分离供给端约束将实 质性显现,冶炼资产重估有望看到,进而继续催化稀土板块行情。国泰海通认为临近新能源汽车旺季, 国内外企业补库需求较强,推动近期稀土价格加速上涨。本次管理办法施行后,对供给和情绪端均有较 强催化,稀土价格上涨动力仍较强,板块有望继续表现,重点关注中重稀土冶炼分离企业。 管理办法落地后,供给约束将实质性显现。本次管理办法规定仅允许由工信部、自然资源部确定的企业 进行冶炼分离,且将进口矿纳入监管。相较于2月份的征求意见稿,基本思路一致,但是对冶炼分离企 业的表述由"两大集团"变为"指定企业",除集团外的民营冶炼分离企业可能受到明显约束,且后续可能 通过冶炼分离白名单的形式进行管理。这意味着可能会导致部分中小冶炼分离企业的退出,国泰海通证 券认为管理办法落地后,国内供给端约束将实质性显现。 冶炼加工费加速提升,冶炼资产有望重估。据百川盈孚数据,8月初以来,中钇富铕矿(重稀土矿)加工 费从0.15万元/吨上涨至1.35万元/吨。截至20 ...
中国稀土(000831):稀土价格企稳回升,公司量增明显
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-01 14:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6][4]. Core Views - The company has shown a significant recovery in performance, with a notable increase in sales volume and a rebound in rare earth prices. The revenue for Q1 2025 reached 728 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 141% [1][2]. - The company is positioned as a core listed entity of the China Rare Earth Group, benefiting from substantial resource advantages, including exclusive mining rights in Hunan province [3]. - Profitability is on a recovery path, with a gross margin of 9.77% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.46% [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 3.03 billion yuan, a decrease of 24% year-on-year, primarily due to falling rare earth prices. However, projections for 2025 and beyond indicate a recovery, with expected revenues of 3.47 billion yuan in 2025 and 4.43 billion yuan in 2026 [11][14]. - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -286.91 million yuan in 2024, but is projected to return to profitability with 285.61 million yuan in 2025 and 502.52 million yuan in 2026 [14][11]. - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 15.75%, with expectations of improvement in subsequent years [15][14]. Sales and Production Insights - The sales volume of rare earth oxides and metals increased significantly in Q1 2025, with respective volumes of 6,512 tons and 1,906 tons, marking year-on-year increases of 80% and 142% [2]. - The company’s mining output reached 2,384 tons, with smelting and separation primarily conducted by its subsidiaries [2][3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized for its unique resource advantages, being the only operator of ion-type rare earth mines in Hunan, and is classified as a "national green mine" [3]. - The company is actively working on exploration and mining efficiency improvements through partnerships, such as with Huaxia Jiyuan [3]. Future Projections - The company is expected to benefit from its position within the China Rare Earth Group, with projected net profits of 286 million yuan in 2025, 503 million yuan in 2026, and 765 million yuan in 2027 [4][11].