Group 1 - The A-share market is entering a dense period of semi-annual performance forecasts, with over 120 listed companies having released their forecasts, and nearly 80% of these companies are expected to see profit increases, slight increases, continued earnings, or turnaround in losses [1][2] - Companies with core technologies, brand advantages, and global layouts are expected to continue leading the market and create excess returns for investors in the context of a stable and improving macroeconomic environment [1] Group 2 - Northern Rare Earth and Xianda Co. are among the companies expecting significant profit increases, with Northern Rare Earth forecasting a net profit of 900 million to 960 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [2][4] - Xianda Co. anticipates a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking an increase of 2443.43% to 2834.73% compared to the same period last year [5] Group 3 - Muyuan Foods expects a net profit of 10.5 billion to 11 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 924.6% to 973.39% [6] - Other companies like Youfa Group and Yonghe Shares also expect to achieve doubled profits in the first half of the year [6] Group 4 - Nearly 80% of the companies that have released performance forecasts are expected to see profit increases, with Huayin Power being the "profit increase king," forecasting a net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3600.7% to 4423.07% [7][10] - Several companies, including Deep Shenzhen A and Xianggang Technology, are also expected to achieve doubled growth in their performance for the first half of the year [9] Group 5 - Industrial Fulian expects a net profit of 11.958 billion to 12.158 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.84% to 39.12%, driven by rapid growth in its cloud computing business [11][12] - The company has seen significant growth in AI server revenue, which increased by over 60% compared to the same period last year, and its market share among major clients continues to rise [11][12]

对话稀土专家：如何解读稀土价格 20250514 摘要 • 四月市场悲观情绪导致稀土价格下跌至 405 元，但中美贸易谈判后，稀土 价格反弹至 435 元，磁钢出口许可证发放超预期，提振市场信心，钴锂、 镝铁合金价格亦开始上涨。 • 稀土供应端自四月以来显著减量，废料处理和原矿生产指标均下降，而中 美贸易缓和及出口管制放松刺激需求，持证大型企业磁钢批量出口，可能 导致需求翻倍，供应短缺。 • 镝铁合金和氧化镝价格稳定，氧化铽价格大幅上涨，预计 2025 年氧化铽 存在 150 吨以上缺口，若出口管制放松，缺口将扩大，全年价格或达 900 万至 1,000 万元以上。 • 五月稀土市场或迎爆发点，前期出口管制及价格下跌导致下游及中间商库 存低位，若需求暴增，重稀土氧化物价格可能突破 50 万元，中美贸易预 期是主要驱动力。 • 磁钢出口申报流程加快，企业已陆续获得出口许可，特别是高端稀土钕铁 硼磁钢，深加工产品出口情况改善，预示行业前景乐观，政策预期积极。 Q&A 今年（2025 年）以来稀土市场的供需情况如何？ 今年以来，稀土市场的关注度一直很高。从清明节前到清明节后，包括到 5 月 份中美谈判超预期，期间经 ...

公司报告 | 季报点评 中国稀土（000831） 证券研究报告 稀土价格企稳回升，公司量增明显 业绩：24 年公司实现营收 30.27 亿元，同比-24%，主要受稀土价格下行影 响；25Q1 实现营收 7.28 亿元，同比+141%，环比-32%，主要由于稀土价格 回升，公司调整了销售策略；利润端，24 全年归母净利润-2.87 亿元，主要 受补缴税费及减值影响（其中资产减值 4.15 亿，子公司中稀湖南补缴以前 年度税费 1.52 亿，去除影响后利润 2.8 亿），扣非净利润-1.45 亿；2 5Q1 归 母净利润 0.73 亿元，业绩大幅修复。 销量大增，25Q1 价格回升 稀土氧化物和稀土金属销量分别为 6512/1906 吨，同比+80%/+142%；稀土 矿产量 2384 吨；冶炼分离主要由定南大华完成，产能 4400 吨，中稀永州 5000 吨去年底产能爬坡。价格方面，1）矿端，2024 年中钇富铕矿平均价 格 17.55 万 元 / 吨，同比 -27% ，具体 Q1-Q4 平均价格为 17.67/17.92/17.13/17.50 万元/吨，25Q1 平均价格 18.12 万元/吨；2）稀土 产 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that despite a projected decline in rare earth material prices in 2024, the company is expected to see an increase in sales volume of high-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials by 37.88% to 20,900 tons, although profit growth may not match revenue growth due to raw material cost fluctuations and intensified industry competition [1][2] - The average price of metal praseodymium and neodymium is expected to drop to 490,000 yuan per ton in 2024, a decrease of approximately 25% from the average of 650,000 yuan per ton in 2023 [1] - The company's gross profit margin is projected to decrease to 11.13% in 2024 from 16.07% in 2023, reflecting a reduction of 4.94 percentage points [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to produce 21,600 tons of neodymium-iron-boron magnetic steel products in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.40%, driven by the commissioning of ongoing projects [2] - By the end of 2024, the company will have a production capacity of 38,000 tons per year for high-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials, with plans to reach 40,000 tons by 2025 [2] - The price of rare earth materials has shown signs of stabilization since Q2 2024, with a projected 11% increase in metal praseodymium and neodymium prices by the end of March 2025, indicating a gradual recovery in business profitability [2]