Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yili Co., Ltd. (伊利股份) [3][5] Core Views - Yili Co., Ltd. emphasizes a strategy focused on quality leadership, horizontal expansion, and vertical upgrades, aiming for balanced growth and profitability while enhancing shareholder returns [2][4] - Despite short-term demand pressures, the company has stabilized its liquid milk market share, with other business segments performing well and continuous improvement in net profit margins [5] - The company plans to focus on the recovery of liquid milk, performance improvement under supply-demand balance, and new growth drivers from deep processing, health products, and overseas markets [5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yili Co., Ltd. held an investor day on November 18, 2025, where management discussed the five-year development plan, highlighting the potential for increased per capita consumption of dairy products in China [2] Financial Performance - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) of 1.76 CNY and 1.94 CNY for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a valuation of 16.7X for 2025 [5] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 116.53 billion CNY, with a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year [6][14] Business Segments - Liquid Milk: The company is shifting from extensive growth to high-quality growth through product innovation and brand enhancement, aiming for positive growth ahead of the industry by 2026 [4][5] - Infant Formula: The "Golden Crown" brand has maintained over 15% compound growth in the past five years, with a target to achieve over 25% market share [4] - Deep Processing: The deep processing sector is rapidly developing, with significant market potential driven by consumption upgrades [4] International Expansion - Yili Co., Ltd. is committed to international growth, with targets for double-digit compound growth in markets like Indonesia and Thailand, and a 20% growth target in the Australian market [4] Shareholder Returns - The company has announced a dividend payout ratio of no less than 75% for the years 2025-2027, with a minimum cash dividend of 1.22 CNY per share for 2024 [4][5]

Group 1 - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext Index rebounding over 2%, reaching a three-year high [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.37 trillion yuan, an increase of 44.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Sectors such as gaming, AI applications, and controllable nuclear fusion saw significant gains, while port shipping, precious metals, and oil and gas sectors faced declines [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities is optimistic about investment opportunities arising from the "14th Five-Year Plan" capacity electricity pricing and peak-valley price differences, predicting that by 2027-2030, the peak-valley price difference will reach around 0.4 yuan per kilowatt-hour [2] - CITIC Jiantou highlights the domestic dairy product deep processing sector entering a high growth phase, with future capacity expected to exceed 700,000 tons and B-end deep processing demand projected to exceed 26 billion yuan [3] - CITIC Securities anticipates that the weakness of the US dollar will persist at least until the end of 2025, influenced by narrowing monetary policy differentials and slowing economic momentum in the US [4]