Core Viewpoint - SAP's third-quarter financial results showed overall stability, but cloud business revenue fell short of market expectations, leading to a post-market stock drop of approximately 4% [1][3]. Financial Performance - Operating profit increased by 12% to €2.49 billion, with an operating margin rising by 1.3 percentage points to 27.4%. Non-IFRS operating profit grew by 14% to €2.57 billion, with a constant currency growth of 19% [4]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) rose by 37% to €1.72 under IFRS, and by 29% to €1.59 under non-IFRS, exceeding analyst expectations of €1.49 [5]. - Operating cash flow grew by 7% to €1.5 billion, while free cash flow increased by 5% to €1.27 billion [5]. Cloud Business Insights - Cloud business backlog orders grew by 23% to €18.84 billion, with a constant currency growth of 27% [5]. - Cloud revenue increased by 22% to €5.29 billion, but fell short of analyst expectations of €5.33 billion; cloud ERP suite revenue grew by 26% to €4.59 billion, with a constant currency growth of 31% [5]. - Cloud business gross profit rose by 24% to €3.95 billion under IFRS, and by 24% to €3.97 billion under non-IFRS, with a constant currency growth of 28% [9]. Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue from cloud and software grew by 8% to €8.02 billion, with a constant currency growth of 12% [7]. - Service revenue increased by 2% to €1.06 billion, with a constant currency growth of 6%. Overall revenue grew by 7% to €9.08 billion, with a constant currency growth of 11% [8]. - Software licensing revenue declined by 43% to €160 million, with a constant currency decline of 42% [6]. Future Outlook - For 2025, SAP expects cloud revenue to be at the lower end of the guidance range, between €21.6 billion and €21.9 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 26% to 28% [11]. - Non-IFRS operating profit is projected to be at the upper end of the guidance range, between €10.3 billion and €10.6 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 26% to 30% [12]. - Free cash flow is anticipated to be between €8 billion and €8.2 billion [13]. Market Context - SAP's stock has declined approximately 9% over the past three months, and the company was previously seen as a potential challenger to the U.S. tech giants [14][16]. - The CEO highlighted strong cloud revenue growth of 27% and expressed confidence in achieving faster overall revenue growth by 2026 [17]. - Analysts noted that trade disputes and economic weakness have impacted sales, particularly from manufacturing clients [18][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook for SAP, expecting cloud revenue growth of 26-28% year-on-year for 2025, with non-IFRS operating profit guidance of €10.3-10.6 billion [5][17]. Core Insights - SAP's Q2 2025 results showed total revenue of €9.03 billion, a 9% year-on-year increase, with cloud revenue reaching €5.13 billion, up 24% year-on-year, although slightly below market expectations [2][12]. - Non-IFRS operating profit was €2.57 billion, a significant 32% increase year-on-year, exceeding analyst expectations [2][13]. - Free cash flow was particularly strong at €2.36 billion, representing an 83% year-on-year increase, far surpassing market expectations [2][13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was €9.03 billion, up 9% year-on-year (12% at constant currency), slightly below the expected €9.07 billion [2][12]. - Cloud revenue reached €5.13 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase (28% at constant currency), also below the expected €5.17 billion [2][12]. - Non-IFRS operating profit was €2.57 billion, up 32% year-on-year (35% at constant currency), exceeding the expected €2.43 billion [2][13]. - Non-IFRS earnings per share were €1.50, a 37% increase year-on-year [2][13]. - Free cash flow reached €2.36 billion, an 83% increase year-on-year, significantly above the expected €1.43 billion [2][13]. Business Drivers - The strong performance of the cloud ERP suite contributed to revenue growth, with a 34% increase to €4.42 billion, maintaining over 30% growth for 14 consecutive quarters [2][13]. - Optimization of share-based compensation expenses contributed to profit growth, with a reduction of €331 million year-on-year [2][13]. - The use of Business AI products improved operational efficiency, with productivity on the digital sales platform increasing by 50% [3][14]. Market Expansion and Innovation - SAP released 14 AI agents in Q2 2025, with plans to reach 40 by year-end, enhancing various business scenarios [3][14]. - The company maintained a high closing rate among key customers in the public sector and defense, with significant new customer additions in digital supply chain and human capital management solutions [4][15]. - SAP is expanding its presence in the Chinese market through a strategic partnership with Alibaba, which will deploy SAP Business Suite and explore AI integration [4][16]. Future Outlook - SAP maintains its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting cloud revenue of €21.6-21.9 billion and non-IFRS operating profit of €10.3-10.6 billion [5][17]. - The company remains cautiously optimistic about the second half of the year, driven by advancements in Business AI and strategic partnerships [5][17].