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水羊股份(300740):自有&CP品牌双轮驱动,高端化全球化转型
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company is transitioning into a high-end global beauty group driven by its own brands and CP (Contract Production) brands, with a focus on high-end and global expansion [6][7]. - The financial forecast indicates a recovery trend in performance, with expected net profits of 258 million, 331 million, and 398 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting significant growth rates [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 4,237 in 2024, 2,500 in H1 2025, 4,630 in 2025E, 4,996 in 2026E, and 5,382 in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of -5.7%, 9.0%, 9.3%, 7.9%, and 7.7% respectively [2]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million yuan) is expected to be 110 in 2024, 123 in H1 2025, 258 in 2025E, 331 in 2026E, and 398 in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of -62.6%, 16.5%, 134.9%, 28.1%, and 20.2% respectively [2]. - Earnings per share (in yuan/share) are forecasted to be 0.28 in 2024, 0.32 in H1 2025, 0.66 in 2025E, 0.85 in 2026E, and 1.02 in 2027E [2]. Business Model and Strategy - The company operates a dual business model of self-owned brands and CP brands, with a strong focus on high-end brand development and global market penetration [6][21]. - The self-owned brand matrix includes high-end brands like EDB, PA, and RV, alongside popular brands like YUNIFANG and DSD, which cater to diverse consumer needs [6][21]. - The company has established a robust digital platform for international beauty brands, collaborating with over 50 international brands across various categories [6][21]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a concentrated and stable shareholding structure, with the founder holding approximately 43.1% of the shares, ensuring strong governance [24]. - The management team possesses extensive experience in the beauty industry, enhancing the company's strategic and operational capabilities [27]. - The company has demonstrated a significant improvement in profitability, with gross margins increasing from 52.07% in 2021 to 64.61% in 2025H1, driven by the high-end brand strategy [32].
水羊股份(300740):自有、CP品牌双轮驱动,高端化全球化转型
上 市 公 司 美容护理 2025 年 09 月 11 日 水羊股份 (300740) ——自有&CP 品牌双轮驱动,高端化全球化转型 投资要点: 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025H1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 4,237 | 2,500 | 4,630 | 4,996 | 5,382 | | 同比增长率(%) | -5.7 | 9.0 | 9.3 | 7.9 | 7.7 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 110 | 123 | 258 | 331 | 398 | | 同比增长率(%) | -62.6 | 16.5 | 134.9 | 28.1 | 20.2 | | 每股收益(元/股) | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.66 | 0.85 | 1.02 | | 毛利率(%) | 63.0 | 64.6 | 66.4 | 67.3 | 68.1 | | ROE(%) | 5.2 | 5.7 | 11.4 | 12.7 | 13.3 | | 市盈率 | 78 | ...
水羊股份(300740):二季度归母净利同比增长24% 高端化转型成效显著
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 00:43
Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated accelerated growth in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 2.5 billion, a year-over-year increase of 9.02%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 123 million, up 16.54% year-over-year [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.414 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12.16%, and net profit of 81 million, which is a 23.76% increase year-over-year [1] - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q2 2025 were 65.27% and 5.77%, respectively, showing improvements of 3.67 and 0.48 percentage points year-over-year [2] Business Segments - The self-owned brand segment generated revenue of 1.039 billion in H1 2025, accounting for 41.55% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 76.83%, up 5.7 percentage points year-over-year [1] - The company is focusing on high-end brands such as Ifidan, Perheqiao, and Revive, with Revive contributing significantly to revenue growth after its acquisition [1] - The agency operation business is returning to normal development, focusing on leading brands like Dabao and Mistick, which has stabilized overall profit margins [2] Product Categories - In H1 2025, the water, milk, and cream category generated revenue of 1.997 billion, a year-over-year increase of 11.70%, while the mask category achieved revenue of 423 million, up 17.96% year-over-year [2] Sales Channels - The company primarily utilizes online e-commerce channels, with revenue from Taobao platforms at 595 million, a year-over-year increase of 3.63%, and from Douyin platforms at 998 million, up 16.11% year-over-year [2] Cost Structure - In Q2 2025, the sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 48.47%, 4.80%, and 1.62%, respectively, reflecting increases of 1.20, 0.90, and 0.52 percentage points year-over-year [2]
水羊股份(300740):二季度归母净利同比增长24%,高端化转型成效显著
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-24 13:33
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7][22][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in Q2, with a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 24%, driven by a focus on high-end brand development and improved brand structure [1][2][10] - The self-owned brand segment generated revenue of 1.039 billion, accounting for 41.55% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 76.83%, reflecting a 5.7 percentage point increase year-on-year [3][11] - The company is enhancing its high-end and global strategies, with brands like Ifidan and Revive contributing positively to revenue growth [3][5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.02%, and a net profit of 123 million, up 16.54% [2][10] - In Q2 alone, revenue reached 1.414 billion, marking a 12.16% increase year-on-year, while net profit rose to 81 million, a 23.76% increase [2][10] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 65.27%, an increase of 3.67 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [4][12] Business Segment Analysis - The self-owned brand segment is performing strongly, with significant contributions from high-end brands and a focus on expanding product lines [3][11] - The agency operation business is stabilizing, with a focus on high-efficiency brands, leading to an overall improvement in profit margins [3][11] - Revenue from the skincare category reached 1.997 billion, up 11.70% year-on-year, while mask sales increased by 17.96% to 423 million [3][11] Future Earnings Forecast - The company has slightly adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 to 227 million, while increasing projections for 2026 and 2027 to 296 million and 352 million, respectively [5][22] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 35, 27, and 23 times, respectively [5][22] Market Position and Valuation - The company's market capitalization is approximately 8 billion, with a closing price of 20.52 yuan [7][23] - The company is positioned favorably in the market, with a strong focus on high-end beauty products and a recovery in its operational business [5][22]