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燕京啤酒(000729):旺季圆满收官,高端化稳步推进
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-21 03:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yanjing Beer [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 13.433 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.770 billion yuan, up 37.45% year-on-year [1] - The company continues to implement a big product strategy, with the Yanjing U8 series showing strong growth, contributing to product structure upgrades and market rejuvenation [2] - The company is focusing on digital transformation and supply chain optimization to enhance overall efficiency and profitability [2] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a beer sales volume of 3.4952 million kiloliters, a year-on-year increase of 1.39%, with a price per ton of approximately 3,843 yuan, up 3.13% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 50.15%, an increase of 2.16% year-on-year, with net profit margin reaching 13.70%, up 2.66% year-on-year [1] - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to grow by 51.6%, 19.1%, and 14.2%, reaching 1.600 billion, 1.906 billion, and 2.177 billion yuan respectively [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The projected revenue for 2025 is 15.532 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.9% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated to be 0.57 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.0 [4]
燕京啤酒(000729):中报再超预期,旺季景气延续
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-11 06:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue of 8.558 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.103 billion yuan, up 45.45% year-on-year [1]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by an increase in average selling price, with beer business revenue reaching 7.896 billion yuan, a 6.88% increase year-on-year, supported by a 4.75% rise in price per ton [1][4]. - The company is focusing on high-end product penetration in mature markets while accelerating its presence in emerging markets [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.731 billion yuan, a 6.11% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 938 million yuan, up 43% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 47.70%, with a notable decrease of 0.63 percentage points due to cost release [3]. - The company’s subsidiaries, such as Liqueur Beer and Huichuan Beer, also showed stable growth, with revenues of 2 billion yuan and 351 million yuan, respectively [3]. Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its product mix with the U8 series and exploring new revenue streams through "beer + beverage" marketing strategies [4]. - Sales in various regions showed diverse growth, with the East China region experiencing a 20.5% increase in revenue [2]. Future Outlook - The company expects a strong performance in the upcoming seasons, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 to grow by 38.2%, 22.3%, and 17.6%, reaching 1.46 billion yuan, 1.78 billion yuan, and 2.1 billion yuan, respectively [4].