东吴证券股份有限公司吴劲草,郗越近期对丸美生物（603983）进行研究并发布了研究报告《2025年半年 报点评：25H1收入高增31%，大单品系列持续扩充》，给予丸美生物买入评级。 丸美生物 投资要点 公司发布2025H1业绩：25H1公司实现营收17.7亿元，同比+30.8%，实现归母净利润1.9亿元，同比 +5.2%，扣非后归母净利1.8亿元，同比+6.6%。单25Q2看，公司实现营收9.2亿元，同比+33.5%，实现归 母净利润0.5亿元，同比-23.1%，扣非后归母净利0.4亿元，同比-30.2%。2025H1分红1亿元，分红比例达 53%。 盈利预测与投资评级：公司转型调整成效显著，品牌聚焦大单品战略提升用户黏性，自有品牌快速放量， 大单品小金针、小红笔等表现强劲，25年丸美品牌重磅推出小金针超级面膜，PL品牌蹭不掉粉底液更新 4.0，多品牌成长可期。我们维持公司2025-27年归母净利润预测4.4/5.5/6.9亿元，分别同比 +28%/+26%/+24%，对应PE分别为41/33/26X，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧，新品推广进展不及预期，宏观经济波动等。 证券之星数据中心根据近三 ...

证券研究报告 农林牧渔 | 种植业 北交所|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 08 月 21 日 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC：S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 康农种业(837403.BJ) 投资评级： 增持（维持） ——2025H1 合同负债同比增长 410%，期待销售旺季业绩表现 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券分析师 经营情况：2025H1 实现营业收入 4587.42 万元（yoy-2.68%），归母净利润为 868.85 万元（yoy+12.22%），扣非归母净利润为 399.41 万元，同比扭亏为盈，毛利率 39.46% （yoy+13.5pcts）；销售费用率 17.31%，同比增长 7.21pcts，主要原因是公司进一 步加大核心品种的宣传力度，宣传推广费用增加，仓储运输费用同比增加。2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 2157.55 万元（yoy+67.73%），归母净利润为 957.60 万元，同 比扭亏为盈。 联 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating strong growth potential and a transition towards improved quality and efficiency [5]. Core Views - The company's profitability is continuously enhancing, benefiting from ongoing reforms and management improvements. The beer business has shown a cost per ton of 1824.35 RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 2.83%, achieving a gross margin of 45.66%, up 1.01 percentage points from the previous year [5]. - The company reported a revenue of 85.58 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.37%, with a net profit of 11.03 billion RMB, up 45.45% year-on-year. The beverage segment is expected to become a second growth driver [6]. - The company is focusing on product structure upgrades, with the U8 product line performing strongly, particularly among younger consumers, and is expected to continue growing with market expansion initiatives [6]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price as of August 14, 2025, was 12.32 RMB, with a total market capitalization of 34,724.40 million RMB and a circulating market value of 30,918.35 million RMB [3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit margin of 22.03% in Q2 2025, an increase of 5.37 percentage points year-on-year. The revenue for Q2 2025 was 47.31 billion RMB, with a net profit of 9.38 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 43% year-on-year [5][6]. - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 14.59 billion RMB, 17.91 billion RMB, and 20.41 billion RMB, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 38.19%, 22.78%, and 13.96% respectively [5]. Profitability and Efficiency - The company has improved its cost management, with significant reductions in sales and management expense ratios, contributing to enhanced net profit margins. The gross margin is projected to increase to 44.27% by 2027 [6][8]. - The company’s capacity utilization rate for 2024 was 46.86%, indicating room for improvement compared to industry averages [5]. Product and Market Strategy - The company is implementing a "beer + beverage" marketing strategy, which has led to significant growth in the beverage segment, with beverage revenue increasing by 98.69% year-on-year [6]. - The product mix has shifted towards higher-end products, with mid-to-high-end products accounting for 70.11% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, up from 68.54% in the same period of 2024 [6].

Group 1 - Wahaha is currently facing negative public opinion due to a heritage dispute, which has led to a significant decline in sales and live-streaming activities [1][3] - Sales on an e-commerce platform dropped from a range of 10,000 to 25,000 units to 5,000 to 7,500 units within two days, and the number of associated live streams fell from 371 to 91 in a week [1][2] - In contrast, the death of Wahaha's founder in 2024 previously resulted in a surge in both traffic and sales, with the market share of bottled water increasing from 4.17% to 20.04% in a few months [3] Group 2 - The company has struggled with product innovation for nearly 20 years, with no new major products launched since the Nutritional Fast Line in 2005 [4][5] - Competitors like Nongfu Spring and Uni-President have successfully developed strong single products, while Wahaha has failed to maintain its competitive edge in existing products [4][5] - The lack of new major products and increasing competition in the AD calcium milk segment poses a threat to Wahaha's market position [4][5] Group 3 - The company needs to refocus on normal operations and product innovation to address its long-standing issues [5] - Wahaha's previous successes were closely tied to the popularity of its AD calcium milk and purified water, which contributed to rapid growth in the early 2000s [6][7] - The company has attempted to innovate with new products but has faced challenges due to unclear market positioning and lack of differentiation [20][22][24] Group 4 - Recent internal conflicts and complex ownership structures have hindered Wahaha's ability to focus on core business issues [32] - The company must prioritize product development and innovation to regain its competitive edge in a rapidly evolving market [32]

Core Viewpoint - Both Yanjing Beer and Zhujiang Beer reported positive growth in their performance for the first half of 2025, but foreign capital's attitudes towards them differ significantly, indicating varied investment signals [2][3]. Group 1: Performance Overview - Yanjing Beer is expected to see a net profit increase for the first half of 2025, with foreign capital increasing its holdings by 1,794.37 million shares in 2025 [3]. - Zhujiang Beer also reported growth, but foreign capital reduced its holdings by 1,776.49 million shares in the second quarter, a decrease of over 50% [3][4]. - Zhujiang Beer's stock price rose by 13.7% in the second quarter, outperforming Yanjing Beer, raising questions about the significant sell-off by foreign capital [4]. Group 2: Investment Behavior - Foreign capital's operations regarding Zhujiang Beer have been highly flexible, primarily engaging in wave trading, while maintaining stable holdings in Yanjing Beer [6]. - In the second quarter of 2023, after a year of declining stock prices, Zhujiang Beer experienced a rebound, prompting foreign capital to reduce holdings by 534 million shares [6]. - In the first quarter of 2024, foreign capital purchased 2,134 million shares of Zhujiang Beer, but chose to significantly reduce holdings in the second quarter as the stock price increased [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Yanjing Beer's strong performance is driven by a more than 30% year-on-year increase in sales of its core product, U8, while Zhujiang Beer's growth is heavily reliant on the South China market, which accounts for over 90% of its sales [8]. - The overall beer industry has shown a recovery in demand, with domestic beer production increasing by 2.9% year-on-year from April to May 2025 [8]. - The smaller market capitalization of Zhujiang Beer leads to greater stock price volatility, resulting in a more agile investment approach from institutional funds [9]. Group 4: Institutional Interest - Following the release of Yanjing Beer's performance forecast for the first half of 2025, several securities firms and private equity funds showed strong interest, conducting consecutive days of research on the company [10][12]. - Notable institutions involved in the research include Shenwan Hongyuan, Northeast Securities, and various funds such as Huaxia Fund and E Fund [12][14]. Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - Yanjing Beer is implementing a large product strategy centered around U8, focusing on product innovation and brand influence to enhance market share [14]. - The company is also pursuing a "beer + beverage" marketing strategy to cater to younger consumers, leveraging synergies in production and supply chains [14]. - Analysts expect Yanjing Beer to maintain strong profit growth, driven by the expansion of U8 and operational efficiency improvements [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - Yanjing Beer has achieved significant revenue and net profit growth due to product structure optimization, cost control, and market expansion [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit of 1.062 billion to 1.137 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 50% [1][3] - From 2020 to 2024, Yanjing Beer's revenue increased from 10.928 billion yuan to 14.667 billion yuan, a cumulative growth of 34%, while net profit surged from 197 million yuan to 1.056 billion yuan, an increase of over 400% [2][3] Brand Value - Yanjing Beer was included in the "China's 500 Most Valuable Brands" list with a brand value of 237.9 billion yuan in 2025, up from 180.575 billion yuan in 2023 and 223.695 billion yuan in 2024 [3] Product Strategy - The company has focused on a big product strategy and expansion of mid-to-high-end production capacity, with the revenue share of mid-to-high-end products rising from 59.81% in 2020 to 67.01% in 2024 [1][4] - The Yanjing U8 product has seen an average annual sales growth of over 30% since its launch in 2020, with sales exceeding 5 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 35% of the company's beer business revenue [4] Market Expansion - Yanjing Beer has entered international markets through Southeast Asian agents, achieving export revenue of 120 million yuan in 2024, a 40% year-on-year increase [4] - The company has diversified its product line by launching beverages like Beistejia soda and health foods, with non-beer business revenue reaching 820 million yuan in 2024, a 22% increase [5]

Group 1: Company Overview and Performance - Beijing Yanjing Beer Co., Ltd. expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 1,061.50 million and 1,137.32 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 50% [1] - The company has implemented systematic reforms to enhance management efficiency and market competitiveness through nine major transformations [1] Group 2: Strategic Outlook for 2025 - In 2025, the company aims to leverage its strengths in party building to enhance operational competitiveness and drive high-quality development [1] - The focus will be on four key areas: production, market, supply chain, and digitalization, to improve operational efficiency and facilitate a transformation in the development model [2] Group 3: Product and Market Strategy - The company will continue to pursue a big product strategy, solidifying the position of core products like Yanjing U8, while expanding its mid-to-high-end product offerings [2] - Emphasis will be placed on innovation and the introduction of high-end and super high-end products to meet diverse consumer demands [2] Group 4: Core Competitiveness - Yanjing Beer has developed core competitiveness through market, product, brand, management, and technological advantages, contributing to the growth of China's national beer industry [2] - The company is committed to enhancing its core competitiveness, innovation capability, and risk management through continuous optimization of product structure and brand image [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yanjing Beer [6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.62 to 11.37 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 50% [1] - The U8 product line is showing strong growth potential, with the company focusing on product innovation and market promotion to enhance brand influence and market share [1][3] - The company is actively expanding its market presence and upgrading its sales channel structure to adapt to changing consumer preferences [2] Financial Performance - The projected net profit for 2025 is expected to be between 14.6 billion yuan and 21.0 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.2%, 22.1%, and 17.6% respectively [3] - The company anticipates a revenue increase from 14.213 billion yuan in 2023 to 17.343 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.8% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.23 yuan in 2023 to 0.74 yuan in 2027 [5] Market Strategy - The company is implementing a "big product" strategy centered around the U8 brand, while also launching mid-to-high-end products like Yanjing V10 and Lion King Craft Beer to cater to diverse consumer needs [1][2] - A focus on cost control and efficiency improvement is evident, with the company adopting a "multi-dimensional cost reduction and efficiency enhancement" model [2] - The company is enhancing its talent management system to build a competitive workforce across various functions including R&D, production, marketing, and supply chain management [2]

Core Viewpoint - Yanjing Beer is expected to report a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by systematic reforms and a multi-dimensional value creation system [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of approximately 10.62 billion to 11.37 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 50% [1]. - For the first quarter of 2025, Yanjing Beer reported a net profit of 1.65 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 61.1% year-on-year [3]. - The projected net profit for the second quarter of 2025 is estimated to be between 8.97 billion and 9.72 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.74% to 48.17% [3]. Profitability Trends - Despite the strong growth in profitability, the growth rate of the net profit excluding non-recurring items has shown a noticeable slowdown compared to the same period in 2024 [3]. - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved a net profit of 7.58 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 47.54% [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is committed to advancing its "big product" strategy centered around Yanjing U8, focusing on continuous product innovation and market promotion to enhance brand influence and market share [4]. - Yanjing Beer has introduced a range of mid-to-high-end products, including Yanjing V10 and Lion King Craft Beer, to cater to diverse consumer needs [4]. Market Development - The company plans to pursue both meticulous market cultivation and strategic expansion, enhancing its market development system [5]. - Yanjing Beer is actively expanding into new markets and channels, adapting to the shift towards personalized and scenario-based consumption in the beer market [5].

Group 1 - The report identifies five new consumption logics in the catering industry: cost-performance logic, big product logic, pre-made plus on-site logic, multi-engine logic, and light social logic [1][5][10] - The cost-performance logic highlights that Generation Z consumers prioritize high cost-performance and emotional value, leading to trends like the popularity of "leftover blind boxes" [1][12][13] - The big product logic emphasizes that successful big products rely on cost-performance or unique features, fostering consumer loyalty while balancing innovation and tradition [1][20][22] Group 2 - The report indicates that the chain small store model is emerging as a new trend in the industry, characterized by low costs and high efficiency, suitable for fragmented social interactions [2][6] - Key competitive points for the chain small store model include product iteration innovation, supply chain flexibility, investment in store equipment, deep digitalization, and food safety crisis management [2][6][22] - The report reflects a profound transformation in the catering industry regarding consumer demand and operational models, providing directional guidance for industry development [2][6] Group 3 - The report notes that the catering industry is experiencing a significant industrialization and digitalization revolution, with pre-made industrialization becoming a major trend [27][28] - The pre-made industrialization is driven by breakthroughs in commercial efficiency, rising consumer demands for food safety and convenience, and supportive policy incentives [27][28] - The report predicts that the pre-made food market in China will exceed 500 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of over 20% [37] Group 4 - The report highlights the importance of blending public and private domain operations in catering, with public domain traffic including offline natural traffic and online platforms, while private domain traffic focuses on refined operations to enhance customer loyalty [40][41] - The integration of "dine-in + retail" models is noted as a new trend, effectively improving space efficiency and meeting diverse consumer needs [36][34] - The report emphasizes that the catering industry's revenue structure is evolving from a single dine-in model to a dual-driven model of "dine-in + delivery" [34][36]