Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in U.S. economic activity and unexpected macro data in May have led to increased uncertainty, as reflected in the Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book, which used the term "uncertainty" 80 times, impacting the bond market positively with a notable rise in bond prices [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The Beige Book indicates a decline in U.S. economic activity, suggesting that tariffs and high uncertainty are causing a chain reaction in the economy [1] - ADP's report shows that private sector job growth in May was nearly stagnant, with only 37,000 jobs added, significantly below the expected 110,000, marking the lowest level in over two years [1] Group 2: Bond Market Trends - The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds have dropped to their lowest levels since May 9, with the 2-year yield down 8.25 basis points to 3.862% and the 10-year yield down 9.85 basis points to 4.355% [2] - Short-term bond ETFs have gained popularity, with significant inflows, including over $25 billion into iShares 0-3 Month U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) and SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (BIL) [4] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Many fixed-income investors are avoiding long-term U.S. Treasuries, shifting focus to short-term bonds as a substitute, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [4] - Current conditions are expected to lead to a supply-demand imbalance in the bond market, with potential upward pressure on term premiums, keeping medium to long-term Treasury yields elevated [5]

1. 美国 ETF创新产品： 数字货币Solana期货ETF发行 上周美国共10只新发产品，发行速度略有放缓： 贝莱德上周发行一只市政债指数产品，投资剩余期限在12年以上的投资级美国市政债，今年以来美国投资者对免税市 政债的需求较大。 个股杠杆产品近期发行热度较高，Defiance、Leverage Shares上周共发行4只2倍杠杆产品，挂钩金融服务平台 ROBINHOOD、网络安全提供商Palo Alto Networks和技术公司ADOBE。 上周美国股票整体表现企稳，国内股票产品大幅流入超过600亿美元，其余各类资产也都有一定流入： Fortuna上周发行一只比特币策略产品，主要投资比特币期货，并通过包括Covered Call在内的期权策略来提供一定的 安全垫，管理人将通过主动管理灵活决定期权的具体使用。 动量因子是美股2024年表现最好的因子，上周MarketDesk发行一只高集中度动量产品，主要使用质量、动量因子筛 选股票。在动量因子上，除了要求过去6个月涨幅靠前，还要求月度之间分布尽可能均匀、动量的持续性较强。 景顺上周发行一只期货策略产品，投资的品种包括股指期货、债券期货、外汇等，目前在股票 ...