鲁西化工所属申万行业为：基础化工-化学原料-煤化工。所属概念板块包括：盐化工、化肥、甲醇概 念、煤化工、磷化工等。 截至6月30日，鲁西化工股东户数10.10万，较上期增加9.83%；人均流通股18860股，较上期减少 8.95%。2025年1月-6月，鲁西化工实现营业收入147.39亿元，同比增长4.98%；归母净利润7.63亿元，同 比减少34.81%。 分红方面，鲁西化工A股上市后累计派现98.85亿元。近三年，累计派现21.67亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年3月31日，鲁西化工十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股1956.45万股，相比上期增加257.47万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第六大流通股 东，持股1462.82万股，相比上期减少143.69万股。景顺长城中证红利低波动100ETF（515100）位居第 八大流通股东，持股881.04万股，相比上期减少28.56万股。易方达中证红利ETF（515180）位居第九大 流通股东，持股850.11万股，相比上期增加53.29万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 8月27日，鲁西化工盘中上涨2.11%，截至10:1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Lu Xi Chemical has demonstrated significant growth in both revenue and net profit over the years, with a notable increase in its core product segments, particularly in chemical new materials [2][4]. Revenue Structure - The main business of Lu Xi Chemical includes chemical fertilizers, basic chemicals, and fine chemicals, with chemical new materials accounting for the highest revenue share at 68.43%, followed by basic chemicals at 19.47% [2]. Profit Growth - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.80 billion in its first year of listing in 1998, which grew to 20.29 billion by the latest complete fiscal year of 2024, marking a cumulative growth of 2434.85% over 27 years [2]. - Lu Xi Chemical has not reported a loss in any year since its listing, with 17 years of profit growth, representing 62.96% of the years [2]. Revenue Analysis - In terms of revenue, Lu Xi Chemical reported 175.92 billion in 2020, which increased to 297.63 billion in 2024, showing a fluctuating growth trend with a significant increase of 80.73% in 2021, followed by declines in 2022 and 2023, and a rebound of 17.37% in 2024 [2]. Profit Fluctuation - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.25 billion in 2020, rising to 20.29 billion in 2024, with notable volatility; it surged by 459.95% in 2021, then declined in 2022 and 2023, before a strong rebound of 147.79% in 2024 [2]. Market Capitalization - Since its listing, Lu Xi Chemical's market capitalization has increased by 8.50 times, indicating long-term growth potential [4]. - The peak market capitalization reached 491.50 billion on September 23, 2021, with the stock price rising to 25.81 yuan, but as of August 6, the market cap was 229.79 billion, reflecting a decrease of 261.71 billion, or 53.25% from its peak [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company's capacity construction is steadily advancing, and refined management along with energy-saving measures are continuously enhancing, indicating resilience in the company's performance [1] Investment Highlights - The rating is maintained at "Buy". Due to external environmental impacts on the prices of some chemical products, the EPS for 2025-2026 is revised down to 0.97/1.31 yuan (previously 1.19/1.4 yuan), with a new EPS for 2027 set at 1.36 yuan. Based on comparable company valuations and considering the company's growth potential, a 13x PE valuation for 2025 is given, corresponding to a target price of 12.61 yuan [2] - In 2024, the company's performance is expected to grow by 147.79% year-on-year. The projected revenue is 29.763 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.37%; net profit attributable to shareholders is 2.029 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 147.79%; and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items is 1.962 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 126.90%. For Q4 2024, revenue is expected to be 8.184 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.57%; net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at 454 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.50% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.46% [2] - In 2024, revenue growth for various product categories is projected as follows: new chemical materials +26.83%, basic chemical products -7.41%, fertilizers +17.85%, and other products +21.84%. Gross profit margins are expected to change as follows: +1.36 percentage points, +2.68 percentage points, -1.41 percentage points, and +2.73 percentage points respectively [2] Performance Resilience - In Q1 2025, the company demonstrated resilience with revenue of 7.290 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.96% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.92%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was 413 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.30% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.04%. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 384 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.81% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.40%. The primary reason for the decline was the drop in prices of some chemical products, which fell more than the decrease in raw material procurement prices [3] - The company is steadily advancing its capacity construction, with refined management and energy-saving measures continuously enhancing operations. In 2024, production facilities are expected to operate safely and stably, with successful full-load operation of the caprolactam and nylon 6 phase I project, smooth integration of the silicone project, and orderly progress of the ethylene downstream integration project and 150,000 tons of propionic acid project [3] - The equipment manufacturing business is deeply integrating resources and promoting market-oriented operations of the Luxi Engineering Company, transitioning from serving Luxi to serving Sinochem. The company is expanding exports of new energy equipment and promoting capacity expansion and efficiency improvement [3] - The main raw materials for the company's chemical products include coal, propylene, pure benzene, and methanol. The company focuses on stable cooperation with large state-owned producers to secure channels and strive for price advantages, while also leveraging the proximity of local refining enterprises for cost-effective procurement [3]