化工专场 - 年度中期策略会 20250624 摘要 聚酯产业链价格受成本、政策及地缘因素多重影响，4 月因成本下跌明 显下滑，5 月随关税政策转折和油价反弹回升，6 月中东冲突则推动油 价及相关产品价格快速上涨。 2025 年上半年乙二醇在聚酯产业链中表现较弱，主要因煤价下跌导致 煤制乙二醇供应稳定，而需求受到扰动，价格走势相对疲软。 2025 年 PX 与布伦特油价价差处于近五年低位，虽关税取消后有所回升， 但整体估值偏低，受汽油裂解价差走弱及甲苯、二甲苯需求减弱影响。 美国对芳烃需求一季度尚可，但四五月份同比萎缩，尤其从韩国进口甲 苯和纯苯量显著减少，导致亚洲地区甲苯和纯苯季节性需求未能显著好 转，PX 环节相对油价走弱。 聚酯纤维开工率年初下滑，但 PX 与 PTA 开工率季节性下降时，聚酯纤 维开工率保持高位，导致二季度 PX 与 PTA 去库存效果显著，目前两者 库存水平较低。 PTA 下半年预计新增产能投产，产量将显著提升，可能面临垒库压力； PX 年内无新增产能，若聚酯开工率维持高位，PX 需依赖进口，供需相 对平衡，装置稳定性至关重要。 聚丙烯塑料市场呈震荡下行熊市格局，受扩产加速、需求偏弱 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongyan Chemical (600328.SH) has successfully acquired a natural soda mining right in Inner Mongolia for approximately 6.8 billion yuan, aiming to strengthen its core soda ash business [2][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Zhongyan Chemical won the bidding for the natural soda mining rights after a third party withdrew, allowing the company to fully own the asset [3][5]. - The mining site is located in Tongliao City, Inner Mongolia, with a natural soda resource estimated at 2.077 billion tons, making it the largest known soda mine in China [6][8]. - The acquisition aligns with the company's strategy to focus on its core business and expand its natural soda production capacity, which is not subject to strict industrial policy restrictions [6][8]. Group 2: Financial Position - As of March 2025, Zhongyan Chemical's debt-to-asset ratio is 28.65%, indicating a relatively low level of debt and strong medium to long-term repayment capability [9][10]. - The company has a history of profitable operations, with cumulative profits of 7.681 billion yuan and cash dividends of 2.364 billion yuan since its listing [10]. - To finance the acquisition, Zhongyan Chemical plans to explore various funding options, including attracting strategic investors, utilizing its own funds, bank loans, and capital market financing [10]. Group 3: Industry Position - Zhongyan Chemical is currently the third-largest soda ash producer in China, with a production capacity of 3.9 million tons [8]. - The company has a competitive edge due to its resource advantages, scale, and integrated industrial chain, which includes various chemical products [8]. - The development of the natural soda industry is expected to optimize the company's product structure and enhance its core competitiveness in the soda ash market [8].

Group 1 - The company held a performance briefing on May 22, 2025, to discuss its 2024 annual and Q1 2025 results, with key executives present for investor interaction [1] - The company reported a revenue of 5.344 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 5.95% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.15% to 769 million yuan [3][4] - The company aims to enhance its long-term core competitiveness through a strategic transformation towards a "salt + energy storage" industry model [3] Group 2 - The investment in the air energy storage project by Jiangsu Guoxin Su Yan Storage Power Co., Ltd. is approximately 3.74 billion yuan, with a planned capacity of 300MW for the first phase, expected to commence production in July 2025 [2] - The company maintains a cash dividend payout ratio of 45.04% for 2024, with cumulative cash dividends of 960 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [4] - The company is focusing on the development of its "traditional, emerging, and future" industries, particularly in the salt cavern energy storage sector, to create new business opportunities and enhance profitability [3]

股票简称：双环科技 股票代码：000707 湖北双环科技股份有限公司 Hubei Shuanghuan Science and Technology Stock Co., Ltd. （湖北省应城市东马坊团结大道 26 号） 募集说明书 （注册稿） 保荐机构（主承销商） 广东省深圳市福田区中心三路 8 号卓越时代广场（二期）北座 二〇二五年五月 公司声明 公司及全体董事、监事、高级管理人员保证本募集说明书不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或重大遗漏，对本募集说明书的真实性、准确性、完整性承担个别和连带的法律责 任。 公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人（会计主管人员）保证本募集 说明书中财务会计报告真实、完整。 中国证监会、证券交易所及其他政府部门对本次向特定对象发行股票所做的任何决 定或意见，均不表明其对本公司股票的价值或投资者的收益做出实质性判断或保证。 本募集说明书按照《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》、 《公开发行证券的公司信息 披露内容与格式准则第 61 号——上市公司向特定对象发行证券募集说明书和发行情况 报告书》等要求编制。 本次向特定对象发行股票并在深交所上市完成后，公司经营与收益的变化，由公 ...

Q1 盈利同比下滑，纯碱景气静待复苏 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 化学原料 | 中盐化工于4月28日发布25Q1季报：Q1实现营业收入27.7亿元，同比+3%/ 环比-17%，归母净利润 0.17 亿元，同比-73%/环比+131%，扣非净利润 0.06 亿元，同比-74%/环比+103%。考虑公司具备盐化工一体化生产能力，行业 低景气下有望具备竞争力，维持"增持"评级。 25Q1 纯碱量价环比承压，多数氯碱产品均价下跌致盈利同比下滑 受纯碱新产能投放及下游玻璃需求偏弱影响，纯碱量价环比承压，公司 25Q1 纯碱销量同比+71%/环比-17%至95万吨，营收同比+9.8%/环比-18%至12.1 亿元，均价同比-36%/环比-1.4%至 1274 元/吨。烧碱/PVC/糊树脂销量同比 +1%/-4%/+22%至 9.0/9.4/5.4 万吨（环比-18%/-5%/-19%），营收同比 -3%/-15%/+12%至 2.1/4.1/3.5 亿元（环比-29%/-22%/-6%），均价同比 - ...