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阿里健康:FY3、25财年收入略超市场预期,并表广告业务增厚利润-20250607
海通国际· 2025-06-07 00:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for AliHealth with a target price of HKD 5.42 per share [2][21]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 30.60 billion for FY3/25, reflecting a growth of 13.2%, and an adjusted net profit of RMB 1.95 billion, which is a 35.6% increase, leading to a net profit margin of 6.4% [3][15]. - The pharmaceutical self-operated business generated revenue of RMB 26.12 billion (+10.0%), while the e-commerce platform business saw a significant increase to RMB 3.59 billion (+54.0%) due to the consolidation of health advertising business [15][16]. - The second half of the fiscal year showed accelerated growth, with H2 revenue reaching RMB 16.32 billion (+16.0%), driven by the recovery of the pharmaceutical self-operated business [4][17]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate steady growth, with FY26 revenue projected at RMB 33.42 billion (+9.2%) and FY27 at RMB 36.14 billion (+8.1%) [20]. - The gross margin for FY3/25 was reported at 24.3%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points, while the overall operating expense ratio remained stable at 19.5% [18][19]. - The company’s free cash flow is expected to grow significantly, with projections of RMB 1.88 billion for FY26 and RMB 2.20 billion for FY27 [10][12]. Valuation and Market Position - The DCF valuation method estimates the company's equity value at HKD 87.12 billion, corresponding to a target price of HKD 5.42 per share, based on a WACC of 8.3% and a perpetual growth rate of 3.5% [21][11]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on enhancing its online platform capabilities and expanding its product categories, which is expected to positively impact profitability [19][20].
阿里健康(00241):FY3、25财年收入略超市场预期,并表广告业务增厚利润
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for AliHealth with a target price of HKD 5.42 per share [2][21]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 30.60 billion for FY3/25, reflecting a growth of 13.2%, and an adjusted net profit of RMB 1.95 billion, which is a 35.6% increase, leading to a net profit margin of 6.4% [3][15]. - The pharmaceutical self-operated business generated revenue of RMB 26.12 billion (+10.0%), while the e-commerce platform business saw a significant increase to RMB 3.59 billion (+54.0%) due to the consolidation of health advertising business [15][16]. - The healthcare and digital services segment reported a revenue decline to RMB 890 million (-7.6%) due to operational adjustments [16]. Revenue and Profitability Analysis - In the second half of FY3/25, the company achieved revenue of RMB 16.32 billion (+16.0%), driven by the pharmaceutical self-operated business, which grew 13.9% YoY [4][17]. - The gross margin for the fiscal year was 24.3%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points, with stable operating expense ratios [18]. Future Growth Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 are projected at RMB 33.42 billion and RMB 36.14 billion, representing YoY growth of 9.2% and 8.1%, respectively [20]. - Adjusted net profit for FY26 and FY27 is expected to be RMB 2.32 billion and RMB 2.64 billion, with growth rates of 18.8% and 13.7% [20]. Valuation - The DCF valuation estimates the company's equity value at HKD 87.12 billion, corresponding to a target price of HKD 5.42 per share, based on a WACC of 8.3% and a perpetual growth rate of 3.5% [21].
阿里健康营收破300亿元:互联网医疗竞速,如何牢筑护城河
Core Insights - Alibaba Health reported a revenue of 30.598 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 13.2% and a net profit of 1.432 billion yuan, up 62.2% [1][2] - The company's revenue structure is primarily driven by its pharmaceutical e-commerce business, with self-operated pharmaceutical revenue reaching 26.124 billion yuan, a 10.0% increase, while the e-commerce platform revenue surged by 54.0% to 3.588 billion yuan [1][3] - The healthcare and digital services segment saw a decline in revenue, dropping 7.6% to 0.885 billion yuan, attributed to the optimization of certain innovative businesses [3] Revenue Growth - The internet healthcare market in China reached a total market size of 376.4 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.34% [2] - Alibaba Health's revenue surpassed 30 billion yuan for the first time, and its net profit exceeded 1 billion yuan for the first time, achieving significant growth for three consecutive years [2] Competitive Landscape - The internet healthcare sector is experiencing intensified competition, with new entrants and evolving business models impacting traditional players like Alibaba Health [4][5] - The rise of instant retail channels is seen as a key driver for growth in the pharmaceutical retail sector, with predictions indicating a sales scale of 48.7 billion yuan for instant retail in 2024, a 31.3% increase from 2023 [5] - Alibaba Health's business primarily focuses on B2C and B2B, maintaining high levels of next-day delivery service while expanding its reach to 13 cities [5] Innovation and Technology - Alibaba Health is actively integrating new technologies, including AI, into its services, with initiatives like the launch of an AI-assisted traditional Chinese medicine diagnostic system [6][7] - The company has partnered with the China Anti-Cancer Association to enhance cancer prevention and treatment awareness through AI technology [7]