日本央行基准利率上一次接近当前水平时，债券收益率在3%左右——这一水平将增加发达国家中公共 债务负担最重的日本政府的偿债成本，并限制其财政支出空间。 3、美联储明年1月维持利率不变的概率为75.6% 01. 宏观要闻 据CME"美联储观察"：美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%，维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到 明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为43.5%，维持利率不变的概率为47.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为 9.1%。 1、深圳：支持创业板改革 持续推动资本市场、上市培育、并购重组、风投创投等系列专项行动 深圳市委金融办12月15日召开全体大会。会议强调，全力以赴推动高质量发展，围绕建设更具全球影响 力的产业金融中心定位，进一步在推动金融服务科技创新和产业高质量发展中促进金融业自身高质量发 展。以科技金融为引领，扎实做好金融"五篇大文章"，促进科技产业金融良性循环。 支持创业板改革，持续推动资本市场、上市培育、并购重组、风投创投等系列专项行动，巩固提升深圳 资本市场的活力和竞争力。充分发挥联通境内外两个市场的优势，推动金融科技、跨境金融、财富管理 等特色领域高质量发展，为企业"走出去"提供 ...

人民财讯12月16日电，华泰证券研报称，凭借着固态电解质完全替代电解液，全固态电池在安全与能量 密度上具备颠覆性优势。当前产业化重心已从"材料科学"转向"生产工程"，设备成为其优势能否兑现的 关键。与材料相比，设备可兼容不同技术路线，能见度更高。随着国内外产业化目标逐渐聚焦，半固态 电池设备有望在2026年实现放量，而全固态电池设备有望在2027—2030年实现放量。全固态电池工艺涉 及新增环节(等静压、胶框印刷、界面复合)以及原有环节性能/用量大幅提升(干法电极、叠片、高压化 成分容)。随着2027—2030年成为产业化关键窗口期，相关设备厂商将率先受益，产业链有望进入高景 气成长阶段。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） 华泰证券指出，凭借着固态电解质完全替代电解液，全固态电池在安全与能量密度上具备颠覆性优势。 当前产业化重心已从"材料科学"转向"生产工程"，设备成为其优势能否兑现的关键。与材料相比，设备 可兼容不同技术路线，能见度更高。随着国内外产业化目标逐渐聚焦，半固态电池设备有望在2026年实 现放量，而全固态电池设备有望在2027-2030年实现放量。全固态电池工艺涉及新增环节（等静压、胶 框印刷、界面复合）以及原有环节性能/用量大幅提升（干法电极、叠片、高压化成分容）。随着2027- 2030年成为产业化关键窗口期，相关设备厂商将率先受益，产业链有望进入高景气成长阶段。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has accumulated multiple billion orders in the semi-solid battery equipment sector and has provided pilot line equipment for two leading clients in the all-solid-state battery equipment area, entering the trial production phase [1] Group 1: Orders and Revenue - The company has signed new orders this year, showing a significant year-on-year increase, surpassing the total orders of the previous year [1] - The annual target for orders is set at 4.5 billion yuan (including tax), which is expected to be achieved, with approximately 70% of this coming from the lithium battery sector, primarily from leading clients [1] Group 2: Equipment and Technology - The equipment provided by the company includes laser welding, laser cleaning (scoring), and glue dispensing equipment [1] - Currently, the all-solid-state battery technology is still in the research and development stage, focusing on pilot and pilot production lines, and has not yet entered large-scale mass production [1] Group 3: Future Prospects - More clients and products are expected to materialize in 2026 as the company continues technical integration with other battery manufacturers [1]

Summary of Solid-State Battery Equipment Conference Call Industry Overview - The solid-state battery technology is identified as a future trend, driven by key factors such as energy density and safety, presenting investment opportunities particularly in the equipment sector during the expansion and pilot testing phases [1][2][3] Core Insights and Arguments - **Solid-State Battery Advantages**: Solid-state batteries are viewed as the ultimate solution due to their higher energy density and safety, aligning with the overall direction of battery technology development [2][3] - **Investment in Equipment**: The equipment sector is expected to see continuous investment opportunities this year, especially for expansion and pilot testing, which require substantial equipment support [2][3] - **Cost and Production**: The production line for solid-state batteries requires approximately 1.1 billion yuan for front-end equipment and about 80 million yuan for mid-stage equipment, with total investment being double that of traditional liquid batteries [1][6] Key Technologies and Processes - **Half-Solid-State Battery Process**: The core technologies include in-situ curing and stacking techniques, which are compatible with existing liquid production lines and reduce costs while addressing interface issues [1][3] - **Full Solid-State Battery Innovations**: The full solid-state battery process replaces traditional wet methods with dry electrode manufacturing, increasing the value of single equipment by over 50% [1][4] - **Lithium Sulfide Cost Impact**: Lithium sulfide accounts for approximately 70% to 80% of the solid-state battery electrolyte cost, with potential cost reductions if domestic production increases [6] Equipment Investment Breakdown - **Front-End Equipment**: Investment focuses on dry electrode preparation and lithium sulfide electrolyte preparation, with significant suppliers including Xingdao, Manste, and Hai Moxing [7][11] - **Mid-Stage Equipment**: Investment is concentrated on stacking and isostatic pressing, with key suppliers being Liyuanheng and Hai Moxing [8][10] - **Investment Composition**: The front-end production segment includes dry electrodes, rolling film formation, and laser/ion beam cutting, with significant attention on the electrode and rolling film segments [9][10] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - **Current Market Status**: The solid-state battery market is currently in a "mid-game pause," but equipment companies still present investment opportunities, with expected growth of 30% to 40% in the future [17] - **Focus on Undervalued Companies**: There is a recommendation to prioritize investment in undervalued equipment companies before expanding focus to material sectors [17] Additional Important Insights - **Technological Barriers**: The isostatic pressing stage is identified as a critical bottleneck with low domestic production rates, indicating a need for increased focus on companies involved in this area [5][8] - **Emerging Technologies**: PVD and CVD technologies are highlighted for their potential applications in solid-state battery manufacturing, particularly in lithium metal film preparation and copper foil treatment [16][17] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding the solid-state battery industry, highlighting investment opportunities, technological advancements, and market dynamics.