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电力设备行业周报:国产算力多因素催化,AIDC配套迎来爆发契机-20250825
Huaxin Securities· 2025-08-25 07:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the electric power equipment sector [6][18]. Core Viewpoints - The domestic computing power sector is experiencing a significant opportunity for growth driven by multiple factors, including the integration of domestic chips and liquid cooling technology, which is reshaping the computing infrastructure [14][15]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for high-power AIDC cabinets, with power ratings reaching 20-100kW, indicating a shift from optional to essential cooling solutions [14]. - Policy support is crucial, with state-owned data centers required to procure over 50% of their chips from domestic sources, further stimulating the domestic computing power ecosystem [15]. - The report emphasizes the potential for domestic manufacturers to expand overseas, particularly in the diesel generator market, as global demand for AI computing infrastructure rises [16]. Summary by Sections Investment Viewpoints - The report identifies the diesel generator sector as having the most straightforward growth logic, recommending companies such as Weichai Heavy Machinery and KOTAI Power [6][17]. - It also suggests monitoring the gradually increasing penetration of HVDC segments, recommending companies like Kehua Data and Hewei Electric [6][17]. - Lastly, it highlights opportunities in server power supplies and liquid cooling segments, recommending companies like Invec and Shunling Environment [6][17]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the electric power equipment sector has seen a 1.94% increase in market performance recently, ranking 16th among various sectors [20]. - It discusses the successful launch of the Ningxia-Hunan ±800 kV UHVDC project, which is expected to enhance the transmission capacity of renewable energy [22]. - The report also mentions the ongoing global demand for AI computing infrastructure, which is expected to provide long-term growth momentum for domestic IDC and computing rental companies [16]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report provides earnings forecasts for several key companies, including: - KOTAI Power (300153.SZ): EPS forecast of 0.85 in 2025E, with a "Buy" rating [19]. - Weichai Heavy Machinery (000880.SZ): EPS forecast of 0.98 in 2025E, currently unrated [19]. - Kehua Data (002335.SZ): EPS forecast of 1.30 in 2025E, currently unrated [19]. - Invec (002837.SZ): EPS forecast of 0.66 in 2025E, currently unrated [19]. - Shunling Environment (301018.SZ): EPS forecast of 1.05 in 2025E, with a "Buy" rating [19]. - Hewei Electric (603063.SH): EPS forecast of 1.40 in 2025E, with a "Buy" rating [19].
计算机行业点评:模型能力持续迭代,驱动国产算力景气提升
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-07-15 09:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The continuous iteration of model capabilities is driving the improvement of domestic computing power [3] - The demand side sees increased capital expenditure from internet companies due to ongoing model performance upgrades by firms like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Kimi [5] - On the supply side, the domestic AI chip supply is diverse, with ongoing advancements in chip production and applications [5] - Government policies are encouraging the construction of intelligent computing centers, further driving the development of domestic computing power [5] - The sustained iteration of large models and increased capital expenditure from internet firms are expected to boost AI computing demand, benefiting related sectors such as AI chips, servers, and data centers [5] Summary by Sections Demand Side - Continuous model performance upgrades are leading to increased capital expenditures from internet companies [5] - Domestic capital expenditure is expected to reach 150 billion yuan from ByteDance and 380 billion yuan from Alibaba over the next three years for cloud and AI hardware infrastructure [5] Supply Side - Domestic AI chip supply is becoming more diverse, with significant advancements in production [5] - Notable developments include the mass production of Huawei's Ascend 910C and the procurement of 4,500 servers for a smart computing center project [5] Policy Side - The government is promoting the "Artificial Intelligence +" strategy and supporting the development of diverse computing resources [5] - Local policies in regions like Shanghai and Guangdong are actively encouraging the growth of intelligent computing centers [5] Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on companies in AI chips, server assembly, components, computing leasing, and data centers as they are expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing [5]