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AI点燃的半导体“牛市叙事”再强化! 高盛预言“AI算力+先进封装+EDA”撑起最强主线
智通财经网· 2025-09-12 10:34
在华尔街投资巨鳄Loop Capital以及Wedbush看来,以AI算力硬件为核心的全球人工智能基础设施投资 浪潮远远未完结,现在仅仅处于开端,在前所未有的"AI算力需求风暴"推动之下,这一轮AI投资浪潮 规模有望高达2万亿美元。 智通财经APP获悉,近期全球芯片股"超级牛市行情"激情演绎的时刻,尤其是与AI训练/推理系统密切 相关联的半导体/芯片股涨势如虹之际,高盛最新发布的半导体行业研报可谓为无比火热的AI看涨情 绪"再添一把火"。在该机构举办的覆盖全球最顶尖半导体公司的Communacopia + Technology 大会之 后,高盛研究团队表示,对于半导体行业继续维持"AI驱动的结构性牛市"主线判断。 高盛在研报中表示,在全球半导体行业中,与AI密切相关的基础设施最具长期"牛市叙事"确定性—— 比如英伟达AI GPU、博通AI ASIC以及SK海力士、美光所主导的至关重要AI算力硬件组件——HBM 存储系统。其次则是高盛长期看涨的"半导体设备端",尤其是聚焦 HBM/先进封装与GAA/BPD工艺推 升的中长期巨额增量半导体设备领域。在高盛看来,阿斯麦、应用材料以及泛林集团等半导体设备领军 者堪称" ...
港股、海外周观察:降息的大门已经打开
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-10 11:00
Group 1 - The report indicates that developed and emerging markets experienced gains during the week of September 1 to September 5, 2025, with emerging markets rising by 1.4% and developed markets by 0.3% [1] - In the Hong Kong stock market, the Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 0.2%, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.4%, and the Hang Seng Stock Connect gained 1.5%. The healthcare and materials sectors led the gains [1] - The report suggests that the Hong Kong stock market is still in a volatile upward trend, requiring new momentum for further increases, particularly in technology and internet leading companies [1][2] Group 2 - The report highlights that the U.S. job market is showing signs of weakness, with August non-farm payrolls adding only 22,000 jobs, significantly below the expected 75,000 and the previous month's revised figure of 79,000 [2] - The report notes that Broadcom's AI ASIC revenue growth exceeded expectations, with a projected 63% revenue growth rate expected to continue for the next ten quarters, driven by a significant order of $10 billion from a new client [2] - The report emphasizes that the U.S. stock market is likely to experience increased volatility in the short term, with the potential for interest rate cuts in September depending on economic data [3] Group 3 - The report recommends focusing on small-cap stocks and interest rate-sensitive growth stocks during the interest rate cut cycle, as these sectors are expected to benefit from improved earnings and liquidity [4] - It is noted that the macroeconomic fundamentals in the U.S. are slowing but not in a recession, with stable wage income supporting consumption and nominal growth [4] - The report anticipates that the AI narrative in the U.S. stock market will continue to gain traction in the medium to long term, supported by ongoing technological advancements and policy measures [4] Group 4 - The report indicates that global stock ETF inflows have slowed, with a net inflow of $13.094 billion and marginal outflows of $22.679 billion, while bond ETFs also saw reduced inflows [7] - It highlights that the U.S. stock ETF saw the highest net inflow of $6.57 billion, followed by Europe, while emerging markets, particularly China, experienced significant inflows [7] - The report identifies technology, materials, and financial sectors as the top three industries for net inflows, while utilities saw the most significant outflows [7]