Workflow
原油2601合约
icon
Search documents
宝城期货原油早报-20251118
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 01:13
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The domestic crude oil futures contract 2601 is expected to maintain a relatively strong trend on Tuesday [5]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs 品种晨会纪要 - For the crude oil 2601 contract, the short - term outlook is weak, the medium - term outlook is volatile, and the intraday outlook is strong. The reference view is a strong operation, supported by bullish factors [1]. 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 - The latest quarterly report of OPEC turned the global oil market in the third quarter from "supply shortage" to "a daily surplus of 500,000 barrels", amplifying the expectation of loose supply. However, with the prominence of geopolitical factors, the crude oil futures price showed a volatile and stable trend under the boost of optimistic funds. The current weak supply - demand structure of the oil market is in a game with geopolitical sentiment. The domestic crude oil futures 2601 contract maintained a volatile and stable trend on Monday night, with a slight rebound in the futures price [5].
宝城期货原油早报-2025-11-14-20251114
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-14 02:07
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The crude oil 2601 contract is expected to run weakly, with a short - term outlook of being weak, a medium - term outlook of being volatile, and an intraday view of being weak [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Content Price Movement and Outlook - The short - term view of crude oil 2601 is weak, the medium - term view is volatile, and the intraday view is also weak, with an overall expectation of weak operation [1]. - It is expected that the domestic crude oil futures 2601 contract may maintain a weak trend on Friday [5]. Driving Logic - The latest quarterly report of OPEC changed the global oil market in the third quarter from "supply shortage" to "a daily surplus of 500,000 barrels", amplifying the expectation of loose supply [5]. - The US EIA simultaneously lowered the price forecasts of US crude oil and Brent crude oil for this year and next year, and the latest weekly inventory continued to decline, but the decline was weaker than expected [5]. - There is a lack of new demand drivers at the macro level, coupled with a slight strengthening of the US dollar. Speculative funds reduced their positions, and the WTI far - month contract showed a contango structure, intensifying short - term selling pressure [5].
宝城期货原油早报-20251112
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-12 01:21
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The crude oil 2601 contract is expected to run strongly, with a short - term outlook of being weak, a medium - term outlook of being volatile, and an intraday outlook of being strong [1][5] - The core logic is that demand expectations drive the crude oil market to be oscillating and strong. Market sentiment has improved, and the market has returned to the supply - demand fundamental - driven situation. Optimistic factors such as the rise in European diesel prices and the increase in winter heating demand expectations have promoted the sharp rise in crude oil futures prices [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Related Content Price and Performance - On Tuesday night, domestic and foreign crude oil futures prices rose sharply. The domestic crude oil futures 2601 contract closed up 2.01% to 471.1 yuan/barrel [5] Driving Factors - The US Senate has reached an agreement to end the federal government "shutdown", and market sentiment has improved, boosting investors' risk appetite [5] - As geopolitical emotions are gradually digested, the crude oil futures market has returned to the supply - demand fundamental - driven situation [5] - European diesel prices have risen sharply, and winter heating demand expectations have increased [5] Outlook - It is expected that on Wednesday, the domestic crude oil futures 2601 contract may maintain a strong trend [5]
宝城期货原油早报-20251111
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-11 01:10
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The crude oil 2601 contract is expected to run strongly, with a short - term weak trend, a medium - term oscillating trend, and a strong intraday trend [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Information Price and Trend - On the night of Monday this week, the domestic crude oil futures 2601 contract maintained an oscillating and stable trend, with the futures price slightly rising 0.06% to 462.9 yuan/barrel. It is expected that on Tuesday, the contract may maintain a strong trend [5] Driving Logic - The US Senate has reached an agreement to end the federal government shutdown, warming market sentiment and boosting investors' risk appetite. As geopolitical sentiment is digested, the crude oil futures market returns to a supply - demand fundamental - driven market [5]