变形金刚系列积木
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中金:维持布鲁可(00325)跑赢行业评级 下调目标价至100港元
智通财经网· 2026-01-23 02:10
公司将积木车确立为与积木人并立的两大核心战略品类之一,规划26年保持每月一弹的上新节奏,且其 毛利率水平亦形成积极贡献。积木人方面,核心IP运营持续深化,变形金刚系列实现了从9.9元至249元 全价位段的有效覆盖,奥特曼通过新规格SKU持续刺激需求。此外,公司全人群战略推进,预计2H25 成人向产品占比环比提升。 3、出海表现较好,美洲市场增长领先 1、26年拟聚焦重点品类,有望提质增效 回顾25年,公司围绕全人群、全价位、全球化战略探索业务边界。其中,9.9元下沉市场产品线表现较 优,但部分品类如女性向产品表现未达内部目标,一定程度分散资源并拖累利润表现。展望26年,公司 重心转向聚焦与确定性:产品端拟维稳上新节奏,提升单品的成功率;财务端伴随团队架构趋于成熟, 人员规模稳定,经营杠杆效应有望显现。此外该行预计公司将通过控制低毛利引流型产品占比,叠加规 模效应对开模等成本的摊薄,带动毛利率企稳回升。 2、积木车品类成功培育,有望驱动后续成长 智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,考虑到布鲁可(00325)部分新品表现不及预期,下调25/26年经调 净利预测19%/17%至6.5/8.7亿元,首次引入27年经调 ...
布鲁可(00325.HK):新品类及出海持续向好 26年定调聚焦
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-22 20:37
评论 机构:中金公司 研究员:徐卓楠/王杰睿 公司近况 近期我们组织了公司调研,并与管理层就战略复盘及展望,新品类表现及出海进展等话题进行了深入沟 通。我们认为,公司25年通过大规模上新进行试错,26 年公司拟适度聚焦趋势品类,有望提升业绩达 成确定性,后续重点关注新品类及出海表现。 考虑到公司部分新品表现不及预期,下调25/26 年经调净利预测19%/17%至6.5/8.7 亿元,首次引入27 年 经调净利预测10.7 亿元,现价对应26/27 年18/15 倍经调P/E。维持跑赢行业评级,基于盈利预测调整及 市场风险偏好变化,下调目标价26%至100 港币,对应26/27 年26/20 倍经调P/E,较当前有40%上行空 间。 风险 竞争加剧,授权IP流失,新品不及预期。 1、26 年拟聚焦重点品类,有望提质增效。回顾25 年,公司围绕全人群、全价位、全球化战略探索业务 边界。其中,9.9 元下沉市场产品线表现较优,但部分品类如女性向产品表现未达内部目标,一定程度 分散资源并拖累利润表现。展望26 年,公司重心转向聚焦与确定性:产品端拟维稳上新节奏,提升单 品的成功率;财务端伴随团队架构趋于成熟,人员规模 ...
弘则研究- 头部积木人品牌近况调研
2025-06-11 15:49
Summary of Company and Industry Insights Company: 布鲁可 (Bluco) Sales Performance - In Q2 2025, sales slightly exceeded 600 million yuan, showing significant growth compared to the same period last year, primarily due to an increase in retail outlets and accelerated distribution by dealers [1][6][3] - Sales in April 2025 were approximately 320 million yuan, while May sales slightly exceeded 500 million yuan [2][6] - Q1 2025 sales were 600 million yuan, up from 430 million yuan in Q1 2024, indicating a high year-on-year growth rate [3] Product Performance and IP Distribution - In April and May 2025, the sales distribution of major IP products was as follows: Ultraman series accounted for 50%-55%, Transformers for 15%-20%, Detective Conan and Kamen Rider each for 8%-10%, and original series also for 8%-10% [9][1] - The Ultraman series saw a decline of approximately 10 percentage points in its sales share, with the company aiming to reduce reliance on this IP and balance its business structure through other IPs [10][1] - The 14th product line performed better than expected, with a significant demand compared to the 12th and 13th lines [11][1] Pricing Strategy - The Ultraman series has a wide price range from 9.9 yuan to 39 yuan, with a trend towards higher pricing expected in the coming months, including new figurines priced between 499 to 1,299 yuan [15][1] Inventory and Market Expansion - As of early 2025, channel inventory was healthy, but increased after the launch of the Ultraman series in late April. By early June, inventory remained controllable [5][37] - The expansion of retail outlets has been slow, with a completion rate of less than 5% of the target of 250,000 new outlets for the year [38][1] Overseas Market Insights - In Q1 2025, overseas sales were approximately 80 million yuan, but dropped to over 20 million yuan in April due to tariff issues affecting the European and American markets [5][40] - The Southeast Asian market accounted for about 70% of overseas sales, while the company aims for over 500 million yuan in overseas sales for the year to alleviate domestic pressure [42][43] Challenges and Future Plans - The company faces challenges in achieving its sales targets for Q2 2025, with expectations of lower sales post Children's Day [39] - The Detective Conan series has been impacted by negative public sentiment, leading to lower-than-expected sales and potential delays in new product launches [31][32] IP Development and Consumer Trends - The company is exploring new IPs, including a partnership with 王者荣耀 (Honor of Kings), which is expected to attract a female consumer base [35][36] - Current IPs like Pokémon and Kamen Rider have shown varying performance, with Kamen Rider being less stable due to its dependency on the Ultraman ecosystem [21][22] Market Feedback and Product Improvement - Feedback collection for product improvement is conducted through order rates, online complaint data, and membership system feedback [27][24] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call regarding the company's performance, product strategies, market challenges, and future directions.