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东鹏饮料(605499):上半年收入同比增长36%,补水啦成为第二曲线,增长强劲
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-29 08:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][19] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 10.74 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.4%, with a net profit of 2.37 billion yuan, up 37.2% year-on-year [1][9] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 25 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), with a dividend payout ratio of 55% [1][9] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from scale effects and has slightly raised its profit forecasts for the next three years [4][19] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of 8.36 billion yuan from specialty drinks, 1.49 billion yuan from electrolyte water, and 0.88 billion yuan from other beverages, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.0%, 213.6%, and 65.2% respectively [2][10] - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q2 2025 were 45.7% and 23.7%, respectively, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year due to increased investment in new products and marketing [3][11] - The company expects to achieve total revenues of 21.22 billion yuan, 26.38 billion yuan, and 31.41 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.0%, 24.3%, and 19.1% respectively [4][19] Market Performance - The company is considered a rare growth stock in the food and beverage sector, with ongoing efforts to expand its product categories and national presence [4][19] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 32, 25, and 20 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][21]