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东鹏饮料(605499):上半年收入同比增长36%,补水啦成为第二曲线,增长强劲
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-29 08:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][19] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 10.74 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.4%, with a net profit of 2.37 billion yuan, up 37.2% year-on-year [1][9] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 25 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), with a dividend payout ratio of 55% [1][9] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from scale effects and has slightly raised its profit forecasts for the next three years [4][19] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of 8.36 billion yuan from specialty drinks, 1.49 billion yuan from electrolyte water, and 0.88 billion yuan from other beverages, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.0%, 213.6%, and 65.2% respectively [2][10] - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q2 2025 were 45.7% and 23.7%, respectively, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year due to increased investment in new products and marketing [3][11] - The company expects to achieve total revenues of 21.22 billion yuan, 26.38 billion yuan, and 31.41 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.0%, 24.3%, and 19.1% respectively [4][19] Market Performance - The company is considered a rare growth stock in the food and beverage sector, with ongoing efforts to expand its product categories and national presence [4][19] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 32, 25, and 20 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][21]
东鹏饮料(605499):一季度收入同比增长39%,第二曲线亮眼
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-16 08:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][19] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.848 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.2%, with a net profit of 980 million yuan, up 47.6% year-on-year [1][9] - The company continues to experience strong growth in its specialty drinks segment, maintaining over 25% growth, with the "Brewed Water" product line showing exceptional performance [2][4] - The company has optimized its cost structure, leading to improved profitability, with a gross margin of 44.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [3][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 48.48 billion yuan, a 39.2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.80 billion yuan, reflecting a 47.6% growth [1][9] - The cash flow from sales reached approximately 48.63 billion yuan, an increase of 18.73% year-on-year [9] - The company’s gross margin improved to 44.5%, benefiting from economies of scale and cost reductions [3][10] Product Segmentation - Specialty drinks, electrolyte water, and other beverages generated revenues of 3.901 billion, 570 million, and 375 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.7%, 261.5%, and 72.6% [2][4] - The "Brewed Water" product line has maintained high growth through flavor expansion and increased market penetration [2][4] Regional Performance - Revenue growth by region includes Guangdong (21.6%), East China (30.8%), Central China (28.6%), Guangxi (31.9%), Southwest (61.8%), North China (71.7%), online sales (54.2%), and key customer segments (53.3%) [2][4] Future Outlook - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting total revenues of 205.17 billion, 253.36 billion, and 300.83 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.53%, 23.49%, and 18.74% respectively [4][17] - The projected net profit for the same period is 45.33 billion, 59.53 billion, and 73.95 billion yuan, with growth rates of 36.25%, 31.33%, and 24.23% [4][17]