机构：国盛证券 研究员：夏君/刘玲 其中ISG 业务亏损扩大，主要系AI 服务器收入同比翻番，CSP 业务毛利率较低。得益于卓越的运营和 良好的费用控制，公司费用率环比明显收窄，使得公司归母净利润同比大幅增长108%至5.05 亿美元， 归母净利润率录得2.7%，同比/环比分别提升1.1%/2.2%。 PC 基本盘快速增长，手机业务双位数增长。Q1 财季，联想集团PC 收入同比+20%，创15 个季度的最 快增速。根据IDC，Q1 财季联想PC 市占率进一步提升至24.6%，同比提升1.7pct，出货量1700 万台。公 司认为，Win10 向Win11 的迁移正全面加速，还将持续数季，预计全年出货量将维持中至高个位数增 长。AI PC 方面，联想集团于5 月在中国推出"天禧AI超级代理"，周活跃用户比例平均40%，持续攀 升。手机方面，联想已连续7 个季度实现手机业务双位数的同比增长，中国以外的市场份额达到创纪录 的新高。受PC 及手机平均售价上升，以及高端及商业市场的强力推动，公司IDG 业务集团经营利润率 稳健，环比提升0.3pct 至7.1%。 Q2 财季公司增加了AI 投资，ISG 业务亏损扩大。联 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group [4][6] Core Views - Lenovo Group's Q1 fiscal performance exceeded expectations with revenues of $18.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22% [1] - The company continues to push its AI strategy, with significant investments in AI capabilities and infrastructure [3] - The PC segment showed robust growth, with a 20% year-on-year increase in revenue, marking the fastest growth in 15 quarters [2] Financial Performance - For Q1, Lenovo's gross margin was recorded at 14.7%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 108% year-on-year to $505 million, with a net profit margin of 2.7% [1] - The company expects revenues for FY 25/26, FY 26/27, and FY 27/28 to be $75.947 billion, $81.921 billion, and $89.266 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.9%, 7.9%, and 9.0% [4][13] Business Segments - The IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) revenue grew by 18% year-on-year, while ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) and SSG (Solutions and Services Group) saw increases of 36% and 20% respectively [1] - The ISG segment reported a revenue of $4.3 billion in Q2, driven by increased cloud capital expenditures from major clients [3] - The mobile phone business has achieved double-digit growth for seven consecutive quarters, with market share outside China reaching record highs [2] Market Position - Lenovo's PC market share increased to 24.6%, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, with shipments of 17 million units [2] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transition from Windows 10 to Windows 11, which is expected to continue for several quarters [2] Valuation - The report estimates a fair market value for Lenovo at HKD 158.9 billion, with a target price of HKD 12.8 per share, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 12x for FY 25/26 [4]