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IC Markets:美国政府停摆结束后,数据混乱才刚刚开始
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 05:34
Group 1 - The U.S. government shutdown has led to the inability to release key economic data for October, marking a significant disruption in economic reporting [1][3] - The unemployment rate data for October will not be published for the first time since 1942, ending a 77-year streak of continuous reporting [3] - The White House has conflicting statements regarding the release of employment data, with some officials suggesting a complete halt while others indicate partial data may still be available [3] Group 2 - The absence of unemployment and CPI data creates uncertainty for manufacturing and retail sectors, affecting labor cost predictions and pricing strategies [4] - The bond market relies heavily on inflation data for pricing, and the lack of this information may lead to increased market volatility and resource misallocation [4] - Multinational companies are delaying investment plans in the U.S. due to concerns over unclear economic fundamentals [4]
特朗普提名的劳工统计局局长新人选,为何引发美经济学界质疑?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 07:47
Core Viewpoint - The nomination of E. J. Antoni as the new head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) by President Trump has sparked significant criticism from economists and former officials regarding his qualifications and the potential implications for employment data accuracy [1][6][7]. Group 1: Nomination and Background - President Trump announced the nomination of E. J. Antoni, chief economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation, to lead the BLS, following the dismissal of the previous director amid allegations of data manipulation [1][3]. - Antoni has been a vocal critic of the BLS, previously questioning the reliability of its reports and labeling the Consumer Price Index (CPI) under the Biden administration as "false" [4][5]. Group 2: Economic Data Concerns - The recent employment report from BLS showed only 73,000 new jobs added in July, significantly below market expectations, and included a downward revision of 258,000 jobs for May and June [5]. - Critics argue that if BLS begins to release stronger employment data under Antoni, it could mislead macroeconomic researchers about the actual state of the economy, potentially impacting monetary policy decisions [1][6]. Group 3: Criticism of Antoni's Qualifications - Economists have raised concerns about Antoni's lack of relevant experience and expertise, with some noting that his academic background is not highly regarded and his published work is minimal compared to his predecessors [6][7]. - Prominent economists have publicly criticized the nomination, stating that Antoni's extreme partisanship and lack of technical knowledge could undermine the nonpartisan tradition of the BLS [7][8].