Core Insights - Goldman Sachs believes that explosive demand growth will continue to drive capital expenditures (Capex) for cloud service providers, with Chinese internet giants increasingly differentiating their AI strategies [1][2] - Alibaba is betting on the enterprise AI cloud market with its full-stack capabilities, while ByteDance is focusing on consumer applications [1] - Goldman Sachs raised its capital expenditure forecast for leading Chinese cloud providers, predicting Alibaba's total Capex for FY2026-2028 to reach 460 billion RMB, up from a previous target of 380 billion RMB [1] Group 1: Capital Expenditure and AI Demand - Goldman Sachs predicts that capital expenditures for Chinese cloud service providers will grow by 50% year-on-year by Q3 2025, driven by strong AI inference demand [2] - The report highlights that AI inference demand and token consumption are growing exponentially, with ByteDance's daily token consumption surpassing 30 trillion in September, doubling since April-May [2] Group 2: Strategic Differentiation of Giants - Alibaba is focusing on the enterprise AI market, leveraging its unique full-stack AI capabilities, and has launched the Quark AI chatbot to compete with ByteDance's Doubao and Tencent's Yuanbao [3] - ByteDance is emphasizing consumer-facing AI applications, with Doubao leading the To-C market and integrating e-commerce services within its chat platform [3] Group 3: Global Market and Commercialization - Chinese multimodal models are gaining traction in the global market, with Tencent's model ranking high in competitive benchmarks [4] - Alibaba's Qwen model is being utilized by global companies like Airbnb for customer service, indicating the recognition of Chinese open-source AI models [5] - The commercialization of To-C applications in China is evolving, with both Doubao and Alibaba's Quark integrating e-commerce functionalities [5] Group 4: Valuation and Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs asserts that there is currently no AI bubble, with expectations that the AI capital expenditure boom in the U.S. will continue until 2026 [5] - The projected P/E ratios for Tencent and Alibaba in 2026 are 21x and 23x, respectively, which are considered not excessive compared to global peers like Google and Amazon [5]