Report Overview - This is the 112th issue of the morning meeting minutes from Zhongyuan Futures Research Institute, released on June 24, 2025, covering macro news, price changes of major varieties, and morning meeting views on main products [2]. 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the impact of macro events on the market, such as Iran's missile strike on a US military base leading to a significant drop in international oil prices and a rise in US stocks. It also presents views on various futures products including agricultural products, energy chemicals, industrial metals, and options finance, suggesting corresponding investment strategies based on market conditions [5]. 3. Summary by Category 3.1 Macro News - Iran launched a missile strike on a US military base in Qatar, with no US casualties reported. International oil prices dropped about 9%, and US stocks rose [5]. - The 12th meeting of the Standing Committee of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference opened, hearing research reports on topics like improving fertility support policies and promoting AI development [5]. - On Monday, the A - share market fluctuated upwards. Cross - border payment concept stocks soared, and oil and gas, shipping stocks strengthened due to the Middle East situation. Bank stocks rebounded. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.65% to 3381.58 points [5]. - Nine ministries including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a plan for the high - quality development of the gold industry from 2025 - 2027, aiming to increase gold resources by 5% - 10% and gold and silver production by over 5% [5]. - As of the end of May, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.61 billion kilowatts, a year - on - year increase of 18.8%. Solar and wind power generation capacities increased significantly [6]. - Many securities firms are researching stablecoins, and stablecoin concept stocks have been intensively investigated. The stablecoin industry is expected to develop in a compliant manner [6]. - Xiaomi Group will release new products on June 26, with the sales target of its new SUV challenging Tesla Model Y [6]. - Toyota will raise car prices in the US starting from July 1 [6]. - Apple is negotiating with the EU Commission on App Store rules and may make concessions [6]. - International asset management institutions are accelerating their layout in the Chinese market. As of June 23, foreign - funded public funds in China have established 26 new funds this year, with a fundraising scale of 32.401 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to last year [7]. 3.2 Price Changes of Main Varieties 3.2.1 Chemicals - On June 24, 2025, among chemical products, crude oil dropped the most, with a decline of 6.406% to 537.70 yuan, followed by asphalt, methanol, and fuel oil, with declines of 1.164%, 1.398%, and 1.30% respectively. Some products like coking coal, coke, 20 - number rubber, and glass rose slightly [3]. 3.2.2 Agricultural Products - Among agricultural products, soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and other products declined slightly, while white sugar rose 0.192% to 5732.00 yuan, and cotton No. 1 and cotton yarn also had small increases [3]. 3.3 Morning Meeting Views on Main Products 3.3.1 Agricultural Products - Peanut: The spot market is stable but weak. The short - term futures market will likely continue to fluctuate weakly, waiting for new drivers [10]. - Edible Oils: On June 17, the total trading volume of soybean oil and palm oil decreased by 55%. With positive policies for biodiesel in the US and rising crude oil prices, the edible oil market is expected to be strong [10]. - White Sugar: On June 23, the futures price rose 0.46%. The supply pressure is significant, but domestic inventory pressure is limited and the summer consumption peak provides support. It is recommended to go long at low prices near the support level, while being vigilant against the risk of price drops due to imported sugar [10]. - Corn: On June 23, the futures price rose slightly. The market is in a situation of weak supply and demand. It is recommended to trade within the 2390 - 2430 yuan range, paying attention to new wheat listings and deep - processing profit recovery [10]. - Live Pigs: The current price is stable with a slight upward trend. The supply is relatively stable, and the futures market is affected by policy expectations and supply concerns. The main 09 contract is testing the 13800 - 14000 yuan pressure range [10]. - Eggs: The current price is stable, with some areas showing weakness. The futures market is expected to remain weak, and it is recommended to wait for opportunities [10]. 3.3.2 Energy Chemicals - Urea: The price continues to decline. Supply is expected to decrease in July, and the demand support is limited. The short - term futures market may fluctuate weakly [11]. - Caustic Soda: The price is expected to remain low due to lack of fundamental support [11]. - Coking Coal and Coke: The coking coal market is temporarily stable, and the iron - water daily output provides some support. However, the rebound height is expected to be limited [11]. 3.3.3 Industrial Metals - Copper and Aluminum: Copper inventory decreased, and the price is under pressure at the 80,000 - yuan level. Aluminum inventory increased slightly, and the price is expected to continue to fluctuate and consolidate [13]. - Alumina: The supply is relatively loose, and the price is expected to decline slightly in the short term and remain low in the medium term [13]. - Steel Products: The production of rebar increased while demand decreased, and there is a risk of inventory accumulation. The production and demand of hot - rolled coils both increased, and the inventory decreased. The short - term steel price is supported, but the high - temperature and rainy season in the off - season still exerts pressure [13]. - Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese: The supply increased last week, and the demand is weak. With the impact of overseas situations, the prices of ferrosilicon and ferromanganese have rebounded to some extent [15]. - Lithium Carbonate: The supply pressure is significant, and the demand is weak. It is recommended to short at high prices when the price rebounds to the pressure area [15]. 3.3.4 Options and Finance - Stock Index: The short - term A - share market has stabilized and rebounded. It is recommended to control positions and buy index futures at low prices. Pay attention to low - buying opportunities for IM and IC when the market slumps [15]. - Stock Index Options: On June 23, A - share indexes rose, and most sectors increased. Different index futures and options showed different trends in terms of positions, trading volume, and basis. Trend investors should focus on defense, and volatility investors can buy wide - straddle options to bet on increased volatility [16].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [80]. Core Insights - Jianghuai Automobile and Huawei have deepened their strategic partnership, focusing on the integration of Huawei's intelligent automotive solutions into Jianghuai's vehicle platforms, enhancing AI applications across various operational scenarios [3][13]. - The first flagship luxury electric sedan, the Zun Jie S800, has commenced mass production, with significant pre-order success, indicating strong market demand [4][15]. - The automotive sector has experienced a decline of 2.6% from June 16 to June 20, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.1 percentage points, although it ranks 4th among 31 sectors year-to-date with a 5.1% increase [16][23]. Summary by Sections Strategic Cooperation - Jianghuai and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement on June 17, 2025, to enhance the application of intelligent automotive solutions, including AI-driven features and clean energy initiatives [3][13]. - The Zun Jie S800 project, a result of this collaboration, has a dedicated team of over 5,000 and a newly built factory equipped with advanced automation technology [4][14]. Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance from June 16 to June 20, 2025, showed a decline of 2.6%, while the CSI 300 index fell by only 0.5%, highlighting the sector's underperformance [16]. - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has increased by 5.1%, ranking 4th among all sectors [16]. Sales Data - From June 1 to June 15, 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 706,000 units, a 20% increase year-on-year, while wholesale sales were 714,000 units, up 24% year-on-year [6][36]. - New energy vehicle retail sales during the same period were 402,000 units, reflecting a 38% year-on-year growth [6][36]. Production and Delivery Plans - The Zun Jie S800 is set for initial deliveries on June 26, 2025, with plans for mass production to reach 3,000 units per month by September and 4,000 units by year-end [4][15].

Market Overview - On June 16, despite escalating tensions in the Middle East, the Hong Kong stock market showed resilience, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.7% to close at 24,060 points[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.2%, closing at 5,299 points, with a trading volume of HKD 229.2 billion, indicating relative market activity[1] - Net inflow from the Hong Kong Stock Connect was HKD 5.7 billion, reflecting continued interest in the market[1] Sector Performance - Technology stocks generally performed well, with Xiaomi (1810 HK) up 4.2% and Kuaishou (1024 HK) rising over 3%[1] - Real estate and Chinese brokerage stocks remained strong, with major banks like China Construction Bank (939 HK) and Agricultural Bank of China (1288 HK) reaching historical highs[1] - Defensive sectors saw a decline, particularly gold stocks, with Lingbao Gold (3330 HK) dropping 12%[1] Economic Insights - In May, China's economy showed signs of moderate recovery, with retail sales improving month-on-month but continuing to exhibit internal structural disparities[2] - The International Institute of Finance (IIF) reported a USD 5.2 billion inflow into the Chinese market from the beginning of the year until May, although foreign investment in Chinese stocks remains significantly underweight[2] - The Hang Seng Index's valuation is at the 60th percentile of the past seven years, with the AH premium near a three-year low, suggesting limited short-term catalysts for the market[2] Real Estate Trends - New home sales in 30 major cities reached 1.74 million square meters, a year-on-year decline of 3.0%, but an improvement from the previous week's 18.1% drop[3] - The decline in new construction and completion areas was less severe than in April, with decreases of 18.7% and 19.1%, respectively[3] Automotive Sector Developments - Xiaomi announced the upcoming launch of its new car model YU7, alongside several other significant product releases, boosting its stock price by 4.2%[4] Pharmaceutical Sector Updates - CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) is set to receive USD 1.1 billion in upfront payments from AstraZeneca for multiple drug candidates, with potential milestone payments reaching USD 16.2 billion[5] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a focus on high-dividend defensive sectors like energy and telecommunications, while also considering undervalued tech stocks with growth potential as market conditions stabilize[2][10]