热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 卓创资讯 钢铁特钢分析师赵泽泽 【导语】从11月钢铁行业PMI以及制造业PMI来看，工业用钢生产预计有所下降，下游制造业下降幅度 放缓，对于钢铁等需求下降有限，整体工业用钢市场供需压力缓解，考虑政策端可能的利好，预计12月 工业用钢价格或重心上移。 作为最主要的先行指标，PMI指数对于钢铁行业具有重要的意义，本文尝试通过解析钢铁行业PMI以及 制造业PMI数据来分析钢铁市场12月可能出现的情况。 钢铁PMI情况解析：钢铁行业供需压力或有所缓解 从中物联钢铁物流专业委员会调查、发布的钢铁行业PMI来看，2025年11月份为48.00%，环比上期下降 1.2个百分点。从分项指数来看，供应端生产指数由49.80%降至46.00%，生产整体放缓程度扩大，符合 往年12月钢厂集中检修的季节性特征。从间接来看需求端，产成品库存指数下降2.60个百分点至49.10， 库存开始下降；新出口订单47.20%，较上月下降7.10个百分点，出口恢复到相对偏弱局面；新订单指数 48.90%，较上期增加1.30个百分点，新订单指数连续两次回升，整体钢铁需求端表现尚可，但 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the industrial steel market is expected to improve in September due to seasonal demand and weakened production expectations on the supply side, leading to a potential upward price trend [1][2] Group 2 - The steel industry PMI for September is reported at 49.80%, a decrease of 0.70 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a return below the 50% threshold [1] - The production index on the supply side dropped from 51.90% to 48.00%, reflecting a decline in production enthusiasm [1] - The finished product inventory index increased, suggesting a rise in overall inventory levels [1] - New export orders increased to 50.40%, up by 4.30 percentage points, indicating a positive export situation [1] - The new order index fell to 49.70%, a decrease of 2.20 percentage points, showing a slight weakening in the overall steel market supply-demand situation [1] - Raw material inventory and procurement indices saw significant increases, indicating rising cost pressures due to higher prices of raw materials like coke [1] Group 3 - The manufacturing PMI for August was reported at 49.40%, an increase of 0.10 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight strengthening in the overall manufacturing sector [1] - The production index for the manufacturing sector was at 50.80%, an increase of 0.30 percentage points, remaining above the 50% threshold, suggesting continued growth in demand for upstream raw materials like steel [2] - The new order index for manufacturing was at 49.50%, showing a slight increase but still below the 50% mark, indicating a reduction in new orders [2] - The procurement volume index reached 50.40%, an increase of 0.90 percentage points, indicating overall expansion in manufacturing production and procurement [2] - The overall steel production enthusiasm is declining, but the production of rebar and other construction steel remains relatively high, while industrial steel output is expected to decrease in September [2]

Group 1 - The stock price of Sangang Minguang closed at 4.42 yuan on August 22, 2025, down by 0.10 yuan, representing a decline of 2.21% from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day was 370,643 hands, with a total transaction amount of 164 million yuan [1] - Sangang Minguang is a significant steel production enterprise in Fujian Province, primarily engaged in the production and sales of steel products, including construction steel and industrial steel [1] Group 2 - As of August 20, 2025, the number of shareholders for Sangang Minguang was reported to be 40,700 [1] - On August 22, there was a net outflow of 34.91 million yuan in main funds, with a total net outflow of 35.64 million yuan over the past five days [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the stock performance of Sangang Minguang on August 4, with a closing price of 4.75 yuan, a decrease of 0.02 yuan or 0.42% from the previous trading day [1] - The stock opened at 4.71 yuan, reached a high of 4.82 yuan, and a low of 4.65 yuan, indicating a trading range of 3.56% throughout the day [1] - The trading volume was 290,413 hands, with a total transaction amount of 137 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.20% [1] Group 2 - Sangang Minguang operates in the steel industry, primarily engaged in steel smelting, rolling, and processing, with products including construction steel and industrial steel [1] - The company's production bases are mainly located in Fujian Province [1] - On the morning of August 4, the stock experienced a rapid rebound, with a rise of over 2% within five minutes, peaking at 4.78 yuan and a transaction amount of 21.03 million yuan [1] Group 3 - In terms of capital flow, on August 4, the net outflow of main funds was 26.93 million yuan, accounting for 0.23% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five trading days, the cumulative net outflow reached 32.82 million yuan, representing 0.28% of the circulating market value [1]