策 略 研 究 新股分析 2025 年 07 月 21 日 天富龙：国内差别化和再生涤短产能 规模靠前企业 ——注册制新股纵览 20250721 本期投资提示： 证 券 研 相关研究 - 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 pengwy@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱敏 (8621)23297818× zhumin@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 申 购 策 略 究 报 告 ⚫ AHP 得分——剔除流动性溢价因素后，天富龙 1.70 分，位于总分的 22.8%分位。天富龙 于 2025 年 7 月 18 日招股，将在主板上市。剔除、考虑流动性溢价因素后，我们测算天富 龙 AHP 得分为 1.70 分、1.92 分，分别位于非科创体系 AHP 模型总分 22.8%分位、36.0% 分位，均处于中游偏下水平。假设以 90%入围率计，中 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianfulong Group's IPO has been approved, but the company faces challenges such as declining profit margins, increasing inventory, and reduced fundraising, which may affect investor confidence post-listing [3][4][9]. Financial Performance - Tianfulong's main business involves the R&D, production, and sales of differentiated polyester short fibers, with revenue projected to grow from 2.576 billion yuan in 2022 to 3.841 billion yuan in 2024, and net profit expected to rise from 358 million yuan to 454 million yuan during the same period [4]. - Despite revenue and net profit growth, the company's gross profit margin has decreased from 18.86% in 2022 to 16.50% in 2024, a decline of 2.36 percentage points [4]. Tax Incentives - The increase in net profit is largely attributed to tax incentives, including VAT refunds, which contributed 63 million yuan, 54 million yuan, and 87 million yuan to net profit in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, accounting for 16.05%, 11.68%, and 17.77% of net profit [5]. Inventory and Receivables - Tianfulong's inventory has surged from 398 million yuan in 2022 to 660 million yuan in 2024, representing 12.34% and 17.05% of total assets, respectively [8]. - The accounts receivable turnover ratio for Tianfulong was 14.02 times in 2022, compared to industry peers' ratios of 32.69 times and 26.49 times in 2022 and 2023, indicating weaker performance in managing receivables [7]. IPO Fundraising Changes - Initially, Tianfulong aimed to raise 1.09 billion yuan, but later reduced the fundraising target to 790 million yuan by eliminating a 300 million yuan project for supplementing working capital, raising questions about the necessity of this funding [9][10]. - The company has sufficient cash reserves, with bank deposits increasing from 483 million yuan in 2022 to 752 million yuan in 2024, suggesting that the need for additional working capital may not be justified [10].