Core Viewpoint - China Liansu (02128) saw a significant increase of over 6%, currently trading at 4.8 HKD with a transaction volume of 32.37 million HKD, driven by favorable government policies regarding infrastructure investment [1] Group 1: Government Policy Impact - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China held a press conference on October 24 to discuss the spirit of the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, highlighting plans for extensive underground pipeline network construction and renovation exceeding 700,000 kilometers during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission's Secretary and Director, Zheng Zhanjie, indicated that the new investment demand for this initiative would exceed 5 trillion CNY [1] Group 2: Market Opportunities - Huatai Securities previously reported that the pipeline renovation segment is expected to stimulate demand for municipal plastic pipes, which aligns with the steady growth in first industry investment over the past two years [1] - China Liansu's involvement in the agricultural plastic pipe sector has shown positive results, and given the company's high market share in the engineering sector, it is anticipated that the company will fully benefit from these developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Lesso (02128) experienced a stock price increase of over 6%, reaching HKD 4.8 with a trading volume of HKD 32.3691 million, driven by positive market sentiment related to infrastructure investment plans announced by the government [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Lesso's stock rose by 6.67% as of the latest report [1] - The company is expected to benefit from increased demand for municipal plastic pipes due to the government's plan to construct and renovate over 700,000 kilometers of underground pipelines during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with an additional investment requirement exceeding CNY 5 trillion [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The municipal plastic pipe demand is anticipated to be stimulated by the pipeline renovation segment, as highlighted in a report by Huatai Securities [1] - The stable growth in primary industry investment over the past two years is expected to further support the demand for agricultural plastic pipes, an area where China Lesso has shown effective engagement [1] - The company's high market share in the engineering sector positions it well to capitalize on these emerging opportunities [1]

Group 1 - The central urban work conference emphasizes the shift from large-scale incremental expansion to stock quality improvement and efficiency enhancement, indicating a sustained catalytic phase for urban renewal, particularly in pipeline renovation, which is expected to drive demand for municipal plastic pipes [1] - The scale of existing buildings is substantial, with 3.54 billion buildings and a total construction area of 128 billion square meters, leading to a natural increase in demand for renovation as urban development progresses [1] - The estimated renovation demand for existing buildings is around 2.4 billion square meters, with total investment in pipelines projected to be approximately 4 trillion yuan from 2025 to 2029 [1] Group 2 - The first industry fixed asset investment maintained a robust growth of 6.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, supported by high-standard farmland construction initiatives [2] - The subsidy for high-standard farmland is set to increase from 1,300 yuan per mu to 2,400 yuan per mu in 2024, which is expected to enhance agricultural investment [2] - The company has seen a continuous increase in revenue from agricultural pipes since entering the sector in 2021, effectively mitigating the decline in municipal demand [2] Group 3 - The company maintains EPS forecasts of 0.67, 0.74, and 0.82 yuan for 2025-2027, with an adjusted target price of 5.89 HKD, reflecting a 35% increase from the previous target [2] - The company’s revenue structure adjustment has significantly enhanced its ability to resist risks from declining demand in a single sector, leading to an upgraded PE ratio forecast [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 5.89, up from the previous target of HKD 4.36, representing a 35% increase [1][5]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that urban renewal is transitioning from large-scale expansion to improving existing stock, which is expected to catalyze demand for municipal plastic pipes due to infrastructure upgrades [1][2]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in the agricultural plastic pipe sector, supported by stable growth in primary industry investments and high market share in engineering [1][4]. - The projected total investment in urban gas, water supply, and heating networks over the next five years is approximately CNY 4 trillion, indicating significant market opportunities [3]. Summary by Sections Urban Renewal and Market Potential - The central urban work conference highlighted urban renewal as a key strategy for enhancing quality and efficiency, with a substantial number of existing buildings (3.54 billion) and a total area of 128 billion square meters [2]. - The estimated demand for building renovations is around 2.4 billion square meters, with a stable upward trend expected [3]. Agricultural Investment and Demand Stability - First industry fixed asset investment grew by 6.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating robust growth [4]. - The government aims to transform 4.55 million acres of farmland into high-standard farmland by 2035, with increased subsidy standards from CNY 1,300 to CNY 2,400 per acre [4]. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company’s EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are CNY 0.67, CNY 0.74, and CNY 0.82 respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 8x for 2025 [5][10]. - Revenue is expected to grow from CNY 27,026 million in 2024 to CNY 33,404 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [10][19].