博彩股集体承压，截至发稿，新濠国际发展(00200)跌3.31%，报4.09港元；金沙中国(01928)跌3.16%， 报19港元；永利澳门(01128)跌2.5%，报5.84港元；美高梅中国(02282)跌1.84%，报12.28港元。 消息面上，近日，澳门博彩监察协调局公布，2025年12月份澳门幸运博彩毛收入为208.9亿澳门元，同 比增长14.8%。2025年前12个月澳门博彩毛收入累计达2474.04亿澳门元，同比升9.1%。中金认为，去年 12月总博彩收入的表现主要由以下因素驱动，包括新高端物业项目的持续放量；各类娱乐活动与推广计 划带动访客增长；但贵宾赢率偏低，对整体收入形成一定拖累。 中金预计2026年1月的总博彩收入将达到202亿至217亿澳门元，日均博彩收入预计为6.5亿至7亿澳门 元，按年预计增长10%至19%，但较2019年1月下降13%至19%。 ...

[Table_header2] 香港赌场和博彩 [Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 5 Jan 2026 香港赌场和博彩 Hong Kong Casinos & Gaming 12 月博彩毛收入环比下滑 0.9%，恢复至 2019 年的 91.5% Dec GGR Decreased 0.9% MoM, 91.5% of 2019 level [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 澳门博彩监察协调局发布幸运博彩 12 月数据：连续三个月录得双位数增幅，澳门幸运博彩毛收入（GGR）同比增长 14.8%，恢复至 2019 年同期水平的 91.5%。2025 年 12 月，澳门博彩毛收入达 208.88 亿澳门元，同比增长 14.8%，环 比下滑 0.9%，恢复至 2019 年同期水平的 91.5%。12 月澳门日均 GGR 为 6.74 亿澳门元，较 11 月的 7.03 亿澳门元下滑 4.1%。12 月为传统的家庭游旺季，行业表现仍具韧性，延续 10 月及 11 月的强势增长。25Q3，澳门博彩毛 ...

| | 2025年及2024年每月幸運博彩毛收入 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 月份毛收入 | | | 累計毛收入 | | | | 2025年 | 2024年 | 贷動率 | 2025年 | 2024年 | 變動率 | | 一月份 | 18.254 | 19,337 | -5.6% | 18.254 | 19,337 | -5.6% | | 二月份 | 19,744 | 18,486 | +6.8% | 37,998 | 37.823 | +0.5% | | 三月份 | 19.659 | 19,503 | +0.8% | 57,657 | 57,326 | +0.6% | | 四月份 | 18.858 | 18,545 | +1.7% | 76.514 | 75,872 | +0.8% | | 五月份 | 21.193 | 20.188 | +5.0% | 97,707 | 96,059 | +1.7% | | 六月份 | 21.064 | 17.694 | +19.0% | 118.771 | 113.753 | ...

Core Insights - Macau's gaming revenue for November reached MOP 21.09 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.4% [1] - Cumulative gaming revenue for the first 11 months of the year totaled MOP 226.52 billion, reflecting an 8.6% year-on-year growth [1] Monthly Revenue Summary - January: MOP 18.254 billion (down 5.6% YoY) [2] - February: MOP 19.744 billion (up 6.8% YoY) [2] - March: MOP 19.659 billion (up 0.8% YoY) [2] - April: MOP 18.858 billion (up 1.7% YoY) [2] - May: MOP 21.193 billion (up 5.0% YoY) [2] - June: MOP 21.064 billion (up 19.0% YoY) [2] - July: MOP 22.125 billion (up 19.0% YoY) [2] - August: MOP 22.156 billion (up 12.2% YoY) [2] - September: MOP 18.289 billion (up 6.0% YoY) [2] - October: MOP 24.086 billion (up 15.9% YoY) [2] - November: MOP 21.088 billion (up 14.4% YoY) [2]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the gaming industry in Macau, expecting high single-digit growth in gaming gross revenue (GGR) for 2025 [14][15]. Core Insights - In October 2025, Macau's GGR reached MOP 24.086 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.9% and a month-on-month increase of 31.7%, recovering to 91.1% of the 2019 level [14][15]. - The average daily GGR in October was MOP 777 million, up 27.4% from September's MOP 610 million, representing the highest level since the pandemic [14][15]. - The resilience of the industry was attributed to the peak Golden Week, NBA events, and concerts, despite the impact of a typhoon [14][15]. - Cumulative GGR for the first ten months of 2025 reached MOP 205.427 billion, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth and 83.3% of the 2019 level [14][15]. - Upcoming events in November, including the National Games and various concerts, are expected to further boost tourist arrivals and GGR [14][15]. Summary by Sections Monthly GGR and Year-on-Year Growth - October's GGR growth was nearly 16% year-on-year, with a significant recovery trend observed [14][15]. - The daily average GGR for October was the highest post-pandemic, indicating strong market recovery [14][15]. Visitor Statistics - In September 2025, the number of inbound visitors to Macau was 2.78 million, a 9.8% increase year-on-year, fully recovering to 100.4% of the 2019 level [15]. - Cumulative inbound visitors for the first nine months of 2025 reached 29.67 million, up 14.5% year-on-year [15]. Hotel Occupancy Rates - The hotel occupancy rate in Macau for September 2025 was 84.6%, showing a slight decline year-on-year but stable compared to 2019 levels [16]. - The average hotel occupancy rate for the first nine months of 2025 was 89.3%, reflecting a 3.8 percentage point increase year-on-year [16].

Core Viewpoint - The Macau gaming stocks experienced a significant decline in the afternoon trading session, with major companies like Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, and Melco International all reporting losses due to disappointing gaming revenue figures for September and early October [1]. Group 1: September Gaming Revenue - The Macau Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau reported that the gross gaming revenue (GGR) for September was MOP 18.289 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [1]. - Morgan Stanley noted that the total gaming revenue for September was MOP 18.3 billion, which was below both market expectations and their own forecast by 9% [1]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to a 33-hour closure of casinos due to a typhoon, impacting overall operations [1]. Group 2: October Performance - According to JPMorgan, the GGR for the first five days of October reached MOP 5.5 billion, averaging MOP 1.1 billion per day, marking the best performance for the Golden Week in five years [1]. - However, this represented only a 3% year-on-year increase compared to a very high base from the previous year, falling short of both the bank's and market expectations [1]. - Visitor numbers during this period remained flat, with a 25% drop on October 5 due to the typhoon, further hindering GGR growth [1]. - JPMorgan projects that the GGR for October could increase by 11% to 13%, reaching MOP 23 billion, which would be the highest in six years [1].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Macau's gaming stocks have collectively declined, with specific companies experiencing notable drops in their stock prices [1] - As of the report, Melco International Development fell by 5.1% to HKD 5.77, Wynn Macau dropped by 2.68% to HKD 6.9, MGM China decreased by 2.22% to HKD 16.31, and Galaxy Entertainment fell by 2.05% to HKD 42.04 [1] - The Macau Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau reported that the gross gaming revenue (GGR) for September was MOP 18.289 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [1] Group 2 - For the first nine months of the year, Macau's total gross gaming revenue reached MOP 181.341 billion, which is a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [1] - Morgan Stanley's report indicated that the total gaming revenue for September was MOP 18.3 billion, which was below both market expectations and the bank's forecast of 9% growth, primarily due to a 33-hour casino shutdown caused by a typhoon [1] - The third quarter's total gaming revenue was MOP 62.6 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 12.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.4% [1] Group 3 - Citigroup noted that the September gaming revenue of MOP 18.289 billion corresponds to an average daily revenue of MOP 610 million, reaching 83% of the levels seen in the same period of 2019 [2] - The reported figure was slightly below Citigroup's expectation of MOP 18.5 billion and 3% lower than the market consensus of MOP 18.8 billion [2] - Looking ahead to October, Citigroup forecasts total gaming revenue to reach MOP 23 billion, representing an 11% year-on-year increase, with an average daily revenue of MOP 742 million [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong performance of Macau's gaming stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major companies such as Wynn Macau, Melco International Development, Sands China, and Galaxy Entertainment [1] - Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for August reached a record high of 22.16 billion MOP, marking a month-on-month increase of 0.14% and a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1] - For the first eight months of the year, the total GGR in Macau amounted to 163.05 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1] Group 2 - According to Haitong International, the upcoming September is expected to see a boost in visitor numbers and GGR due to various exciting events planned, despite it being a traditionally low season [1] - Goldman Sachs attributes the recent strong performance of Macau's gaming companies to several factors, including a series of major events, wealth effects driven by the stock market, relaxed visa policies, and ongoing safety concerns in Thailand and the Philippines, which have led more mainland travelers to choose Hong Kong and Macau as destinations [1] - For the upcoming National Day Golden Week, gaming companies anticipate strong demand based on nearly full hotel bookings and communication with clients, while the National Games are not expected to significantly impact gaming revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Macau gaming sector shows strong performance with record monthly gross gaming revenue and increased tourist arrivals, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue - Macau's gross gaming revenue for August reached 22.16 billion MOP, marking a new monthly high for the year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.14% and a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1] - From January to August, the total gross gaming revenue amounted to 163.05 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1] Group 2: Tourist Arrivals - The Macau Public Security Police reported that the number of inbound tourists during the summer of 2025 (July to August) reached 7.68 million, averaging 123,000 visitors per day, which is a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [1] Group 3: Stock Performance - Major gaming stocks in Hong Kong saw gains, with SJM Holdings up 2.40%, Galaxy Entertainment up 2.14%, and Sands China up 1.29% among others [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Macau's gaming revenue has shown a positive trend, with August 2023 gross gaming revenue reaching 22.156 billion MOP, a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1][2] - For the first eight months of 2023, the cumulative gross gaming revenue in Macau reached 163.052 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1][2] Group 2 - Monthly gross gaming revenue for August 2023 was 22.156 billion MOP, compared to 19.754 billion MOP in August 2022, indicating a significant increase [2] - The cumulative gross gaming revenue for the first eight months of 2023 was 163.052 billion MOP, up from 152.102 billion MOP in the same period of 2022, showing a steady growth trend [2]