Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating with a target price of 515.00 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 21% from the current price of 425.6 HKD [2][9]. Core Insights - The company reported record-high total revenue of 21.9 billion HKD in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.4 billion HKD, up 45% year-on-year, and EBITDA reached 17.2 billion HKD, reflecting a 48% increase year-on-year [6][9]. - The report highlights strong performance across various business segments, with significant growth in spot trading and derivatives, driven by increased international capital inflow into the Hong Kong market [6][9]. - The report projects continued growth in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 17.8 billion HKD, 19.9 billion HKD, and 21.3 billion HKD respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 36%, 12%, and 7% [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2025 total revenue was 21.9 billion HKD, with a 37% year-on-year increase. Net profit was 13.4 billion HKD, up 45% year-on-year, and EBITDA was 17.2 billion HKD, reflecting a 48% increase year-on-year. The EBITDA margin improved to 79%, up 5 percentage points year-on-year [6][9]. - The revenue breakdown for Q3 2025 shows significant contributions from various segments: spot trading (11.1 billion HKD, +75% YoY), equity securities and derivatives (5.3 billion HKD, +17% YoY), and others [6][9]. Market Activity - The report notes that the Hong Kong IPO market remains robust, with 69 new listings in Q3 2025, raising 188.3 billion HKD, more than three times the amount raised in Q3 2024 [7][9]. - The average daily trading volume (ADT) for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached 238.7 billion HKD in Q3 2025, a 132% increase year-on-year, indicating heightened trading activity [6][9]. Investment Outlook - The report emphasizes the favorable macroeconomic environment, including easing US-China tensions and supportive national policies, which are expected to sustain investor interest in Hong Kong and Asian assets [9]. - The projected financials for the upcoming years indicate a strong growth trajectory, with total revenue expected to reach 29.3 billion HKD in 2025, a 31% increase from 2024 [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) with a target price of HKD 515.00, indicating a potential upside of 17% from the current price of HKD 441.2 [2][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that HKEX achieved record half-year results in H1 2025, with total revenue of HKD 14.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 8.5 billion, up 39% year-on-year [1][5]. - The report emphasizes strong trading activity in both the cash and derivatives markets, contributing to the revenue and profit growth [5][8]. - The report projects continued growth in net profit for HKEX, estimating HKD 16.6 billion, HKD 18.1 billion, and HKD 19.5 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 9%, and 7% respectively [8]. Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 financial highlights include: - Total revenue: HKD 14.1 billion, +33% YoY - Net profit: HKD 8.5 billion, +39% YoY - EBITDA: HKD 10.9 billion, +43% YoY, with an EBITDA margin of 79%, up 6 percentage points YoY [1][5][8]. - Revenue breakdown by business segment for H1 2025: - Cash market: HKD 6.7 billion, +62% YoY - Equity securities and financial derivatives: HKD 3.55 billion, +15% YoY - Other segments also showed positive growth [5][8]. Market Activity - The report notes that the cash market saw record trading volumes, with average daily turnover (ADT) reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122% increase YoY [5][6]. - The primary market experienced a strong momentum with 44 new listings in H1 2025, raising HKD 109.4 billion, which is more than eight times the amount raised in H1 2024 [8][34]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides projected financial metrics for HKEX: - Revenue growth forecast for 2025: HKD 27.8 billion, +24% YoY - Projected PE ratio for 2025: 22.23 [7][33]. - The report indicates a strong return on equity (ROE) of 25.1% and a book value per share of HKD 41.0 [2][7].