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海康威视:降本增效调结构,大模型产品陆续推出-20250429
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-29 02:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision (002415.SZ) is "Outperform the Market" [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a mild recovery in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 18.53 billion yuan (YoY +4.0%) and net profit at 1.926 billion yuan (YoY +9.44%) [1]. - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a strategic shift in its domestic business to enhance profitability [3]. - The innovation and overseas business segments are showing strong growth, contributing to over 50% of total revenue in 2024 [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 92.496 billion yuan (YoY +3.53%) and a net profit of 11.977 billion yuan (YoY -15.1%), with a gross margin of 43.83% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 56.19% [1]. Business Segments - The overseas revenue in 2024 was 31.895 billion yuan, up 10.1%, accounting for 34.48% of total revenue, with significant growth in non-video products [2]. - The innovation business generated 22.484 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 21.2% and representing 24% of total revenue, with notable growth in various segments such as robotics and automotive electronics [2]. Domestic Market Adjustments - The domestic PBG revenue was 13.467 billion yuan in 2024, down 12.29%, affected by local fiscal pressures [3]. - The EBG revenue was 17.651 billion yuan, down 1.09%, while SMBG revenue was 11.971 billion yuan, down 5.58% [3]. - The company is actively managing inventory levels with distributors to promote healthy channel development [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects to maintain operational resilience and long-term growth driven by industry digitalization, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 13.237 billion, 14.517 billion, and 16.664 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025-2027 are 20, 18, and 16 times [4].
【海康威视(002415.SZ)】宏观信心修复,大模型规模化落地变现开启——跟踪报告之四(刘凯/王之含)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-07 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance, with a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, indicating potential challenges ahead [2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 92.486 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.52% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.959 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 15.23%, indicating short-term performance pressure [2]. Group 2: Macro Environment - The manufacturing PMI for February recorded at 50.2%, indicating a return to the expansion zone, with a month-on-month increase of 1.1 percentage points, driven by rapid recovery in demand post-holiday [3]. - The improvement in macro factors that previously suppressed the company's performance and valuation is becoming significant [3]. Group 3: Policy and Security - The Central Political Bureau emphasized the construction of a safer China, which is expected to accelerate security and digital governance projects, potentially benefiting the company's PBG business directly [4]. Group 4: Innovation and Technology - The company is launching a series of products based on multi-modal large models, integrating advanced technology with embedded smart hardware, aiming for broader and more efficient applications across various industries [5]. - The focus on innovative business areas such as edge computing, robotics, and smart connected vehicles is expected to catalyze growth, with overseas business now accounting for over half of total operations [6].