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西部证券晨会纪要-20251031
Western Securities· 2025-10-31 02:03
Group 1: Global Technology Competition - The report outlines three potential scenarios for global technology competition over the next decade: baseline scenario (strategic equilibrium between China and the US), optimistic scenario (China becomes an innovation leader), and pessimistic scenario (China's industrial upgrade falls short) [6][7] - Key technologies are defined as frontier technologies (AI, semiconductors, quantum computing, biopharmaceuticals), advanced manufacturing, and critical infrastructure technologies (energy and advanced networks) [6][7] - The US focuses on invention and innovation, while China aims for large-scale innovation in key industries, with both countries undergoing reforms in their innovation systems [6][7] Group 2: Softcom Power (301236.SZ) - For the first three quarters of 2025, Softcom Power reported revenue of 25.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.30%, and a net profit of 0.99 billion yuan, up 30.21% [15][17] - The company is guided by four strategic directions: intelligence, autonomy, greening, and internationalization, with a focus on enhancing software and digital technology services [16][17] - Future revenue projections for Softcom Power are 35.9 billion yuan, 41.3 billion yuan, and 47.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits expected to be 0.384 billion yuan, 0.526 billion yuan, and 0.855 billion yuan respectively [17] Group 3: Dingjie Smart (300378.SZ) - Dingjie Smart's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 1.614 billion yuan, a 2.6% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.051 billion yuan, up 2.4% [19][21] - The company is experiencing short-term pressure in mainland China but is seeing stable performance in non-mainland markets, driven by deepening applications and market expansion [19][20] - Revenue projections for Dingjie Smart are 2.502 billion yuan, 2.726 billion yuan, and 2.989 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits expected to be 0.191 billion yuan, 0.233 billion yuan, and 0.301 billion yuan respectively [21] Group 4: Hai Tian Wei Ye (603288.SH) - Hai Tian Wei Ye reported a revenue increase of 6.02% to 21.628 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit of 5.322 billion yuan, up 10.54% [22][24] - The company experienced a slowdown in revenue growth in Q3, with a 2.48% increase to 6.398 billion yuan, while net profit rose by 3.40% to 1.408 billion yuan [23][24] - The company is focusing on creating new growth points and enhancing efficiency through digital production [24] Group 5: Guizhou Moutai (600519.SH) - Guizhou Moutai's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 130.904 billion yuan, a 6.32% increase, with a net profit of 64.627 billion yuan, up 6.25% [26][28] - The company reported stable sales performance for its flagship Moutai liquor, while other series faced pressure [27][28] - Future earnings per share (EPS) projections for Guizhou Moutai are 72.87 yuan, 77.31 yuan, and 82.70 yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [28] Group 6: Xian Cai Co., Ltd. (600095.SH) - Xian Cai Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in net profit of 203.39% for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 0.442 billion yuan [46][47] - The company's revenue for Q3 was 0.655 billion yuan, a 43.77% increase year-on-year, driven by a surge in commission income [47][48] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 0.608 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a 456.6% increase [48]
溯联股份(301397):前三季度营收稳增 新能源&液冷持续扩张
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 12:46
新能源汽车产能建设提速,支撑营收稳步增长。2025 年前三季度,公司实现营业收入10.02 亿元,同比 增长19.44%,主要受益于新能源汽车销售的增长以及客户车型技术快速迭代,热管理等系统性能不断 提升带来的单位产品需求增加。但利润端受营业成本快速增长影响,短期承压。 事件:公司发布2025 年三季度报告,该公司前三季度实现营业收入10.02亿元,同比增长19.44%;归母 净利润1.01 亿元,同比下降6.67%;扣非后归母净利润0.90 亿元,同比下降11.43%。其中,2025Q3 实 现营业收入3.33亿元,同比增长7.72%,归母净利润0.34 亿元,同比下降10.88%。 新能源业务持续发力,市场拓展成效显著。公司新项目有序推进,客户结构持续优化,客户涵盖了国内 外多家知名整车制造企业及汽车零部件制造企业。公司在"其他重要事项"中提及多个新能源汽车流体管 路系统项目进展,显示公司正在发展此方向。同时,江苏、芜湖、重庆等地新项目有序推进,表明公司 正积极拓展订单。 研发投入持续加大,夯实核心竞争优势。2025 年前三季度,公司研发费用达5.73 亿元,同比增长 27.8%,占营收比重为5.7%。主 ...
溯联股份(301397):前三季度营收稳增,新能源、液冷持续扩张
Western Securities· 2025-10-30 12:10
公司点评 | 溯联股份 新能源业务持续发力,市场拓展成效显著。公司新项目有序推进,客户结构 持续优化,客户涵盖了国内外多家知名整车制造企业及汽车零部件制造企 业。公司在"其他重要事项"中提及多个新能源汽车流体管路系统项目进展, 显示公司正在发展此方向。同时,江苏、芜湖、重庆等地新项目有序推进, 表明公司正积极拓展订单。 研发投入持续加大,夯实核心竞争优势。2025 年前三季度,公司研发费用 达 5.73 亿元,同比增长 27.8%,占营收比重为 5.7%。主要原因是持续加强 新材料和新产品的研发,增加了相应技术人员。公司紧跟新能源智能汽车技 术发展趋势,利用自身在轻量化材料应用和生产工艺等方面的优势,积极开 发新产品和一系列独立销售的产品,实现了客户价值的提升。 盈利预测及投资评级:在新能源汽车渗透率持续提升与液冷客户拓展下,公 司收入有望保持较高增速。我们预计公司 2025-2027 年实现营业收入分别 为 15.26/19.26/23.83 亿元,预计公司 2025-2027 年实现归母净利润分别 为 1.57/1.99/2.49 亿元。维持"增持"评级。 风险提示:依赖汽车行业的风险、市场竞争风险、国际 ...