Core Viewpoint - Longsheng Technology achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 210 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.89% [1] - The company reported a net profit of 106 million yuan in Q3 2025, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 109.83% [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue experienced a slight year-on-year increase due to fluctuations in sales from key customers and product upgrades [1] - Fair value changes contributed to the substantial growth in Q3 performance, with operating cash flow turning from negative to positive [1] Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, core customers are expected to see increased sales volume, with Tesla Model Y orders scheduled until December and the first week of pre-orders for the new AITO M7 exceeding 60,000 units [1] - The shipment volume of new energy motor semi-assemblies is anticipated to increase, leading to improved year-on-year revenue growth in Q4 2025 [1] Strategic Positioning - The company is well-positioned in the humanoid robot sector, with a clear strategic layout [1] - Projected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 327 million, 414 million, and 482 million yuan respectively, with current stock prices corresponding to PE ratios of 37.4, 29.5, and 25.3 times [1]

Event Summary - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, achieving revenue of 1.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 210 million yuan, up 36.89% year-on-year. For Q3 2025, revenue was 586 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.48% year-on-year, with a net profit of 106 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 109.83% year-on-year [1]. Key Insights - Revenue growth in Q3 2025 was influenced by fluctuations in sales from major clients and product upgrades. The top three clients, BYD and Tesla, saw sales decrease by 1.82% and 2.91% respectively, while other clients like Geely and Chery experienced sales growth of 42.52% and 14.21% respectively. The company's upgrade of its new energy business products contributed positively to revenue growth [2]. - The substantial increase in net profit for Q3 2025 was primarily due to revenue growth and increased investment income, with fair value changes rising from 1.35 million yuan to 86.39 million yuan year-on-year. However, the non-deductible net profit decreased by 45.11% to 30 million yuan, attributed to a decline in gross margin and an increase in expense ratios [3]. - The company is actively expanding its client base and production capacity, particularly in the humanoid robot business. The core product, harmonic reducer, has gained recognition from overseas Tier 1 suppliers, and production capacity is expected to reach approximately 70,000 units by Q1 2026 [4]. - Revenue and performance are expected to continue improving in Q4 2025, driven by increased sales from downstream clients and a well-defined strategy in the humanoid robot sector. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 327 million, 414 million, and 482 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 37.4, 29.5, and 25.3 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Longsheng Technology (300680.SZ) is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a year-on-year increase of 109.83% in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025, driven by revenue growth and increased investment income [3][5] - The company reported a total revenue of 1.81 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.13% [3][5] - The Q3 revenue was 586 million yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.48%, influenced by sales fluctuations among key customers and product upgrades in the new energy sector [5][6] - The company is actively expanding its humanoid robot business and has successfully engaged with overseas Tier 1 suppliers [6][8] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported a net profit of 106 million yuan, a significant increase of 109.83% year-on-year, attributed to revenue growth and investment income [3][5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 2.67 percentage points to 15.23%, likely due to increased depreciation from the new energy motor semi-assembly production line [5][6] - The operating cash flow turned positive in Q3 2025, with a net inflow of 118 million yuan compared to a net outflow of 1 million yuan in the same period last year [5][6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue is projected to grow to 3.35 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 39.7% [7][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 327 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 45.8% [7][8] - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to be 37.4 in 2025, decreasing to 25.3 by 2027 [7][8]