Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the anticipation of Kevin Warsh being nominated as the new Federal Reserve Chairman, which has led to a significant drop in the prices of non-ferrous stocks [1] - The market prediction for Warsh's nomination has surged to 87% according to Polymarket, indicating strong market sentiment towards a hawkish candidate [1] - The report from Guojin Securities outlines the main logic for the non-ferrous sector this year, highlighting low supply due to low capital expenditure, domestic anti-competition measures, and overseas resource nationalism [1] Group 2 - The demand for non-ferrous metals is driven by AI, new energy, and the reconstruction of manufacturing in Europe and the US [1] - The report emphasizes strong inventory replenishment due to low existing inventories across supply chains and the initiation of a national reserve cycle in the US [1] - Despite recent price volatility due to regional issues, the fundamental outlook for commodity prices remains strong, with macroeconomic fluctuations being the only potential disruptor [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) saw significant declines in major stocks, with Nanshan Aluminum leading at a drop of 10.05% [2] - The non-ferrous ETF Penghua (159880) decreased by 8.66%, with a latest price of 2.39 yuan and a net inflow of 11 million units over the past seven days [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and Ganfeng Lithium [2]

连续上涨后，有色板块今日震荡调整后拉升，资金逢低布局，有色ETF鹏华(159880)盘中净申购2150万 份，冲刺连续6天净流入。 截至2026年1月29日 10:45，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)下成分股方面涨跌互现，湖南黄金领涨 10.01%，西部黄金上涨9.49%，白银有色上涨7.46%；厦门钨业领跌。有色ETF鹏华(159880)最新报价 2.57元。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 中信建投证券指出，区域局势紧张，驱动避险资金及央行对黄金的配置继续，强化贵金属牛市格局。特 朗普通过非常规手段获得石油、关键矿产等战略资源的做法，威胁着全球资源的供应安全，驱使各国及 各生产环节抬升合意库存以应对潜在的供应中断风险，金属资源的战略地位得以提升，助力商品价格和 权益端估值进一步走高。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 ...