Economic Performance - Cambodia's economy shows strong but uneven performance, with manufacturing and services growth driven by stable exports, particularly in garments and tourism[35] - Agricultural sector employment remains significant, supporting 3.1 million jobs, but its contribution to GDP growth is limited, only 0.2 percentage points in 2024[36] - Total rice production increased by 11.0% in 2024, but structural challenges persist, including reliance on weather conditions and price volatility[36] Trade and Investment - Exports to the US, especially garments, remain strong, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6% in Q1 2025, contributing significantly to consumer confidence[38] - Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows are primarily from China, accounting for 65.5% of total net FDI, while domestic investment approvals have sharply declined by 96.7% year-on-year[39][43] - Total goods exports reached $26.673 billion in 2024, with a significant contribution from the garment, travel goods, and footwear sectors[43] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Inflation rose to 3.7% in March 2025, driven mainly by food price increases, while broad money supply growth reached 19.0%[38] - The banking sector reported a non-performing loan (NPL) rate of 7.9% by the end of 2024, indicating deteriorating asset quality[40] Fiscal Policy and Public Debt - Central government revenue increased by 11.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to significant growth in VAT and non-tax revenues[40] - Public debt remains low at 25.9% of GDP as of the end of 2024, with a projected fiscal deficit of 2.7% of GDP for 2025[41] Social Impact and Inequality - Economic recovery has been uneven, with household consumption per capita growing by 8% from 2021 to 2023, but disparities exist between income groups[42] - The poorest 20% saw a 7% increase in consumption, while the wealthiest 20% experienced a 10% increase, highlighting income inequality[42]

Core Insights - Weyerhaeuser (WY) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.13 per share, reflecting a 38.1% decline year over year, with revenues forecasted at $1.88 billion, a decrease of 3% compared to the previous year [1] - Over the past month, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 26.7%, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [1][2] Earnings Estimates - Analysts predict 'Net Sales - Wood Products' to reach $1.32 billion, indicating a year-over-year decline of 7.1% [3] - The 'Net Sales - Real Estate & ENR' is expected to be $143.97 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 32.1% [4] - The consensus estimate for 'Wood Products Segment - Structural Lumber - Third party net sales' is $549.93 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.2% [4] Sales Realizations - 'Wood Products Segment - Oriented Strand Board (square feet 3/8) - Third party net sales' is projected at $214.20 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 25.6% [5] - 'Delivered Logs Third Party Sales Realizations (per ton) - West' is estimated at $117.54, down from $123.15 year-over-year [5] - 'Wood Products - Medium Density Fiberboard (square feet 3/4) - Third party sales realizations' is expected to be $1152.11, compared to $1186.00 last year [6] Sales Volumes - 'Delivered Logs Third Party Sales Volumes (tons) - West' is projected at 1463 thousand tons, down from 1668 thousand tons in the same quarter last year [7] - 'Delivered Logs Third Party Sales Volumes (tons) - South' is expected to reach 4270 thousand tons, compared to 4154 thousand tons in the same quarter of the previous year [7] - 'Delivered Logs Third Party Sales Volumes (tons) - North' is estimated at 143 thousand tons, up from 118 thousand tons year-over-year [8] Additional Metrics - 'Wood Products - Structural Lumber (board feet) - Third party sales volumes' is expected to be 1.18 billion, slightly down from 1.19 billion in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Wood Products - Engineered Solid Section (cubic feet) - Third party sales volumes' is projected at 5.46 million, compared to 6.00 million year-over-year [9] Market Performance - Over the past month, Weyerhaeuser shares have declined by 3.3%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by 5.4% [10] - Weyerhaeuser holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating a likely underperformance compared to the overall market in the upcoming period [10]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Secretary of Agriculture, Rollins, is advocating for a 25% increase in the use of wood products in construction to address wildfire issues [1] Group 1 - The discussion took place in the White House, indicating the government's involvement in addressing wildfire challenges [1] - The proposed increase in wood products aims to enhance building materials, potentially impacting the construction industry [1]