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铂科新材(300811):中报点评:芯片电感业务加速,AI领域成长或更陡峭
Orient Securities· 2025-09-16 06:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of 73.85 CNY [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to see steady growth in its performance, particularly in the chip inductor business, which is anticipated to maintain a high growth rate due to increasing demand in the AI sector [4][8] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with projected net profits of 475 million, 612 million, and 753 million CNY respectively, reflecting an increase from previous estimates [5][7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 1,159 million CNY in 2023 to 2,945 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22% [7][10] - Operating profit is expected to increase from 295 million CNY in 2023 to 851 million CNY in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [7][10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of around 23% from 2023 to 2027 [7][10] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 39.6% in 2023 to 42.7% in 2027, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [7][10] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company has successfully completed the transition to new inductor solutions, which is expected to lead to sustained growth in shipment volumes [8] - The company is expanding its partnerships with global manufacturers, enhancing its market presence and product offerings in various application fields [8] - The construction of new production capacity for integrated inductors is progressing ahead of schedule, which may lead to increased production capacity in 2026 [8]
AI浪潮下的上游材料机会:重点汇报铂科新材和博迁新材
2025-09-15 14:57
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of the AI boom on the upstream materials market, particularly focusing on passive components and materials that are essential for high-performance AI applications [1][2][17]. Key Companies Discussed 1. **博科新材 (Boke New Materials)** - Benefiting from the surge in AI computing power, with a market capitalization exceeding 22 billion [1][7]. - The company’s soft magnetic powder cores and chip inductors are used in high-end chips like CPU, GPU, and HBM, particularly in North American cloud vendors [1][5]. - Despite short-term performance growth being modest, the company has ample production capacity and a rich project reserve, indicating significant potential for future earnings growth [1][7]. - Expected revenue growth of 15%-16% in 2025, with projections of reaching approximately 1.4 billion in revenue by 2026 [9]. 2. **博青新材 (Bojing New Materials)** - Focused on module inductors, which are expected to gain market share due to their complexity and miniaturization advantages, making them suitable for AI semiconductor manufacturers [1][6]. - The revenue split between discrete and module inductors is currently about 7:3, but this is expected to shift towards module inductors in the future [6]. 3. **博纤新材 (Bofiber New Materials)** - Core product is MLCC nickel powder, particularly the high-end 80 nm nickel powder, which is the only one produced globally by Bofiber and is used in AI servers [1][10][11]. - The company has seen significant growth in sales and gross profit margins due to the demand for high-capacity, high-performance MLCC capacitors driven by AI applications [3][14]. 4. **博天公司 (Botian Company)** - Sales prices and gross margins for nickel powder have significantly increased, primarily due to the contribution from 80 nm nickel powder [3][14]. - The company is expected to reach a market capitalization of 25-30 billion due to the high demand for its products in the AI sector [3][16]. Market Dynamics - The AI industry has led to a surge in demand for high-performance, miniaturized components, particularly those that can handle high currents and temperatures [2][17]. - Major North American cloud vendors have provided optimistic capital expenditure guidance, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the AI hardware supply chain [2]. Financial Projections - Boke New Materials is projected to achieve a revenue of approximately 1.4 billion in 2026, with a corresponding net profit of around 350 million [9]. - Bofiber's high-end nickel powder is expected to maintain full production capacity, driven by AI server demand, which is anticipated to continue growing [11]. Investment Opportunities - The AI boom presents significant investment opportunities in passive components and related materials, with companies like Boke and Botian being core recommendations due to their improved product structures and market positioning [1][17]. - The overall market for nickel powder and related materials is experiencing high demand, indicating a favorable investment climate for these companies [3][17].