MLCC镍粉

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博迁新材20260629
2025-06-30 01:02
Summary of the Conference Call for 博迁新材 Company Overview - 博迁新材 is the only domestic company mastering PVD technology for powder production, benefiting from the recovery of AI servers and high-end consumer electronics, leading to a steady growth in high-end electronic powder demand, expected to reach around 250 million yuan [2][5][30] Key Industry Insights - The global MLCC market size is estimated between 100 billion to 110 billion USD, with a recovery of single-digit growth expected in 2024 and 2025 due to increased demand from AI servers and new energy vehicles [2][16][18] - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing a trend of reducing silver usage, with copper paste technology accelerating as a substitute, expected to reach an application volume of 30GW to 40GW in the coming year [2][8][32] Core Business Performance - The core business of 博迁新材 is nickel powder, contributing 70% to 80% of revenue, primarily used in MLCC for consumer and automotive electronics. In Q1 2024, revenue reached 250 million yuan with a net profit of nearly 50 million yuan, a 200% year-on-year increase, and a gross margin recovery to 32% [2][13][14][30] - The copper powder market for BC battery scenarios is expected to contribute a market space of over 700 tons by 2026, with significant growth potential [2][6] Financial Projections - The electronic powder business is expected to maintain stable profit levels, projected to reach around 250 million yuan [2][5] - The copper powder business is anticipated to see large-scale introduction in 2026, with expected shipments exceeding 1,000 tons and a gross margin of over 30% [4][31] - Overall, the company expects to achieve around 500 million yuan in revenue by 2026, with a market capitalization potentially reaching 15 billion yuan based on a 30x P/E ratio [4][32] Competitive Advantages - 博迁新材's competitive edge in the electronic powder sector lies in its strong technical capabilities, market position, brand accumulation, and continuous innovation, particularly through its unique PVD process [3][24] - The company has established a strong position in the copper powder market by collaborating with major clients in the PV sector, successfully developing silver-coated copper powder and HCD copper paste with initial shipments [2][9][28] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The demand for MLCCs is significantly driven by AI servers, with usage per server increasing dramatically compared to traditional servers [17] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the domestic substitution trend in the powder supply chain, particularly in the PV sector [2][9] Key Milestones - Important milestones include the completion of technology validation by major clients in Q3 2025 and the large-scale introduction of copper paste in BC batteries in Q1 2026, which are expected to catalyze further growth [4][33]