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零跑小鹏分走了谁的市场份额
新财富· 2025-06-10 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape in the Chinese automotive market, particularly focusing on the impact of new energy vehicles (NEVs) from companies like Leap Motor and Xiaopeng on traditional fuel vehicles and other second-tier NEV brands [1][4][9]. Group 1: Impact on Traditional Fuel Vehicles - Leap Motor's C series SUVs and Xiaopeng's MONA M03 are positioned in the 100,000 to 150,000 RMB price range, significantly affecting traditional fuel vehicles [4]. - Major traditional fuel vehicles like Nissan Sylphy and Volkswagen Lavida experienced a year-on-year sales decline of 5% to 15% in 2024, indicating a gradual penetration of NEVs into the market [4][5]. - Japanese brands, particularly Nissan, saw a 20% decline in sales for the Sylphy, while Toyota's Corolla had a smaller decline of 14%, suggesting a shift in consumer preferences towards NEVs [5][6]. Group 2: Second-Tier NEV Brands - Second-tier NEV brands, particularly GAC Aion, have seen significant sales declines, with AION Y and AION S experiencing over 30% year-on-year drops in 2024 [10][12]. - The saturation of the ride-hailing market has negatively impacted GAC Aion, which previously relied heavily on this segment for sales [10][12]. - Other second-tier brands like Neta and Wuling have also reported declining sales, but the overall market size for these brands remains small compared to the growth of Leap Motor and Xiaopeng [10][12]. Group 3: BYD's Market Position - BYD dominates the 80,000 to 150,000 RMB NEV market, with cumulative sales of 427.21 billion RMB in 2024, including significant contributions from the Qin and Song families [14][22]. - BYD's market share in the low-price NEV segment is estimated to be between 80% and 90%, despite experiencing a decline in sales growth in early 2024 [17][23]. - The overall NEV market in the 100,000 to 150,000 RMB range is projected to grow significantly, with BYD, Leap Motor, and Xiaopeng being key players in this competitive landscape [22][23]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The NEV market in the 100,000 to 150,000 RMB segment is expected to reach a scale of 5.8 million units this year, indicating a highly competitive environment among major players [23]. - Recent price cuts by BYD and competitors like Geely suggest an intensifying competition in the NEV market, particularly in the mid-range segment [23].