Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a gradual recovery in banquet consumption and a slight improvement in business consumption, suggesting that the industry is showing signs of bottoming out and potential improvement in the near future [2]. - It emphasizes three main investment themes in the liquor sector: leading brands with increasing market share, high-certainty regional brands, and resilient stocks with strong recovery potential [1][2]. - The beverage sector is expected to benefit from the recovery of dining scenarios and stable performance from major companies like Nongfu Spring, which reported steady revenue growth [3][6]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - The liquor industry is experiencing a recovery in banquet consumption, with business consumption still needing improvement. Major liquor companies are reforming their brands and optimizing their product offerings to adapt to market changes [2]. - Companies like Moutai and Wuliangye are focusing on high-end products, while others are launching new products at various price points to capture different market segments [2]. - The report anticipates that the demand for liquor will stabilize and improve in the second half of 2025, driven by a recovery in domestic consumption [2]. Beer and Beverage Sector - The beer segment is showing signs of recovery, with companies like Zhujiang Beer reporting a revenue increase of 6.6% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 30% [3]. - The beverage sector, particularly Nongfu Spring, is expected to maintain stable performance, with a projected revenue of 429 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 0.5% year-on-year growth [3][6]. - The report suggests that the beverage sector may continue to experience high growth in 2025, supported by improved consumer scenarios and effective channel management [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - Shéde Jiǔyè demonstrates resilience and strategic adaptability in a challenging industry environment, focusing on long-term growth through its "old liquor strategy" and proactive measures to enhance quality and market presence [1][3][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, Shéde Jiǔyè reported revenue of 5.357 billion yuan and a net profit of 346 million yuan, reflecting the impact of the overall industry environment [1]. - Total assets reached 11.802 billion yuan, an increase of 5.348 billion yuan since 2020, while net assets grew to 6.808 billion yuan, nearly doubling in the same period [3][6]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.30 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 142 million yuan, which represents 40.94% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [7]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Shéde Jiǔyè is focusing on its "old liquor strategy," which emphasizes quality improvement, brand enhancement, and market expansion to navigate through industry cycles [1][6]. - The company has implemented a "control volume, support price, clear inventory" policy to stabilize channel confidence and profitability [5]. - New product launches, including the Shéde Wisdom series and various other brands, aim to enhance the product matrix and adapt to market trends [4][5]. Group 3: Market and Policy Environment - Recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and supporting the private sector are expected to positively influence the white liquor market [2]. - The company is leveraging these policy changes to stimulate both consumer and business demand for white liquor [2]. Group 4: Operational Improvements - Management expenses decreased by 15.37% year-on-year, indicating improved operational efficiency [3]. - The company has made significant investments in production capacity and sustainability initiatives, including the establishment of a green industrial chain [7].