资本循环计划顺利推进，资产负债表维持稳健。公司于1H25 完成迈阿密商场、车位及邻近商场空置地 块的处置，2H25 则继续成功处置太古城车位等非核心资产，同时考虑港岛东中心交付，我们预计全年 物业处置有望贡献约20 亿港币利润。顺利的资产处置支持公司在持续的资本开支之下仍维持相对稳定 的杠杆水平和利息费用（1H25 净负债率15.7%）。 盈利预测与估值 业绩料持续稳中向好，支持中长期派息政策延续。我们维持2025 年经常性基本溢利预测61.7 亿港元 （同比-5%）、上调基本溢利12%至81.7 亿元以反映下半年超预期的资产处置进度；上调2026 年经常性 基本溢利预测11%至79.9 亿港元（同比+30%），以反映深水湾道6 号销售结算带来的影响；引入2027年 经常性基本溢利预测71.2 亿港元（同比-11%），其下降主要反映审慎的开发物业结算估计，而其中物 业投资部分预计随存量项目自然增长和新项目开业而实现增长。派息方面，我们认为公司将维持"目标 每年股息以中单位数幅度增长"的长期政策，预计2025 年股息收益率5.0%。维持跑赢行业评级及26.5 港 元目标价，对应4.3%/4.5%2025-26 ...

Core Insights - Swire Properties (01972) reported its operational data for Q3 2025, highlighting a decline in rental rates across various properties while maintaining relatively high occupancy rates [1] Group 1: Hong Kong Properties - Taikoo Place achieved a rental rate of 96% with a rental decrease of 13% [1] - Overall occupancy for Taikoo Hong Kong reached 90%, with a rental decrease of 15% [1] - The Island East Centre and Taikoo Place One had an occupancy rate of 91% [1] - Other office buildings in Taikoo Place maintained a 90% occupancy rate, also with a rental decrease of 15% [1] Group 2: Mainland China Properties - Taikoo Hui office buildings reported a rental rate of 90% [1] - One Taikoo Li had an occupancy rate of 89% [1] - Hong Kong Industrial Centre One and Two achieved a rental rate of 93% [1]

Core Insights - Swire Properties (01972) reported its operational data for Q3 2025, highlighting a decline in rental rates across various properties [1] Group 1: Hong Kong Properties - Taikoo Place achieved a rental rate of 96% with a 13% decrease in rent [1] - Overall occupancy for Taikoo Hong Kong reached 90%, with a 15% reduction in rental rates [1] - The occupancy rate for Island East Centre and Taikoo Place One was 91% [1] - Other office buildings in Taikoo Place had an occupancy rate of 90%, with a 15% decrease in rent [1] Group 2: Mainland China Properties - Taikoo Hui office buildings reported a rental rate of 90% [1] - The occupancy rate for One Taikoo Li was 89% [1] - Hong Kong Industrial Centre One and Two achieved a rental rate of 93% [1]