滙豐牛證(59410)
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快手短線佈局:關鍵位置的多空博弈
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-22 11:42
在近期港股科技股反彈浪潮中,快手(01024)以獨特的技術信號吸引市場目光。股價在70.4元至81.7元區間震盪整理,在週一上漲1.58%收報74.1元,成交 金額19億元顯示資金關注度持續升溫。更值得關注的是,多個技術指標同步發出「強力買入」信號,買入信號12個,為短線交易者提供明確的參考依據。 技術走勢深度解讀 從技術層面觀察,快手目前正處於關鍵的突破前夜。70.4元構成近期重要支撐,61.6元則是強力底部防線;向上突破的話,81.7元將是首個需要攻克的重要 阻力,若能成功站穩,87.7元目標值得期待。移動平均線系統發出「強力買入」信號,MA10位於80.12元,MA30在78.16元,當前股價低於短期均線,但技 術指標的強勢表現預示反彈動能正在積聚。 多個技術指標呈現積極信號:RSI指標處於43水準,雖然尚未進入超買區,但威廉指標顯示超賣狀態並發出買入信號,隨機震盪指標同樣給出明確的買入指 引。動量震盪指標和VR成交比率指標均發出買入信號,與「強力買入」的技術總結相互印證。然而,MACD信號和保力加通道仍然偏向負面,這種技術面 的微妙平衡引發投資者思考:在指標出現分歧時,應該如何權衡不同信號的參考價值? ...
快手跌穿72元關口,震盪中如何借窩輪牛熊謀機?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:04
Core Viewpoint - Kuaishou's stock price has shown a significant adjustment, closing at 71.9 HKD with a daily drop of 2.84% and a trading volume of 4.42 billion HKD, indicating market pressure on technology stocks [1][3]. Technical Analysis - Technical indicators suggest a "neutral" signal with a strength of 11, while multiple moving averages indicate a "sell" signal, reflecting medium to long-term pressure [1]. - The RSI value is at 45, also in the neutral zone, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding short-term trends [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Kuaishou's first support level is at 68.8 HKD and the second at 64.1 HKD, while the first resistance level is at 76 HKD and the higher resistance at 79.7 HKD [3]. - The stock has fallen below 72 HKD, positioning it closer to support levels, suggesting a relatively weak short-term trend [3]. Volatility and Trading Opportunities - The system assessment shows a 57% probability of price increase, with a recent 5-day volatility of 11.2%, indicating significant speculative opportunities [3]. - Historical performance indicates that Kuaishou's price movements can lead to substantial returns through leveraged products, as seen with various warrants and certificates [3]. Leveraged Products - For bullish sentiment, the highest leverage product is the Societe Generale call warrant (24996) with a leverage of 7.6 times and an exercise price of 72 HKD [5]. - For bearish sentiment, the Citigroup put warrant (19156) offers a leverage of 3.4 times with an exercise price of 68.33 HKD, while the Bank of China put warrant (19035) has a leverage of 2.9 times [5][6]. Additional Leveraged Products - HSBC bull certificate (59410) has the highest actual leverage at 7.7 times with a low premium and a redemption price of 66 HKD [8]. - The Societe Generale bear certificate (59208) offers a leverage of 6.1 times with a low premium and a redemption price of 83 HKD, suitable for bearish strategies [8].
快手72 元關口拉鋸戰!短線反彈動力從何而來?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-29 10:46
今日(28 日)上午港股市場氣氛有啲反覆。回顧上日(25日),快手(01024)股價跌咗 4.86%,全日收報72.5 元,成交額 49.52 億元,睇得出賣壓都幾明顯。不過截 至今日上午10點33分,快手股價企穩喺72 元附近,究竟係短線底部定仲有下調空間,真係值得留意。 從技術角度睇,多個指標綜合起來,總結信號為「買入」,強度 12,算幾強勁。多條移動平均線呈現「強力買入」信號,反映中長期走勢仲係向好;但多 個震盪指標就偏「中立」,RSI 指標 57,都係中性區域,顯示短期市場仲有啲猶豫。 支持位同阻力位方面,第一支持位喺 66.2 元,再下邊就係 61.1 元;阻力位嘅話,第一個係 78.7 元,更高啲到 83.9 元。依家股價處喺中間位置,系統評估上 升概率有 55%,近 5 日振幅達 13.2%,波動相當大,投機空間都幾夠。 回顧之前嘅產品表現,7 月 23 日推薦嘅法興熊證(59208)同摩通熊證(53656),兩日後分別升咗 60% 同 70%,同期快手股價跌咗 6.93%,充分顯示咗槓 桿產品嘅放大效應,但風險都要留意。 窩輪方面,如果睇好快手反彈,國君認購證(25903)有 7 倍槓桿,行使 ...