%% %% research.95579.com 1 固定收益丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 潍坊城投债：化债见效，关注配置价值（下） %% %% research.95579.com 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 SAC：S0490524080003 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 20 丨证券研究报告丨 %% %% 报告要点 %% %% [Table_Summary] 潍坊市经济基础扎实，但债务率处于省内高位。在山东省"三债统管"与"省市联动"的顶层 设计下，通过争取特殊再融资债券置换高息债务、推动平台整合与债务重组等系统性措施，其 化债工作取得实质性进展：融资结构得到优化，短期兑付风险缓释，市场信心修复体现为城投 债信用利差趋势性收窄。投资层面，建议采取分层策略：优先配置债务统筹能力强、估值低的 市本级及经济实力雄厚的寿光市以获取稳健收益；对滨海经开区、寒亭区等高收益区域则需严 格控制久期、审慎下沉。 市场投资价值：分层配置，匹配周期 2 基于基本面的改善与化债成效的兑现，潍坊城投债整体投资策略可概括为"分层布局，匹配周 期"。对于追求稳健的投 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Weifang City has a solid economic foundation, with its GDP exceeding 820 billion yuan in 2024, steady growth, and distinct echelon development among districts and counties. The characteristic industrial system based on manufacturing is its core advantage, and the regional debt management is effective, with market confidence continuously restored [3][6]. - Under the top - level design framework of "unified management of three types of debts" and "city - province linkage" in Shandong Province, Weifang's debt resolution has entered the stage of systematic optimization. Through multiple measures, the regional financing structure has been improved, short - term repayment pressure has been effectively relieved, and market confidence has been gradually restored [14]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Regional Overview - Weifang is an important regional central city in Shandong Province. In 2024, its GDP reached 820.32 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 5.9%. The industrial structure is continuously optimized, and the scale of the service industry is steadily expanding. The number of market entities is large, and the urbanization rate has increased to 65.2%, with continuous improvement of public service facilities [6][15]. - The general public budget revenue in 2024 was 61.956 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 1.8%, showing stable growth. The government - funded revenue was 57.703 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth of 17.5%, showing a significant recovery trend. The land transfer revenue was 50.981 billion yuan, ranking high in Shandong Province [6][26]. - The explicit debt level shows that in 2024, the local government debt limit was 329.402 billion yuan, and the debt balance was lower than the limit. The general debt balance was 80.202 billion yuan, and the special debt balance was 205.238 billion yuan, with special debt dominating the debt structure. The broad debt ratio was 238.54%, at a medium - high level among cities in Shandong Province [35]. District and County Differentiation - In terms of economic scale, Shouguang City ranked first in the city in 2024 with a GDP of 108.19 billion yuan, being the only area exceeding 100 billion yuan. Areas with a GDP between 50 billion and 100 billion yuan, including Zhucheng, Qingzhou, Gaomi, Changyi, and Anqiu, are the backbone of economic growth [7][39]. - In terms of economic growth rate, Kuiwen District had the highest growth rate of 6.8%, and most districts and counties had a growth rate above 5.6%, showing strong consistency and stability [7][44]. - In terms of budget revenue, the growth rate of county - level general public budget revenue in 2024 was significantly differentiated. Some areas had negative growth, and there were differences in general debt levels and government - funded revenue among districts and counties [46]. Industrial Support - In terms of industrial layout, in 2024, Weifang's secondary industry accounted for 42.35%, significantly higher than that of Jinan and Qingdao, highlighting a solid manufacturing foundation. The industrial structure of each district and county is distinctively different, with the core urban areas focusing on the service industry, some cities and counties having prominent secondary industries, and some having a significantly higher proportion of the primary industry [53][58]. - In terms of industrial clusters, Weifang has formed a "9 + 3+N" industrial system, with 9 major advantageous industrial chains, 3 emerging industrial chains, and a number of future industries developing in an echelon manner. The "9 + 3+N" key industrial system has effectively promoted industrial upgrading [64]. - During the "15th Five - Year Plan" period, Weifang aims to build a national agricultural modernization model area in agriculture, upgrade the manufacturing industry to be intelligent, green, and integrated in the manufacturing industry, and enhance the supporting and enabling role of the service industry in the service industry [68]. - Weifang has 3 national - level and 2 provincial - level parks, which are important carriers for the development of emerging manufacturing industries. The listed companies in Weifang have a leading total market value in Shandong Province, and the leading enterprises play a strong leading role, forming a virtuous cycle of industry - finance integration [71][78].