Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters reached 9.915 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.79%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 485 million yuan, down 36.02% year-on-year [2][6] - The company experienced a decline in performance due to falling coking coal prices, but the acceleration of power operations is expected to benefit future performance releases [6][12] - The company has seen an improvement in gross margin, with a comprehensive gross margin of 14.24% for the first three quarters, an increase of 2.54 percentage points year-on-year [12] - The cash flow situation has improved, with a cash collection ratio of 106.77%, up 6.21 percentage points year-on-year, and a net cash inflow from operating activities of 899 million yuan [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company reported a revenue of 9.915 billion yuan, a decrease of 29.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 485 million yuan, down 36.02% year-on-year [2][6] - The gross margin improved to 14.24%, with a net profit margin of 4.89%, down 0.48 percentage points year-on-year [12] Operational Highlights - The company signed new contracts worth 64.2547 million USD in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7% [12] - The construction progress of the Bangladesh coal-fired power plant project is nearly complete, with the first unit passing reliability tests [12] Market Conditions - The coking coal price has shown signs of recovery, with the price at the Ganqimaodu port reaching 1,298 yuan per ton as of October 30, 2025, which is significantly higher than earlier in the year [12] - The company is expected to benefit from improved supply and demand dynamics in the coking coal market [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance showed a significant narrowing of revenue decline, primarily driven by increased coking coal sales, with Q3 coking coal trade volume reaching 1.54 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 75% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 32% [1][2]. - The overall gross margin improved, with a Q1-3 gross margin of 14.24%, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, and a Q3 gross margin of 16.68%, up 0.44 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The electricity operation segment is steadily expanding, with significant contributions expected from ongoing projects, including a projected annual net profit of USD 100 million from the Bangladesh thermal power station starting next year [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of CNY 9.9 billion, a year-on-year decline of 30%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 480 million, down 36% [1]. - The company’s operating cash flow showed a significant increase, with a net inflow of CNY 900 million for Q1-3, up CNY 1.36 billion year-on-year, indicating improved cash flow management [2]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to CNY 882 million, CNY 1.187 billion, and CNY 1.382 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 16% in 2025, followed by growth of 35% and 16% in subsequent years [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.7 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 35%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 310 million yuan, down 43% year-on-year. The second quarter of 2025 saw revenues, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 3.1 billion, 130 million, and 130 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year declines of 43%, 52%, and 51% [5][13] - The company is facing pressure on its revenue due to weak trading volumes and prices for coking coal in H1 2025. The trading volume of coking coal was 2.22 million tons, compared to 3.16 million tons in H1 2024. The company is focusing on its integrated investment and operation model, with projects in Mongolia and Croatia as benchmarks for its ongoing transformation [14][16] - There are signs of improvement in coking coal prices in H2 2025, which may provide better profit elasticity. The current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 10x for 2025, maintaining the "Buy" rating [16] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 6.7 billion yuan, down 35% year-on-year, with a net profit of 310 million yuan, down 43% year-on-year. The second quarter figures were 3.1 billion yuan in revenue, 130 million yuan in net profit, and 130 million yuan in net profit excluding non-recurring items, reflecting year-on-year declines of 43%, 52%, and 51% respectively [5][13] - The company’s gross margin for H1 2025 was 13.1%, with a year-on-year increase of 3.1 percentage points. The gross margins for engineering, resource equipment supply chain, and power operations were 17.4%, 0.7%, and 70.5%, respectively [15] Business Transformation - The company is steadily advancing its integrated investment and operation model, with significant projects such as the Mongolia mining integration project and the Croatia wind power project. The transformation is ongoing and is expected to enhance profitability [16] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 20.8 billion, 22.7 billion, and 24.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9% for each year. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.2 billion, 1.3 billion, and 1.4 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 14%, 9%, and 8% respectively [16][17]