Core Viewpoint - Haining Leather City experienced a stock price increase of 2.61% on September 17, with a trading volume of 189 million yuan, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1]. Financing Summary - On September 17, Haining Leather City had a financing buy-in amount of 20.39 million yuan and a financing repayment of 19.36 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 1.02 million yuan [1]. - The total financing and securities balance for Haining Leather City reached 288 million yuan, accounting for 4.76% of its market capitalization, which is above the 80th percentile of the past year [1]. - The company had no shares repaid in securities lending on September 17, with 100 shares sold, amounting to 471 yuan at the closing price, and a securities lending balance of 340,100 yuan, also above the 90th percentile of the past year [1]. Business Performance - As of June 30, Haining Leather City reported a total of 37,300 shareholders, a decrease of 5.70% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 6.04% to 34,394 shares [2]. - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 490 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.44%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 46.31 million yuan, down 21.90% year-on-year [2]. Dividend and Shareholding Information - Since its A-share listing, Haining Leather City has distributed a total of 1.339 billion yuan in dividends, with 162 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. - As of June 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fifth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 10.35 million shares, a decrease of 1.5986 million shares from the previous period [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.90 [1][5][32] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 27.4 billion for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 7.709 billion, an increase of 27.5% year-on-year. However, the recurring profit was below expectations at HKD 3.391 billion, down 15.7% year-on-year [1][5] - The property development segment is experiencing a harvest period, with profits from property development reaching HKD 5.542 billion, up 218.5% year-on-year, driven by the recovery of the Hong Kong property market [1][4] - The report highlights the challenges faced by the Hong Kong rail operations due to rising operational costs, with EBIT down 76% year-on-year despite a revenue increase of 3.3% [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 1H25 was HKD 27.4 billion, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 7.709 billion, an increase of 27.5% year-on-year. The recurring profit was HKD 3.391 billion, which was 9% lower than expectations [1][5] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.42 per share, unchanged from the previous year [1] Operational Insights - The Hong Kong rail operations generated revenue of HKD 11.5 billion in 1H25, up 3.3% year-on-year, but EBIT fell to HKD 0.98 billion, down 76% year-on-year due to increased employee costs and inflation [2] - The report notes that the new rental rates for shops in the Hong Kong stations continued to decline, with a drop of 7.0% year-on-year [3] Property Development - The property development segment recorded a net profit of HKD 5.542 billion, primarily from projects in the Whampoa area, with a significant increase attributed to a low base from the previous year [4] - The report indicates that the Hong Kong property market is showing signs of recovery, with a 0.6% increase in the private residential price index over three consecutive months [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards by 11%, 3%, and 17% to HKD 18.1 billion, HKD 21 billion, and HKD 11 billion respectively [5][31] - The valuation is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) method with a WACC of 7.0% and a perpetual growth rate of 3%, leading to a target price of HKD 29.90 per share [5][32]