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固态电池为何迟迟无法上车
36氪· 2025-11-03 09:34
Core Viewpoint - Solid-state batteries are considered the ultimate form of power batteries due to their high thermal stability and potential for long-range and safety, but they face significant challenges in technology, manufacturing, and cost that hinder large-scale production in the short term [4][8][27]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments - Several second- and third-tier battery manufacturers, along with automakers like Chery, have announced advancements in solid-state battery research, indicating a potential for mass production [5][7]. - On October 23, XINWANDA unveiled its solid-state battery "XIN·BIXIAO" with an energy density of 400 Wh/kg, compared to 200-250 Wh/kg for mainstream lithium iron phosphate batteries and 250-300 Wh/kg for ternary lithium batteries [5][6]. - Chery showcased its self-developed "Rhino S" all-solid-state battery module with an energy density of 600 Wh/kg, promising a range of 1200-1300 km, with plans for mass production by 2027 [7]. Industry Challenges - Despite the excitement, industry leaders like CATL have stated that solid-state batteries will not achieve small-scale production until 2027 and large-scale production until 2030 [9]. - Technical challenges include poor ionic conductivity of solid electrolytes and high interfacial resistance, which complicate large-scale production [10][11]. Material and Manufacturing Issues - The choice of materials for solid-state batteries is contentious, with current trends favoring sulfide electrolytes due to their high ionic conductivity, despite their sensitivity to moisture and complex manufacturing processes [15][16][17]. - The negative electrode materials are also not mature, with silicon-carbon composites being used, which can lead to reduced cycle life due to expansion during lithium-ion intercalation [22]. Cost and Commercial Viability - The cost of solid-state batteries is currently 5-10 times higher than that of liquid batteries, making it difficult for both automakers and consumers to adopt them [24]. - The significant changes required in manufacturing processes and equipment for solid-state batteries pose additional barriers to entry for many companies [23]. Market Dynamics - The push for solid-state batteries is driven by second- and third-tier manufacturers seeking to disrupt the market dominated by CATL, while automakers hope to gain leverage in negotiations [26]. - Recent incidents of electric vehicle fires have heightened consumer interest in safer battery technologies, further fueling the demand for solid-state batteries [26].
固态电池为何迟迟无法上车
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-02 07:45
Core Insights - Solid-state batteries are considered the ultimate form of power batteries due to their high thermal stability and potential for long endurance and safety, but they have faced multiple challenges in technology, processes, and costs that have prevented large-scale production [1][2] - Recent announcements from second and third-tier battery manufacturers and automakers like Chery have reignited interest in the mass production of solid-state batteries [1][2] - Major players like CATL have indicated that solid-state batteries may not achieve small-scale production until 2027 and large-scale production until 2030, highlighting the industry's cautious outlook [2][8] Group 1: Recent Developments - On October 23, 2023, Xinwanda unveiled its solid-state battery "Xin·Bixiao" with an energy density of 400 Wh/kg, compared to 200-250 Wh/kg for mainstream lithium iron phosphate batteries and 250-300 Wh/kg for ternary lithium batteries [1] - Chery showcased its self-developed "Rhino S" all-solid-state battery module with an energy density of 600 Wh/kg, promising a range of 1200-1300 kilometers, with plans for mass production by 2027 [1][2] Group 2: Technical Challenges - The solid-solid interface issue and poor ionic conductivity of solid electrolytes are significant barriers to large-scale production [2][3] - Solid-state electrolytes have lower ionic conductivity compared to liquid electrolytes, and the hard contact between solid electrolytes and electrodes complicates ion transport [3][4] - The industry is exploring various electrolyte materials, with sulfide electrolytes currently being the most mainstream despite their sensitivity to moisture and air [4][5] Group 3: Manufacturing and Cost Issues - Transitioning from liquid to solid-state battery production requires significant changes in manufacturing processes, with estimates suggesting a 60% alteration in production lines [6][7] - The cost of solid-state batteries is currently 5-10 times higher than that of liquid batteries, posing a challenge for both manufacturers and consumers [7][8] - Many companies are considering semi-solid-state batteries as a transitional technology to leverage existing liquid battery production equipment while gradually improving processes [6][7] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The recent surge in interest for solid-state batteries is driven by the desire of second and third-tier manufacturers to disrupt the market and gain an advantage over leading players like CATL [8][9] - Concerns over the safety of liquid batteries, especially following recent fire incidents, have increased consumer demand for safer, high-energy-density alternatives [8][9]