证券研究报告：医药生物 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-11-03 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 15.15 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.88 | / 5.59 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）89 | / 85 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 17.38 / 13.10 | | 资产负债率(%) | 28.9% | | 市盈率 | 17.02 | | 第一大股东 | 桂林三金集团股份有限 | | 公司 | | 研究所 分析师:盛丽华 SAC 登记编号:S1340525060001 Email:shenglihua@cnpsec.com 分析师:龙永茂 SAC 登记编号:S1340523110002 Email:longyongmao@cnpsec.com 桂林三金(002275) Q3 业绩快速增长，提质增效成果显著 l Q3 业绩快速增长 公司发布 2025 年三季报：2025Q1-3 公司实现营业收入 14.62 亿 元（-7.14%），归母净利润 3.85 亿元（+0.35%），扣非净利润 3.53 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [9][15]. Core Views - The company has shown steady improvement in operational quality despite facing revenue and profit pressures due to factors such as medical insurance cost control and reduced foot traffic in pharmacies. The company reported a 6.56% decline in revenue to 998 million yuan and a 4.70% decrease in net profit to 287 million yuan for the first half of 2025, while operating cash flow increased by 55.75% to 317 million yuan [3][4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growth of its second and third-tier traditional Chinese medicine products and the ongoing optimization of its biopharmaceutical management, which could lead to significant revenue contributions [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 15.06 yuan - Total shares: 588 million, circulating shares: 559 million - Total market value: 8.8 billion yuan, circulating market value: 8.4 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 17.38/13.10 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 28.9% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 16.92 [2]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company reported: - Revenue: 998 million yuan (-6.56%) - Net profit: 287 million yuan (-4.70%) - Non-recurring net profit: 266 million yuan (-3.07%) - Operating cash flow: 317 million yuan (+55.75%) [3][4]. - Quarterly breakdown for 2025: - Q1 revenue: 467 million yuan (-3.32%), net profit: 105 million yuan (+4.80%) - Q2 revenue: 532 million yuan (-9.23%), net profit: 182 million yuan (-9.43%) [3]. Segment Analysis - Industrial revenue for H1 2025: 971 million yuan (-6.44%), gross margin: 77.25% (+0.88 percentage points) - Merchandise circulation revenue: 24 million yuan (+9.44%), gross margin: 22.15% (-6.49 percentage points) - Overall gross margin for H1 2025: 75.74% (+1.01 percentage points), net profit margin: 28.73% (+0.56 percentage points) [4]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.307 billion yuan, 2.428 billion yuan, and 2.557 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 471 million yuan, 518 million yuan, and 571 million yuan for the same years. The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 19, 17, and 15 for the respective years [9][11].