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小米蓄勢待發!關鍵技術位突破在即?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-28 11:21
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi has seen significant inflows in the warrant market, ranking third in capital inflow with approximately 12 million HKD, indicating investor interest despite a recent lack of news [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of 13:32, Xiaomi's stock price was reported at 53.95 HKD, with a daily increase of 1.31% and a trading volume of 2.783 billion HKD [1] - The stock is currently in a consolidation phase, with key technical indicators showing a neutral to slightly bullish signal [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53, indicating a balanced market between buyers and sellers [1] Group 2: Support and Resistance Levels - Initial support is identified at 52.3 HKD, with stronger support at 51 HKD [2] - The key resistance level is at 56.2 HKD, and if this is surpassed, the next target would be 57.4 HKD [2] - The stock is trading above the 10-day moving average (52.92 HKD) but near the 30-day and 60-day moving averages, indicating an unclear medium-term trend [2] Group 3: Derivative Instruments - Two notable call warrants are highlighted: UBS call warrant (14816) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD and a leverage of 7.2 times, and Morgan Stanley call warrant (18099) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 6.9 times [7] - For bearish investors, HSBC put warrant (14333) offers a leverage of 3.9 times with a strike price of 46.45 HKD, while Bank of China put warrant (14387) provides a leverage of 3.3 times with the same strike price [9] Group 4: Technical Analysis - Xiaomi is at a critical decision point, with both bulls and bears contesting the current price level [12] - Investors should monitor whether the stock can maintain support at 52.3 HKD or break through resistance at 56.2 HKD, as this will dictate short-term price direction [12] - The momentum oscillators indicate potential buying signals, suggesting accumulating upward momentum [1]
小米(01810)短線技術分析:超賣反彈行情啟動?關鍵位與衍生品策略全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 11:10
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently experiencing volatility, with technical indicators suggesting a potential short-term rebound despite being in an oversold condition [1][12]. Technical Analysis - As of August 13, 2025, Xiaomi's stock price is at 52.5 HKD, showing a 1.55% increase. The RSI indicator is at 31, indicating an oversold condition. The stock price has fallen below the 10-day moving average (52.98 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (56.02 HKD), but is supported near the 60-day moving average (54.97 HKD) [1]. - The William and stochastic indicators are signaling a buy, contrasting with the MACD sell signal, suggesting a possible technical rebound in the short term [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 49.7 HKD and 46.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 54.5 HKD and 57 HKD. A significant market volatility is indicated by an 8% fluctuation over five days [3]. Market Sentiment - Recent trading activity shows a capital inflow of 35 million HKD into Xiaomi's call options over the past five trading days, indicating investor interest in capitalizing on potential rebounds [1]. - The stock has seen fluctuations, with a recent low of 50.1 HKD and a previous high of over 60 HKD, reflecting investor concerns amid competitive pressures in the automotive sector [1]. Derivative Products Performance - Recent recommendations for derivative products have shown strong performance, with certain bull certificates experiencing gains of 30% and 24% in a short period, demonstrating the effectiveness of leveraged products in a rebound scenario [5]. - New recommendations for call options include HSBC's call option with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 7.2 times, suitable for speculative rebound plays [8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor the support level at 49.7 HKD closely. If this level holds, there may be opportunities for gradual accumulation [3]. - For bearish investors, options with lower strike prices and higher leverage are available, providing hedging opportunities against potential declines [8][10].
小米技術指標現分歧,短線該如何佈局?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-05 03:02
Group 1 - Xiaomi Group (01810) saw a 2.15% increase in stock price, closing at 54.55 HKD with a trading volume of 5.354 billion HKD, indicating heightened investor interest [1] - Technical indicators show mixed signals; while most indicators remain in the sell zone, the stochastic oscillator has issued a buy signal, and the RSI has moved away from the oversold area, suggesting a potential short-term technical rebound [1] - The stock price is currently below the 10-day moving average (56.02 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (57.03 HKD), but above the 60-day moving average (54.79 HKD), indicating that the medium-term trend is still to be confirmed [1] Group 2 - Key support level is at 52.7 HKD; if breached, the stock may drop to 50.7 HKD. The short-term resistance is at 56.9 HKD, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of 58.4 HKD [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price is near the lower band, and if it stabilizes and rebounds, it may move towards the middle band [1] - Although the MACD maintains a sell signal, the downward momentum has weakened; if the stock can hold above the 55 HKD level, the short-term outlook may improve [1] Group 3 - Recent derivatives performance shows that on July 31, when Xiaomi's stock rose by 2.63%, UBS's bull certificate 57477 had a remarkable single-day increase of 30%, while another UBS bull certificate 69916 rose by 23% [4] - In terms of call options, UBS call certificate 17892 increased by 9%, and Bank of China call certificate 16937 rose by 8%, both outperforming the underlying stock's increase, demonstrating the leverage advantage of derivatives in trending markets [4] - Various derivatives are available for investors; for bullish positions, Bank of China call certificate 16937 offers 5.3x leverage with a strike price of 62.04 HKD, while UBS call certificate 15800 offers 8.9x leverage with a strike price of 63.05 HKD [7]