期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 宝城期货甲醇早报-2026-03-04 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 甲醇 2605 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 偏弱运行 | 利空隐患出现，甲醇震荡偏弱 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 甲醇（MA） 日内观点：震荡偏弱 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：偏弱运行 期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 | 每 日 期 | | 扫码关注宝城期货官方微信·期货咨询尽在掌握 | | --- | --- | --- | | 货 观 | ...

金十期货APP独家整理 | 市场情绪仪表盘 ● 弱势 震荡 强势 ® 极端分化 沪锡/贵金属飙升 | 化工/氧化铝全线下挫 期货下午茶 · 每日复 2026年01月27日 星期五 17:00制作 l 今日关键词 2 沪锡暴涨8% 盒 适度宽松货币 网 交易所巨 时 生猪亏损扩大 l 又 今日焦点 (多头明星) 沪锡 2604 SHFE SN2604 新湖期货: 近日缅甸局部的冲突也带来矿端供应扰动担忧,虽然冲突' 采矿区,与锡矿开采区域较远,但仍拨动市场神经,这都J 的脆弱性。年内锡矿供应虽有一定增量预期,但这都基于1 下载 上一篇： 六年前 广州市 六 中 小时别死, 则将凸显。 | 今日热点资讯 据央视新闻,中共中央政治局2月27日召开会议,2 宏观 续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策,强化i 政策协同。要着力建设强大国内市场,加紧培育壮大新动 科技自立自强。 -- 朗部分设施发动攻击的可能性。 Wind: 截至2月27日当周,自繁自养生猪养殖利润 养殖 元/头，节前为亏损98.32元/头，外购仔猪养殖利润为盈利 前为盈利53.10元/头。 Mysteel统计全国45个港口进口铁矿石库存总量17 ...

期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 宝城期货甲醇早报-2026-02-24 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 甲醇 2605 | 震荡 偏强 | 震荡 | 强势 | 强势运行 | 地缘风险升温，甲醇强势运行 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 甲醇（MA） 日内观点：强势 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：强势运行 核心逻辑：春节长假期间，美伊核协议谈判陷入僵局，美国增兵中东、伊朗在霍尔木兹 ...

| 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 甲醇 2605 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏弱 | 偏弱运行 | 地缘溢价减弱，甲醇震荡偏弱 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 宝城期货甲醇早报-2026-02-06 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货能源化工板块 甲醇（MA） 日内观点：偏弱 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：偏弱运行 核心逻辑：近期海外供应"硬收缩"带来最强支撑，这是近期支撑甲醇价格上行的最关键因素。作 为主要进口来源地的伊朗，目前正处在冬季天然气保供限产的阶段，大部分甲醇装置降负或停产， 产出量处在年内低位水平，体现到我国 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - The methanol 2605 contract is expected to run strongly in the short - term and oscillate in the medium - term. It was strong on the day of the report, and is expected to continue the strong pattern on Wednesday [1][5]. - The core logic is that pre - holiday overseas supply "hard contraction" is the key factor supporting the upward movement of methanol prices. Iran, a major import source, faces supply disruptions. Domestic port methanol inventory has decreased, leading to the repair of port spot prices and stronger basis, which boosts the futures market. The escalating US - Iran conflict may affect Iranian methanol plants, increasing geopolitical risks [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalog 3.1 Time - cycle Viewpoints - Short - term (within one week): The methanol 2605 contract is expected to oscillate [1]. - Medium - term (two weeks to one month): The methanol 2605 contract is expected to oscillate [1]. - Intraday: The methanol 2605 contract is expected to be strong, and the overall view is a strong run [1][5]. 3.2 Price Driving Logic - The pre - holiday overseas supply "hard contraction" is the main factor driving up methanol prices. Iran's supply is disrupted, and domestic port inventory reduction has led to price repair and stronger basis, which is reflected in the futures market [5]. - The escalating US - Iran conflict may cause military strikes on Iran, increasing geopolitical risks and potentially affecting Iranian methanol plants, further supporting the strong trend of methanol futures [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoint - The methanol futures are expected to run strongly in the short - term, with a short - term view of 'oscillation', a medium - term view of 'oscillation', and an intraday view of 'bullish'. The overall reference view is 'bullish operation' [1][5] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Time - cycle Viewpoints - **Short - term**: The methanol 2605 contract is expected to oscillate within a week [1] - **Medium - term**: The methanol 2605 contract is expected to oscillate from two weeks to one month [1] - **Intraday**: The methanol 2605 contract is expected to be bullish [1][5] 3.2 Core Logic - **Overseas supply disruption**: As the main import source, most of the methanol plants in Iran (8 out of 11) are shut down, leading to a significant downward adjustment of the expected import volume in January and providing strong upward momentum for the futures market [5] - **Inventory improvement**: The inventory of methanol at domestic ports has decreased, and the basis has been repaired [5] - **Cost support**: The cost side provides a bottom - up support [5]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The methanol 2605 contract is expected to run strongly, with short - term and medium - term trends being oscillatory and the intraday trend being strong [1][5] - With the digestion of previous bullish factors, methanol futures' rebound is blocked and falls into a correction due to increased domestic supply pressure and a sharp decline in coal futures prices. Although port and inland inventories have slightly declined, they remain high, and downstream demand improvement is insufficient. On the night of last Friday, domestic methanol futures maintained an oscillatory and stable trend with a slight rebound, and it is expected to maintain an oscillatory and strong trend on Monday [5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Time - cycle Views - Short - term (within a week): The methanol 2605 contract shows an oscillatory trend [1] - Medium - term (two weeks to one month): The methanol 2605 contract shows an oscillatory trend [1] - Intraday: The methanol 2605 contract shows a strong trend, and the reference view is a strong operation [1][5] Price and Market Logic - The rebound of methanol futures is blocked and falls into a correction due to increased domestic supply pressure and a sharp decline in coal futures prices. Port and inland inventories are still at a high level, and downstream demand improvement is insufficient. On the night of last Friday, it maintained an oscillatory and stable trend with a slight rebound, and is expected to be oscillatory and strong on Monday [5]