Core Insights - China's green finance is transitioning from "scale expansion" to a new phase characterized by "structural differentiation and functional deepening" across multiple sectors [2][20]. Group 1: Green Credit - Green loans have become the main engine of credit growth, with a total balance of 43.51 trillion yuan as of Q3 2025, reflecting a 17.5% increase from the beginning of the year, and accounting for 43.9% of all loan increments during the same period [3][44]. - Major state-owned banks, including ICBC, CCB, ABC, and BOC, maintain green loan balances between 4 trillion and 6 trillion yuan, with growth rates between 14% and 20% [3][5]. - Regional banks like Beijing Bank and Qilu Bank have shown remarkable growth rates of 26.2% and 35%, respectively, indicating a shift towards supporting local green manufacturing and clean energy projects [3][5]. Group 2: Green Bonds - In November, the green bond market saw a significant rebound, with 94 new bonds issued, totaling 137.39 billion yuan, marking a 51.6% increase in the number of bonds and a 157.8% increase in total issuance compared to October [6][44]. - Financial bonds dominated the market, accounting for nearly 60% of the total issuance in November, highlighting the pivotal role of financial institutions in the green financing ecosystem [6][46]. Group 3: Carbon Market - The national carbon market experienced a "volume and price increase" in November, with an average carbon price of 57.73 yuan per ton, up 20.7% month-on-month, and a transaction volume of 47.75 million tons, totaling 2.757 billion yuan [7][51]. - The cumulative transaction volume for the year has surpassed 187 million tons, indicating a significant increase in market activity and the establishment of the carbon market as a crucial component of China's green finance system [8][51]. Group 4: Green Electricity and Certificates - In October, the issuance of renewable energy green power certificates (green certificates) reached 370 million, a substantial increase, although the number of tradable certificates did not rise correspondingly, leading to a decrease in their market share [9][52]. - The average price of green certificates for 2025 production year saw a significant drop of 19.14%, indicating market volatility influenced by supply-demand dynamics [9][56]. Group 5: Secondary Market - The secondary market for green financial assets displayed a clear divergence, with the Green Finance 100 Index declining by 3.52%, while the China Green Bond Index only slightly adjusted by 0.12%, reflecting a shift towards fundamental valuation and risk aversion among investors [10][41].

Core Insights - The report highlights the overall stability and quality improvement of China's green finance system in October 2025, driven by policy support and market deepening, with green credit being the main growth driver and a rational price adjustment in carbon markets [2][11]. Group 1: Green Credit - Green credit continues to be the main driver of credit growth, with a new addition of 6.47 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, accounting for 43.9% of the total loan increase during the same period [3][22]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total balance of green loans reached 43.51 trillion yuan, reflecting a 17.5% increase from the beginning of the year [3][22]. - The main sectors benefiting from green loans include infrastructure upgrades, energy transition, and ecological restoration, with a combined balance of 32.62 trillion yuan [25][26]. Group 2: Green Bonds - In October 2025, 62 new green bonds were issued, totaling approximately 53.30 billion yuan, representing a significant decline of 41.35% in quantity and 48.13% in total issuance compared to September [4][29]. - The structure of green bond issuance has become more balanced, with asset-backed securities (ABS) becoming the largest category, accounting for over 54% of the total issuance [5][33]. Group 3: Carbon Market - The carbon market in October 2025 showed a "volume increase and price decrease" trend, with a total trading volume of approximately 41.56 million tons, a 27.09% increase from the previous month, while the total transaction value slightly decreased to 1.99 billion yuan [6][35]. - The average price of carbon allowances fell to 47.84 yuan per ton, indicating a rational market adjustment despite increased trading volume [6][37]. - Cumulatively, the carbon market has seen a total trading volume of approximately 769.9 million tons since its inception, with a total transaction value of about 51.82 billion yuan [6][37]. Group 4: Green Certificate Market - The issuance of green certificates saw a decline in October 2025, with approximately 229 million certificates issued, a decrease of 15.5% from August, while the proportion of tradable certificates increased to 69% [7][39]. - The total trading volume for green certificates in September reached about 65.12 million, with a significant portion being directly related to electricity trading [7][39]. Group 5: Market Data and Trends - The overall trend in green finance indicates a stable increase in volume and quality, with green credit leading the way, while the carbon market and green certificate market exhibit a "volume increase and price decrease" pattern [21][22]. - The green finance sector is becoming a crucial engine for stable growth and transformation in the economy, supported by various policies and market mechanisms [11][21]. Group 6: Corporate Dynamics - Various enterprises are actively engaging in green finance initiatives, such as issuing green bonds and developing innovative financial products linked to carbon footprints, demonstrating their role as key players in the market [45][46]. - Notable activities include the issuance of green financial bonds by the National Development Bank and the launch of a new green low-carbon card by China UnionPay [46][47].

Core Insights - The report highlights the continuous growth of green finance in China, with green loans reaching a total of 29.22 trillion yuan across 37 listed banks, indicating a robust upward trend in green financing [1][2] - The green bond market showed significant recovery in September, with 104 new bonds issued, totaling approximately 102.77 billion yuan, reflecting increased institutional financing demand [3][4] - The carbon market experienced heightened trading activity, with total transaction volume reaching 32.7 million tons and total transaction value at 2.004 billion yuan, although prices showed a downward trend [5][6] Group 1: Green Loan Expansion - As of the end of Q2 2025, the balance of green loans in China reached 42.39 trillion yuan, showing significant year-on-year and month-on-month growth [2] - The six major state-owned banks accounted for over 70% of the total green loan balance, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leading at over 6 trillion yuan [2][30] - The average green loan balance per listed bank was approximately 800 billion yuan, indicating a strong commitment to green financing across the sector [2] Group 2: Green Bond Market Activity - In September, the green bond market saw a total of 104 new issuances, with a total scale of approximately 102.77 billion yuan, marking a 112.24% increase in the number of bonds and a 190.72% increase in total issuance compared to August [3][33] - The average issuance size of new green bonds in September was 9.88 million yuan, up from 7.21 million yuan in August, indicating larger project sizes and stronger financing needs [3][33] - The proportion of bank green financial bonds increased from 35.36% in August to 42.91% in September, while asset-backed securities (ABS) also saw a significant rise in issuance [4][33] Group 3: Carbon Market Dynamics - The carbon market in September exhibited a "volume increase + price decline" characteristic, with total transaction volume reaching 32.7 million tons and total transaction value at 2.004 billion yuan, both showing substantial growth from August [5][39] - The average closing price for carbon emissions allowances (CEA) in September was 62.94 yuan per ton, down 11.5% from August, indicating a downward price trend [5][36] - Predictions suggest that carbon prices may continue to decline, with expected buy and sell prices for October at 55.39 yuan and 60.63 yuan per ton, respectively [5][41] Group 4: Policy and Market Developments - September saw multiple significant policy implementations aimed at enhancing green finance, including guidelines for sustainable corporate disclosures and new energy market regulations [11][12] - Local governments and enterprises are actively innovating in green finance, with notable projects such as the issuance of offshore green bonds and the introduction of biodiversity-linked loans [6][44] - The establishment of various green finance tools and frameworks is facilitating the transition from traditional financing methods to more diversified and innovative approaches [6][44]